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2026
College
Football
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138 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
138 teams · 160 pages
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In this issue · 160 pages
View FCS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 11
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Coaching Pressure
p. 2
Transfer Portal
p. 3
Power Poll
p. 4
Experience Report
p. 5
All-Americans
p. 6
Position Units
p. 7
Most Improved
p. 8
Bull & Bear
p. 9
Toughest Schedule
p. 10
Conference Rankings
p. 11
Conferences · 11
Mountain West
10 teams · p. 12
Pac-12
8 teams · p. 23
Big 12
16 teams · p. 32
Big Ten
18 teams · p. 49
Mid-American
13 teams · p. 68
Conference USA
10 teams · p. 82
Sun Belt
14 teams · p. 93
American Athletic
14 teams · p. 108
SEC
16 teams · p. 123
ACC
17 teams · p. 140
FBS Independents
2 teams · p. 158
Teams · 138, one page each
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
SEC · 16
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 138
Auburn
Proj. 7-5 · p. 134
Florida
Proj. 7-5 · p. 132
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 137
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Mississippi State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 139
Missouri
Proj. 7-5 · p. 133
Oklahoma
Proj. 8-4 · p. 129
Ole Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 130
South Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 135
Tennessee
Proj. 7-5 · p. 131
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Texas A&M
Proj. 8-4 · p. 128
Vanderbilt
Proj. 6-6 · p. 136
Big Ten · 18
Illinois
Proj. 7-5 · p. 59
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Iowa
Proj. 8-4 · p. 56
Maryland
Proj. 5-7 · p. 62
Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 54
Michigan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Minnesota
Proj. 5-7 · p. 63
Nebraska
Proj. 7-5 · p. 58
Northwestern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 61
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Penn State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 55
Purdue
Proj. 4-8 · p. 67
Rutgers
Proj. 5-7 · p. 66
UCLA
Proj. 5-7 · p. 64
USC
Proj. 8-4 · p. 53
Washington
Proj. 7-5 · p. 57
Wisconsin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 60
Big 12 · 16
Arizona
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Arizona State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 41
Baylor
Proj. 7-5 · p. 38
BYU
Proj. 9-3 · p. 34
Cincinnati
Proj. 6-6 · p. 43
Colorado
Proj. 6-6 · p. 42
Houston
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Iowa State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 48
Kansas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 45
Kansas State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 40
Oklahoma State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 44
TCU
Proj. 7-5 · p. 39
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
UCF
Proj. 6-6 · p. 46
Utah
Proj. 8-4 · p. 35
West Virginia
Proj. 5-7 · p. 47
ACC · 17
Boston College
Proj. 4-8 · p. 156
California
Proj. 5-7 · p. 154
Clemson
Proj. 8-4 · p. 142
Duke
Proj. 6-6 · p. 152
Florida State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 145
Georgia Tech
Proj. 6-6 · p. 150
Louisville
Proj. 8-4 · p. 144
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
NC State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 151
North Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 149
Pittsburgh
Proj. 7-5 · p. 148
SMU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 143
Stanford
Proj. 4-8 · p. 157
Syracuse
Proj. 5-7 · p. 155
Virginia
Proj. 8-4 · p. 146
Virginia Tech
Proj. 7-5 · p. 147
Wake Forest
Proj. 6-6 · p. 153
American · 14
Army
Proj. 6-6 · p. 115
Charlotte
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
East Carolina
Proj. 8-4 · p. 110
Florida Atlantic
Proj. 5-7 · p. 119
Memphis
Proj. 7-5 · p. 113
Navy
Proj. 8-4 · p. 111
North Texas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 116
Rice
Proj. 4-8 · p. 120
South Florida
Proj. 8-4 · p. 112
Temple
Proj. 5-7 · p. 117
Tulane
Proj. 8-4 · p. 109
Tulsa
Proj. 6-6 · p. 118
UAB
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
UTSA
Proj. 6-6 · p. 114
Mountain West · 10
Air Force
Proj. 7-5 · p. 16
Hawai'i
Proj. 8-4 · p. 14
Nevada
Proj. 5-7 · p. 18
New Mexico
Proj. 8-4 · p. 15
North Dakota State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 17
Northern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 21
San José State
Proj. 5-8 · p. 20
UNLV
Proj. 9-3 · p. 13
UTEP
Proj. 4-8 · p. 22
Wyoming
Proj. 5-7 · p. 19
Sun Belt · 14
App State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 103
Arkansas State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 101
Coastal Carolina
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
Georgia Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 99
Georgia State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
James Madison
Proj. 8-4 · p. 94
Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 98
Louisiana Tech
Proj. 5-7 · p. 102
Marshall
Proj. 6-6 · p. 100
Old Dominion
Proj. 7-5 · p. 95
South Alabama
Proj. 5-7 · p. 104
Southern Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 96
Troy
Proj. 6-6 · p. 97
UL Monroe
Proj. 3-9 · p. 107
CUSA · 10
Delaware
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
Florida International
Proj. 6-6 · p. 89
Jacksonville State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 86
Kennesaw State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Liberty
Proj. 7-5 · p. 85
Middle Tennessee
Proj. 4-8 · p. 91
Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
New Mexico State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 90
Sam Houston
Proj. 4-8 · p. 92
Western Kentucky
Proj. 7-5 · p. 83
MAC · 13
Akron
Proj. 4-8 · p. 78
Ball State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 79
Bowling Green
Proj. 5-7 · p. 76
Buffalo
Proj. 6-6 · p. 74
Central Michigan
Proj. 5-7 · p. 75
Eastern Michigan
Proj. 4-8 · p. 77
Kent State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 80
Massachusetts
Proj. 4-8 · p. 81
Miami (OH)
Proj. 7-5 · p. 71
Ohio
Proj. 7-5 · p. 72
Sacramento State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 73
Toledo
Proj. 8-4 · p. 69
Western Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 70
Pac-12 · 8
Boise State
Proj. 8-3 · p. 24
Colorado State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 31
Fresno State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 26
Oregon State
Proj. 4-7 · p. 30
San Diego State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 25
Texas State
Proj. 6-5 · p. 28
Utah State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 29
Washington State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 27
FBS Indep. · 2
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
UConn
Proj. 5-7 · p. 160

UTSA Roadrunners 2026 Season Preview

American Athletic · Jeff Traylor, year 7 · 7-6 last season · No. 88 in our FBS ratings

Rebuild the Other Side

Owen McCown returns to run an attack that already scored 35.5 points a game, so UTSA's 2026 ceiling comes down to whether a defense that bled 28.8 points a game a year ago can tighten up enough to turn shootouts into wins.

Traylor's Defensive Rebuild

Can Jeff Traylor overhaul a defense that returns just 35% of its production from a unit that allowed the numbers already covered on this page? The likeliest path is a rocky start followed by improvement, since Traylor has to plug that many new pieces into the two-deep with almost no returning experience to lean on, and that kind of turnover rarely irons out before October. UTSA's offense can mask some of it, but a defense rebuilding this much of its depth chart is the swing factor on whether 2026 looks like a step forward or a repeat of last year's split conference record.

A Gauntlet in October

The trip to Texas is a paycheck game UTSA is not built to win, but the stretch that actually shapes the season sits later, at Tulane and at Texas State, the two conference road tests where the Roadrunners are underdogs. A projected 6-6 record leans on cashing in the manageable slate around those games, home dates with Colorado State and Tulsa plus trips to Rice and UAB, all pegged above a coin flip. Jeff Traylor's group does not need to steal the marquee road game to get back to a bowl, it needs to sweep the games it is supposed to win and split the toss-ups against South Florida and Navy at home.

McCown's Floor Is Higher

A 7-6 finish sold this team short. UTSA went 1-3 in one-score games and squeaked by on a +6 turnover margin, two trends that rarely repeat, while its yardage margin in conference play actually points to a higher win rate than the 4-4 mark it produced. With Owen McCown back at quarterback and the offense flashing efficiency the league median can't match, 6-6 reads as a floor, and the American Athletic slate should show a team that finishes better than last year's record suggested.

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Traylor's Buried Breakthrough

A 1-3 mark in one-score games and a plus-6 turnover margin tell the real story behind UTSA's 7-6 finish: Jeff Traylor's group was sturdier than the record showed and unlucky in the games that decide seasons. Against league opponents the offense outgained foes by 48.5 yards per game yet won at a lower rate than that margin implies, the mark of a team that should have banked more of those games rather than one riding a hot streak. The offense also scored efficiently, needing just 11.9 yards per point against a 14.1 league median, but the defense let opponents in cheap at 12.9, the piece Traylor has to tighten for the breakthrough to actually show up in the win column in 2026.

McCown's Offense, Same Ceiling

Owen McCown returns as the settled starter behind an offense that scored 35.5 points per game and ranked 23rd nationally in explosiveness, so the scoring punch is not the question. The issue is the defense, which allowed 28.8 points per game despite a havoc rate that ranked 18th nationally, a gap between disruption and results that Jeff Traylor has to close. If that defensive finish tightens even a little, UTSA's scoring attack with McCown at the controls makes this a rangier team than the 7-6 mark suggests.

Owen McCown holds the job, and that stability matters for an offense that already scored 35.5 points a game and ranked 23rd nationally in explosiveness. The stat line behind him is thin on paper, just a 40-yard punting average and Brandon Tennison's 199 yards and 2 touchdowns in relief work, but Jeff Traylor built this attack to run through his starter rather than lean on a deep resume. The reinforcements arrive from different directions, with Mark Wiepert transferring in from Oregon and Maguire Gasperson signing out of Argyle as a three-star high school prospect, giving McCown insurance rather than competition as UTSA tries to push past a 39.7% third-down rate that lagged the rest of the numbers.

Will Henderson III put up 866 yards and 6 touchdowns behind Robert Henry Jr. last season, and now he inherits the backfield outright with Henry gone. That is a lot to ask of a room otherwise short on proven touches, though A'Marion Peterson (177 yards) and Bryson Donnell (84 yards) both showed flashes and give Jeff Traylor a change of pace. UTSA ran for just 174 yards per game a year ago, so the staff brought in Brandon High Jr., who rushed for 98 yards and a score at California, to push Henderson rather than replace him.

The top of this room stays intact even with Devin McCuin's 65 catches and 726 yards gone, since David Amador II (45 catches, 443 yards) and AJ Wilson (523 yards on just 30 grabs) both return as proven weapons in a passing attack that ranked 46th nationally in yards per game. Jeff Traylor restocks the room with five three-star arrivals, headlined by James Madison II out of Missouri and Christian Dupree from Samuel Clemens, giving UTSA bodies to replace the volume McCuin took with him. DJ Allen Jr. and Jamel Hardy Jr. add proven hands underneath, so the ceiling here is less about finding a number one and more about whether the new pieces can turn explosive shots into the touchdowns McCuin used to provide.

UTSA is replacing every meaningful tight end from an offense that put up 35.5 points a game, with Patrick Overmyer, Houston Thomas and Dan Dishman combining to walk out the door with 71 catches between them. Nobody currently on hand has caught a pass in a Roadrunners uniform, so Jeff Traylor went to the portal for Miles Campbell, a 4-star Florida A&M transfer who caught 21 balls for 305 yards, and he projects as the early answer at the position. Isaiah Butler-Tanner and Ty Rupe give the room some returning bodies, but Campbell is the proven piece expected to keep this passing game's explosiveness intact.

Jeff Traylor's line produced 174 rushing yards per game (52nd) and gave up 21 sacks a year ago, and now seven of last season's linemen are out the door, headlined by the departures of Demetris Allen, Andrew Alvarado and Cory Godinet. Jaylen Garth is the lone senior among the 13 returning linemen, joining juniors Darrell Jones, Ben Rios, Deandre Marshall and Eucebio Ramos to anchor a group with no clear proven starters. Traylor leaned on high school recruiting to restock up front, signing Payton Williams and Josiah Evans along with tackle Ibrahim Kebe and Oklahoma State transfer Jarrett Henry, and how fast that mix jells will decide whether an offense that ranked 14th in scoring can hold that level in the American.

Tai Leonard's 3.5 TFL were a modest total for a line that produced 77 tackles for loss and an 18.5% havoc rate, ranked 18th nationally, a year ago, and now that production has to survive the exit of eight linemen, including Chidera Otutu, Kenny Ozowalu and Jon Jones. Jeff Traylor leaned on the portal to patch it, adding Elijah Baldwin from UTEP, whose 5.5 TFL and 3.5 sacks in 2025 make him the likely disruptor off the edge, alongside Collins Acheampong from Bowling Green. With Leonard and Jameian Buxton the only proven returning pieces, UTSA's pass rush, already just 76th in sacks, is riding on newcomers to keep the tackle-for-loss numbers from collapsing.

Shad Banks Jr.'s 93 tackles walk out the door, and nobody currently on the roster is close to that workload, which is the real story here. Brandon Tucker (35 tackles, 3 TFL) and Owen Pewee (28 tackles, 4 TFL) return as the closest thing to proven volume, while James Walley Jr. brings the disruption skill (5.5 TFL, 2 sacks on just 19 tackles) that fits a defense that already ranks 18th nationally in havoc rate. UTSA didn't add a portal name at linebacker, leaning instead on three-star freshmen Brandon Brown and Braeden Lott plus California transfer Eze Osondu, so 2026 is a bet that Tucker, Pewee and Walley can turn disruption into tackles without Banks anchoring the middle.

UTSA's back end loses its three leading tacklers in the group, Jimmy Wyrick (62), Tyan Milton (51) and Jermarius Lewis (25), gutting a safety room that had actually produced. Cam Upshaw Jr. and Elijah Newell, each with 13 tackles, inherit that starting safety work, while Jakevian Rodgers (23 tackles, 2 TFL) anchors a corner room that stays mostly intact with Ahamad Chapman, Lawrence Brown Jr. and Zach Morris back. The incoming class, led by three-star safeties Jarvse Dickerson and Xavier Walton and corner Derek Straughn, arrives without proven college production, so a defense that already allowed 223 passing yards per game leans on its returning corners to hold up while the new safeties get up to speed.

The specialist that matters here is Michael Petro, who hit 17 of 20 field goals with a long of 45 and put up 107 points, giving UTSA a proven closer instead of a guessing game at kicker even with Jesse Perez also in the mix. Caile Hogan returns after handling 54 punts at a 44.6-yard clip, so the punting operation carries over intact while the departures at kicker and long snapper (Jaffer Murphy, Isaac Hatfield) were never statistical losses to begin with. With Jon Stephens III back at snapper, this is a unit built on continuity rather than replacement, and Petro's leg should keep close AAC games from turning on special teams mistakes.

McCown Inherits a Retooled Front

UTSA gutted its skill-position production, losing Robert Henry Jr. (1045 yards, 9 TD), Devin McCuin (65 catches, 726 yards, 8 TD) and both tight ends Patrick Overmyer and Houston Thomas, but the answer this time came almost entirely off the edge. Elijah Baldwin arrives from UTEP with 3.5 sacks and 5.5 TFL already on his résumé, joined by fellow transfer rushers Jeremiah Bailey, Collins Acheampong and Dylan Spencer, while Miles Campbell steps in at tight end after producing 21 catches and 305 yards at Florida A&M. Owen McCown runs the offense with almost none of last season's leading playmakers back, which makes Jeff Traylor's defensive retooling, not the skill spots, the real bet for 2026.

Will Henderson III

Robert Henry Jr. and his 1045 yards are gone, and the ground game now rests on Will Henderson III, who already put up 866 yards and 6 touchdowns as a complement piece last fall. Owen McCown returns to run the offense and AJ Wilson and David Amador II give him proven targets, but UTSA's identity under Jeff Traylor is built on the run, and Henderson has to become the workhorse rather than the second option for that formula to hold.

Traylor's Home-Road Divide

UTSA bettors know the drill under Jeff Traylor: at the Alamodome it is a near lock, covering 67% of the time and going 4-2 outright, but load up on the road and the results flip hard, a 33% cover rate and a 2-4 mark away from home. That gap held even as a road underdog, where the Roadrunners covered just once in three tries. The one time oddsmakers respected them against a ranked opponent, they cashed, so the market still trusts Traylor's group when the spotlight is biggest, just not when the bus leaves San Antonio.

15 more sections in the full UTSA Roadrunners preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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