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2026
College
Football
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138 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
138 teams · 160 pages
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160 pages: a page for each of the 138 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to which coaches are on the hot seat.
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In this issue · 160 pages
View FCS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 11
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Coaching Pressure
p. 2
Transfer Portal
p. 3
Power Poll
p. 4
Experience Report
p. 5
All-Americans
p. 6
Position Units
p. 7
Most Improved
p. 8
Bull & Bear
p. 9
Toughest Schedule
p. 10
Conference Rankings
p. 11
Conferences · 11
Mountain West
10 teams · p. 12
Pac-12
8 teams · p. 23
Big 12
16 teams · p. 32
Big Ten
18 teams · p. 49
Mid-American
13 teams · p. 68
Conference USA
10 teams · p. 82
Sun Belt
14 teams · p. 93
American Athletic
14 teams · p. 108
SEC
16 teams · p. 123
ACC
17 teams · p. 140
FBS Independents
2 teams · p. 158
Teams · 138, one page each
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
SEC · 16
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 138
Auburn
Proj. 7-5 · p. 134
Florida
Proj. 7-5 · p. 132
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 137
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Mississippi State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 139
Missouri
Proj. 7-5 · p. 133
Oklahoma
Proj. 8-4 · p. 129
Ole Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 130
South Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 135
Tennessee
Proj. 7-5 · p. 131
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Texas A&M
Proj. 8-4 · p. 128
Vanderbilt
Proj. 6-6 · p. 136
Big Ten · 18
Illinois
Proj. 7-5 · p. 59
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Iowa
Proj. 8-4 · p. 56
Maryland
Proj. 5-7 · p. 62
Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 54
Michigan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Minnesota
Proj. 5-7 · p. 63
Nebraska
Proj. 7-5 · p. 58
Northwestern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 61
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Penn State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 55
Purdue
Proj. 4-8 · p. 67
Rutgers
Proj. 5-7 · p. 66
UCLA
Proj. 5-7 · p. 64
USC
Proj. 8-4 · p. 53
Washington
Proj. 7-5 · p. 57
Wisconsin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 60
Big 12 · 16
Arizona
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Arizona State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 41
Baylor
Proj. 7-5 · p. 38
BYU
Proj. 9-3 · p. 34
Cincinnati
Proj. 6-6 · p. 43
Colorado
Proj. 6-6 · p. 42
Houston
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Iowa State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 48
Kansas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 45
Kansas State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 40
Oklahoma State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 44
TCU
Proj. 7-5 · p. 39
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
UCF
Proj. 6-6 · p. 46
Utah
Proj. 8-4 · p. 35
West Virginia
Proj. 5-7 · p. 47
ACC · 17
Boston College
Proj. 4-8 · p. 156
California
Proj. 5-7 · p. 154
Clemson
Proj. 8-4 · p. 142
Duke
Proj. 6-6 · p. 152
Florida State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 145
Georgia Tech
Proj. 6-6 · p. 150
Louisville
Proj. 8-4 · p. 144
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
NC State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 151
North Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 149
Pittsburgh
Proj. 7-5 · p. 148
SMU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 143
Stanford
Proj. 4-8 · p. 157
Syracuse
Proj. 5-7 · p. 155
Virginia
Proj. 8-4 · p. 146
Virginia Tech
Proj. 7-5 · p. 147
Wake Forest
Proj. 6-6 · p. 153
American · 14
Army
Proj. 6-6 · p. 115
Charlotte
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
East Carolina
Proj. 8-4 · p. 110
Florida Atlantic
Proj. 5-7 · p. 119
Memphis
Proj. 7-5 · p. 113
Navy
Proj. 8-4 · p. 111
North Texas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 116
Rice
Proj. 4-8 · p. 120
South Florida
Proj. 8-4 · p. 112
Temple
Proj. 5-7 · p. 117
Tulane
Proj. 8-4 · p. 109
Tulsa
Proj. 6-6 · p. 118
UAB
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
UTSA
Proj. 6-6 · p. 114
Mountain West · 10
Air Force
Proj. 7-5 · p. 16
Hawai'i
Proj. 8-4 · p. 14
Nevada
Proj. 5-7 · p. 18
New Mexico
Proj. 8-4 · p. 15
North Dakota State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 17
Northern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 21
San José State
Proj. 5-8 · p. 20
UNLV
Proj. 9-3 · p. 13
UTEP
Proj. 4-8 · p. 22
Wyoming
Proj. 5-7 · p. 19
Sun Belt · 14
App State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 103
Arkansas State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 101
Coastal Carolina
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
Georgia Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 99
Georgia State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
James Madison
Proj. 8-4 · p. 94
Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 98
Louisiana Tech
Proj. 5-7 · p. 102
Marshall
Proj. 6-6 · p. 100
Old Dominion
Proj. 7-5 · p. 95
South Alabama
Proj. 5-7 · p. 104
Southern Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 96
Troy
Proj. 6-6 · p. 97
UL Monroe
Proj. 3-9 · p. 107
CUSA · 10
Delaware
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
Florida International
Proj. 6-6 · p. 89
Jacksonville State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 86
Kennesaw State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Liberty
Proj. 7-5 · p. 85
Middle Tennessee
Proj. 4-8 · p. 91
Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
New Mexico State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 90
Sam Houston
Proj. 4-8 · p. 92
Western Kentucky
Proj. 7-5 · p. 83
MAC · 13
Akron
Proj. 4-8 · p. 78
Ball State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 79
Bowling Green
Proj. 5-7 · p. 76
Buffalo
Proj. 6-6 · p. 74
Central Michigan
Proj. 5-7 · p. 75
Eastern Michigan
Proj. 4-8 · p. 77
Kent State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 80
Massachusetts
Proj. 4-8 · p. 81
Miami (OH)
Proj. 7-5 · p. 71
Ohio
Proj. 7-5 · p. 72
Sacramento State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 73
Toledo
Proj. 8-4 · p. 69
Western Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 70
Pac-12 · 8
Boise State
Proj. 8-3 · p. 24
Colorado State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 31
Fresno State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 26
Oregon State
Proj. 4-7 · p. 30
San Diego State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 25
Texas State
Proj. 6-5 · p. 28
Utah State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 29
Washington State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 27
FBS Indep. · 2
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
UConn
Proj. 5-7 · p. 160

Michigan State Spartans 2026 Season Preview

Big Ten · Pat Fitzgerald, year 1 · 4-8 last season · No. 65 in our FBS ratings

Fitzgerald's Rebuild Year One

Pat Fitzgerald inherits a top-38 talent base and just 24% returning production, which means Alessio Milivojevic, projected to run the offense, is doing it behind almost an entirely new supporting cast trying to fix a unit that scored 24.6 points per game a year ago.

Milivojevic's First Full Season

Can Alessio Milivojevic hold up as the guy running this offense for a full year? With only 25.1% of offensive production back and Aidan Chiles gone, Milivojevic inherits a nearly bare cupboard around him, and the more likely path is a rocky, uneven first season as he learns on the job rather than a smooth transition. Michigan State's offense will go only as far as Milivojevic's growth allows, and 2026 reads as his proving ground, not his breakout.

A Brutal Welcome for Fitzgerald

Pat Fitzgerald inherits a Michigan State roster fresh off a 4-8 collapse, and his first slate offers little shelter, with trips to Notre Dame and Michigan bracketed around a home date with Oregon, three games the numbers say the Spartans lose more often than not. The bowl math realistically runs through the murkier middle tier, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Illinois, Northwestern and Rutgers all sitting near a coin flip, which is where a first-year staff either scrapes out the extra win or watches 5-7 become the ceiling instead of the outcome. Easy money against Toledo and Eastern Michigan should get Fitzgerald to two wins before conference play ever tests what he actually has.

A Fitzgerald Rebuild, Not a Turnaround

Sixteenth in the Big Ten and a 27 percent bowl number tell the real story here, a year one program reset with a coaching change and almost none of last year's production coming back. Five wins is the ceiling worth expecting, not a floor to clear, since Milivojevic still has to prove he can run a full season before anyone talks about East Lansing catching the middle of this league. Call it a step, not a leap, with 2026 about building toward 2027 rather than sneaking into the postseason.

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A Fresh Start in East Lansing

Pat Fitzgerald inherits a program that finished 4-8 and 1-8 in Big Ten play, numbers that belong to the previous staff, not to him. His first roster in 2026 is a clean slate, and the overall power ranking near the 65 mark suggests a team with enough pieces to be competitive week to week rather than a rebuild from scratch. The real story this year is installation, how quickly Fitzgerald's systems replace last season's conference results, not what happened before he arrived.

A Punter as Placeholder QB1

The starkest sign of how bare this offense is entering 2026 sits at quarterback, where the only returning player with any 2025 stat line at the position is Alessio Milivojevic, a punter with three punts and a 36-yard average, projected as the starter by default rather than production. That fact alone explains an offense that ranked 110th in third down rate and 125th in sacks allowed a year ago, numbers a first-time starter under center will not fix on his own. Pat Fitzgerald takes over a group that finished 99th in total yards with essentially no proven passing or rushing answer already in the building, meaning 2026 is about whoever wins snaps behind Milivojevic on the depth chart, not building on what returns.

Michigan State's quarterback room has no name recognition from last season worth keeping, since Aidan Chiles is gone and neither Peyton Babbitt nor Leo Hannan has thrown a college pass. That vacuum makes Alessio Milivojevic the front-runner heading into Pat Fitzgerald's first camp, but the job is not his outright, with UCF transfer Cam Fancher and four-star East Kentwood signee Kayd Coffman both in the mix. Whoever wins it inherits an offense that ranked 125th in sacks allowed and 110th on third downs, so the bigger fix may be the five in front of him, not the arm behind them.

Pat Fitzgerald inherits a backfield that lost its top two producers in Elijah Tau-Tolliver and Makhi Frazier, but the cupboard is not bare: Marvis Parrish (576 yards) and Brandon Tullis (4 TD) both return to anchor a run game that finished 110th in rushing yards per game. Iowa transfer Jaziun Patterson arrives with 296 rushing yards of his own experience, giving Fitzgerald a proven complement rather than an unproven flier, while UConn's Cam Edwards adds a pass-catching option out of the backfield. The talent is there to rotate bodies, but until Michigan State's line stops allowing the kind of pressure that contributed to 37 sacks allowed, no combination of Parrish, Tullis and Patterson fixes an offense stuck near the bottom third of the country in yards per play.

Nick Marsh and Chrishon McCray are gone, taking their combined production out the door with them, so Jameel Gardner Jr. (32 catches, 445 yards, 2 TD) becomes the clear top target by default in Pat Fitzgerald's first year running things. The portal answer is KK Smith, who arrives from Notre Dame with modest numbers of his own (8 catches, 123 yards, 2 TD), while Fredrick Moore comes over from Michigan with just 1 tackle to his name, hardly a receiving résumé. This is a rebuild-on-the-fly group, leaning on unproven names like Colin Charles, Braylon Collier and Nick Hardy plus a four-star high school addition in Samson Gash, and it has to answer for an offense that ranked 99th in total yards per game a year ago.

Michigan State loses its entire tight end production in one offseason, with Jack Velling (36 catches, 359 yards, 3 TD) and Michael Masunas (19 catches, 232 yards, 3 TD) both gone from a passing game that already ranked 70th nationally. Nobody left behind carries any real receiving resume, Kai Rios and Jayden Savoury combined for two catches last year, so the answer arrives from outside: four-star signee Joey Caudill headlines the incoming class, joined by Eddie Whiting and transfer Carson Gulker from Ferris State. Pat Fitzgerald inherits a room that needs its newcomers to produce immediately, not develop on the side, if this offense is going to move off its 99th-ranked yardage total from a year ago.

Michigan State allowed 37 sacks and managed just 123 rushing yards per game in 2025, a line that let both the run game and Pat Fitzgerald's new offense stall behind it. Fitzgerald and his staff rebuilt from the ground up, with 15 linemen departing against just seven returning, including senior Conner Moore and Luka Vincic. The fixes came from two directions: high-three-star tackle prospects Collin Campbell and Eli Bickel headline the recruiting haul, while Ben Murawski arrives via the transfer portal from UConn to compete immediately along the edge.

Michigan State gutted its front five, losing Alex VanSumeren, Jalen Thompson and Quindarius Dunnigan off a line that produced just 56 tackles for loss (113th) and 13.5% havoc (110th) a year ago, and Pat Fitzgerald is rebuilding almost entirely with modest three-star additions. Isaac Smith returns with 25 tackles but only 1 sack, and none of the incoming names, Eli Coenen from Illinois or Keahnist Thompson from Weber State, arrive with resumes suggesting immediate juice off the edge. With 22 sacks and a run-stuff rate of 16.8% (104th) as the baseline, this group projects to be a patchwork unit still finding its pass rush rather than fixing one.

Jordan Hall's 88 tackles and 4.5 TFL are the one proven piece in a linebacker room Pat Fitzgerald is otherwise rebuilding from scratch through the portal. Kenny Soares Jr. (80 tackles at NC State) and Dion Crawford (79 tackles, 3.5 sacks at Buffalo) arrive as ready-made replacements for departed thumpers Darius Snow and Aisea Moa, while DiMari Malone and DeJae White carry no track record into a defense that ranked 113th in tackles for loss and 110th in havoc rate a year ago. If Soares and Crawford play to their transfer production alongside Hall, this group upgrades on paper even if the raw numbers around them stayed ugly in 2025.

Michigan State's leading tackler in this secondary, Malcolm Bell, is gone, along with Armorion Smith and Aydan West, gutting a group that already ranked 93rd in passing yards allowed. Pat Fitzgerald leans on the portal to patch it, bringing in Tre Bell from Iowa State (36 tackles, 4 TFL) and Charles Brantley from Miami to start immediately at corner, while Nikai Martinez (24 tackles) is the lone returning starter with real snaps. With five new faces replacing nearly all of last year's production, this defense stays a work in progress until the transfers prove they can tackle in space at Big Ten speed.

Michigan State rebuilds its kicking operation almost entirely through the portal after Martin Connington, who left having gone 12 of 16 with a long of 50, is no longer on the roster. Iowa transfer Rhys Dakin, who averaged 43.6 yards on 42 punts, steps in as the new punter, while Charlotte transfer Liam Boyd, who made 9 of 12 field goals with a 42-yard long, arrives to handle placekicking duties. With Blake Sislo also gone, none of last year's specialists return, so Pat Fitzgerald's staff is banking on proven transfer production rather than internal continuity to stabilize the unit in year one.

Nearly Everyone New

Pat Fitzgerald inherits a roster that lost both leading wideouts in Nick Marsh (662 yards) and Omari Kelly (626 yards) plus both backs in Makhi Frazier and Elijah Tau-Tolliver, and answered with 28 portal arrivals rather than proven skill talent, headlined by Iowa transfer Jaziun Patterson at running back and Notre Dame's KK Smith at receiver. Alessio Milivojevic, who threw for punts rather than passes a year ago, is projected to run the offense, while the defense leans on transfer linebackers Kenny Soares Jr. and Dion Crawford to replace Wayne Matthews III's 73 tackles. With a 45th-ranked recruiting class layered on top of that turnover, 2026 reads as a full reconstruction rather than a continuation of the 4-8 season that preceded it.

Jordan Hall's Defense

Michigan State's season swings on whether Jordan Hall, coming off 88 tackles and 4.5 TFL, can anchor a front that gets real help from NC State transfer Kenny Soares Jr., who brings 80 tackles and 4 TFL of his own experience into the mix. Pat Fitzgerald inherits a 1-8 conference team with a new quarterback picture, so the fastest path to competitive games in Year 1 runs through a linebacker corps that can force stops early while Alessio Milivojevic and the offense find its footing. If Hall and Soares hold up against Big Ten rushing attacks, Michigan State stays in games it lost a year ago.

Home Favorite, Road Dog

Michigan State's 4-8 record hides a split personality bettors chased hard last year. As a home favorite the Spartans went 0-4 against the spread, but as road underdogs they covered all five, and against ranked teams they covered three times without winning a single one of those games outright. That pattern is exactly the résumé of a 1-8 conference team, close enough to keep bookmakers honest but not to actually win, and Pat Fitzgerald's first season is about whether new pieces turn those backdoor covers into upsets rather than more decorated losses.

15 more sections in the full Michigan State Spartans preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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