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2026
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138 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
138 teams · 160 pages
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In this issue · 160 pages
View FCS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 11
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Coaching Pressure
p. 2
Transfer Portal
p. 3
Power Poll
p. 4
Experience Report
p. 5
All-Americans
p. 6
Position Units
p. 7
Most Improved
p. 8
Bull & Bear
p. 9
Toughest Schedule
p. 10
Conference Rankings
p. 11
Conferences · 11
Mountain West
10 teams · p. 12
Pac-12
8 teams · p. 23
Big 12
16 teams · p. 32
Big Ten
18 teams · p. 49
Mid-American
13 teams · p. 68
Conference USA
10 teams · p. 82
Sun Belt
14 teams · p. 93
American Athletic
14 teams · p. 108
SEC
16 teams · p. 123
ACC
17 teams · p. 140
FBS Independents
2 teams · p. 158
Teams · 138, one page each
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
SEC · 16
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 138
Auburn
Proj. 7-5 · p. 134
Florida
Proj. 7-5 · p. 132
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 137
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Mississippi State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 139
Missouri
Proj. 7-5 · p. 133
Oklahoma
Proj. 8-4 · p. 129
Ole Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 130
South Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 135
Tennessee
Proj. 7-5 · p. 131
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Texas A&M
Proj. 8-4 · p. 128
Vanderbilt
Proj. 6-6 · p. 136
Big Ten · 18
Illinois
Proj. 7-5 · p. 59
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Iowa
Proj. 8-4 · p. 56
Maryland
Proj. 5-7 · p. 62
Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 54
Michigan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Minnesota
Proj. 5-7 · p. 63
Nebraska
Proj. 7-5 · p. 58
Northwestern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 61
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Penn State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 55
Purdue
Proj. 4-8 · p. 67
Rutgers
Proj. 5-7 · p. 66
UCLA
Proj. 5-7 · p. 64
USC
Proj. 8-4 · p. 53
Washington
Proj. 7-5 · p. 57
Wisconsin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 60
Big 12 · 16
Arizona
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Arizona State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 41
Baylor
Proj. 7-5 · p. 38
BYU
Proj. 9-3 · p. 34
Cincinnati
Proj. 6-6 · p. 43
Colorado
Proj. 6-6 · p. 42
Houston
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Iowa State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 48
Kansas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 45
Kansas State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 40
Oklahoma State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 44
TCU
Proj. 7-5 · p. 39
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
UCF
Proj. 6-6 · p. 46
Utah
Proj. 8-4 · p. 35
West Virginia
Proj. 5-7 · p. 47
ACC · 17
Boston College
Proj. 4-8 · p. 156
California
Proj. 5-7 · p. 154
Clemson
Proj. 8-4 · p. 142
Duke
Proj. 6-6 · p. 152
Florida State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 145
Georgia Tech
Proj. 6-6 · p. 150
Louisville
Proj. 8-4 · p. 144
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
NC State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 151
North Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 149
Pittsburgh
Proj. 7-5 · p. 148
SMU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 143
Stanford
Proj. 4-8 · p. 157
Syracuse
Proj. 5-7 · p. 155
Virginia
Proj. 8-4 · p. 146
Virginia Tech
Proj. 7-5 · p. 147
Wake Forest
Proj. 6-6 · p. 153
American · 14
Army
Proj. 6-6 · p. 115
Charlotte
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
East Carolina
Proj. 8-4 · p. 110
Florida Atlantic
Proj. 5-7 · p. 119
Memphis
Proj. 7-5 · p. 113
Navy
Proj. 8-4 · p. 111
North Texas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 116
Rice
Proj. 4-8 · p. 120
South Florida
Proj. 8-4 · p. 112
Temple
Proj. 5-7 · p. 117
Tulane
Proj. 8-4 · p. 109
Tulsa
Proj. 6-6 · p. 118
UAB
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
UTSA
Proj. 6-6 · p. 114
Mountain West · 10
Air Force
Proj. 7-5 · p. 16
Hawai'i
Proj. 8-4 · p. 14
Nevada
Proj. 5-7 · p. 18
New Mexico
Proj. 8-4 · p. 15
North Dakota State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 17
Northern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 21
San José State
Proj. 5-8 · p. 20
UNLV
Proj. 9-3 · p. 13
UTEP
Proj. 4-8 · p. 22
Wyoming
Proj. 5-7 · p. 19
Sun Belt · 14
App State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 103
Arkansas State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 101
Coastal Carolina
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
Georgia Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 99
Georgia State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
James Madison
Proj. 8-4 · p. 94
Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 98
Louisiana Tech
Proj. 5-7 · p. 102
Marshall
Proj. 6-6 · p. 100
Old Dominion
Proj. 7-5 · p. 95
South Alabama
Proj. 5-7 · p. 104
Southern Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 96
Troy
Proj. 6-6 · p. 97
UL Monroe
Proj. 3-9 · p. 107
CUSA · 10
Delaware
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
Florida International
Proj. 6-6 · p. 89
Jacksonville State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 86
Kennesaw State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Liberty
Proj. 7-5 · p. 85
Middle Tennessee
Proj. 4-8 · p. 91
Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
New Mexico State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 90
Sam Houston
Proj. 4-8 · p. 92
Western Kentucky
Proj. 7-5 · p. 83
MAC · 13
Akron
Proj. 4-8 · p. 78
Ball State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 79
Bowling Green
Proj. 5-7 · p. 76
Buffalo
Proj. 6-6 · p. 74
Central Michigan
Proj. 5-7 · p. 75
Eastern Michigan
Proj. 4-8 · p. 77
Kent State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 80
Massachusetts
Proj. 4-8 · p. 81
Miami (OH)
Proj. 7-5 · p. 71
Ohio
Proj. 7-5 · p. 72
Sacramento State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 73
Toledo
Proj. 8-4 · p. 69
Western Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 70
Pac-12 · 8
Boise State
Proj. 8-3 · p. 24
Colorado State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 31
Fresno State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 26
Oregon State
Proj. 4-7 · p. 30
San Diego State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 25
Texas State
Proj. 6-5 · p. 28
Utah State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 29
Washington State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 27
FBS Indep. · 2
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
UConn
Proj. 5-7 · p. 160

Iowa State Cyclones 2026 Season Preview

Big 12 · Jimmy Rogers, year 1 · 8-4 last season · No. 72 in our FBS ratings

Rogers Rebuilds Around Raynor

Jimmy Rogers takes over a program that finished 8-4 with a defense that ranked 27th in scoring, but he's asking a nearly all-new roster, just 9% returning production, to hold that level while Raynor learns the league on the fly.

Raynor's Supporting Cast

Can Jaylen Raynor win with almost nobody around him who did it in Ames last season? Iowa State returns just 3.3% of its offensive production, meaning Raynor's protection, backfield and receivers are essentially strangers to each other and to Big 12 defenses. Expect early growing pains as those pieces sort themselves out, with Raynor's own track record carrying the offense longer than the roster around him will help it.

A Gauntlet for Rogers

Jimmy Rogers inherits an 8-4 team but a schedule that offers almost no margin for a first-year staff to find its footing, with the season's verdict likely written on the road at BYU and Arizona and in the annual trip to Iowa, three games where Iowa State is projected as the underdog. Home dates with Utah and Oklahoma State add more tests before the Cyclones ever get to the layup against Southeast Missouri State, and a projected slide to 5-7 reflects just how unforgiving that October-through-November stretch looks. If Rogers is going to establish an identity in year one, it will show up in how competitive Iowa State plays in those three toss-up road games, not in the paper record against the rest of the slate.

A First-Year Reset

A 16th-place projection in the Big 12 with a 40 percent bowl number feels harsh for a program that just won 8 games, but Jimmy Rogers is rebuilding this roster around Jaylen Raynor almost from scratch, and that kind of turnover rarely produces a clean jump. The 5-7 call looks like the honest floor for a first-year staff learning its personnel on the fly, not a program in freefall. Bank on a rough middle season in Ames, with bowl eligibility as a stretch goal rather than an expectation.

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A New Voice in Ames

Jimmy Rogers takes over a program that just went 8-4 and 5-4 in Big 12 play, which hands him a foundation most first-year coaches never inherit. The bar he is working against is a winning record and a middle-of-the-pack national ranking at No. 72, not a rebuild. Iowa State's 2026 story is whether a new staff can keep that level intact through the transition, not whether it needed fixing in the first place.

A New Arm, Same Grind

Iowa State's offense stalled short of the end zone last fall, ranking 85th in points per scoring opportunity and 92nd in explosiveness despite solid yardage numbers, and the fix isn't scheme, it's the arm. Jaylen Raynor arrives from Arkansas State having already thrown for 3,364 yards and 19 touchdowns, and his job is simple: turn Iowa State's drives into finished ones instead of field goals. The defense that held teams to 20.2 points per game returns as the safety net, but this team's ceiling in 2026 rides on whether Raynor can supply the explosive plays this offense couldn't find on its own.

Rocco Becht's 2,565 yards and 16 touchdowns walk out the door with him, and Jimmy Rogers hands the offense to Arkansas State transfer Jaylen Raynor rather than let it play out as a competition. Raynor threw for 3,364 yards last season, well beyond anything Iowa State got from its quarterbacks in 2025, though his 11 interceptions travel with him too. With Connor Moberly and Wyatt Bohm unproven and fellow transfer Zane Flores coming off a rough stretch at Oklahoma State, Raynor's volume passing arrives as the clearest fix for an offense that ranked 73rd in passing yards per game and 92nd in explosiveness a year ago.

Carson Hansen and Abu Sama III combined for nearly all of last year's rushing production, and both are gone, leaving a room where the top returner, Aiden Flora, managed just 58 yards a season ago. Jimmy Rogers rebuilt the position almost entirely through the portal, importing Cameron Pettaway from Bowling Green off a 365-yard season and Salahadin Allah from Oregon State, while three unproven freshmen add bodies but no track record. This is a backfield defined by turnover rather than continuity, and Pettaway's workload will say more about Iowa State's 2026 rushing attack than anything on last year's card.

Iowa State didn't lose its receiver production this offseason, it imported all of it. Brett Eskildsen and Chase Sowell are gone, and the leading returning option, Dominic Overby, caught just 7 passes a year ago, so the rebuild runs through the portal: Cody Jackson arrives from Tarleton State off a 53-catch, 799-yard season, with Omari Hayes (39 catches, 515 yards at Tulane) and Carter Pabst adding more proven hands. With a passing attack that ranked 73rd in yards per game and 92nd in explosiveness last year, Jackson projects as the immediate top target for a group that's betting transfer production translates faster than developing what was already on campus.

Iowa State loses its entire tight end production, including Benjamin Brahmer's 37 catches and 6 touchdowns, and turns to the portal to replace it wholesale. Tyler Fortenberry arrives from Arkansas State with 32 grabs and 294 yards already on his résumé, the clear plug-and-play answer at the position, while Drake DeBaun, Luke Galer, Jordan Vyborny and Drew Byrd stock the room with fresh bodies but no track record. With returning options like Vince Benetti carrying just 1 career tackle, Fortenberry is not competing for the job, he is the job, and this group's ceiling rides on how fast Jimmy Rogers folds him into an offense that already needs more explosive plays.

Jimmy Rogers inherits a front that allowed 22 sacks and posted middling explosiveness (92nd) in 2025, and now has to reconstruct it with 15 departures against just eight returning bodies. Gabriel Greenlee and Austin Barrett are the most experienced holdovers, but with the notable losses up front, Rogers went to the transfer market for immediate answers, bringing in tackles Jake Taylor (Oklahoma) and Maasai King (Akron) alongside interior addition Caden Maas (Sioux Falls). This is a rebuild year for the line, and how fast those transfers gel with Greenlee and Barrett will decide whether Iowa State's 174 rushing yards per game holds up or slips.

Iowa State's pass rush finished 129th in sacks a year ago, and the fix came entirely through the portal from one program: Isaac Terrell (7 sacks, 12 TFL), Bryson Lamb (25 tackles, 1.5 sacks) and Malaki Ta'ase (2.5 sacks, 4 TFL) all arrive from Washington State with real production already on tape. That trio slots in around Jace Gilbert, the returning leader up front with 3 TFL, while the departures of Alijah Carnell and BJ Carter clear the way for Terrell to headline the edge rotation from day one. This is a defensive line that stopped runs at a respectable rate (36th) but couldn't get to the passer, and the Washington State transfers are the direct answer to that specific problem.

Kooper Ebel's 77 tackles and 8 TFL walk out the door, and Iowa State didn't wait around to replace that production, going to the portal for Sullivan Schlimgen, who brings 49 tackles and 1.5 TFL from Washington State. Carson Willich's 18 tackles top the returning group, but nobody back from 2025 sniffed Ebel's disruption, which matters for a defense that finished 129th in sacks and 100th in tackles for loss a year ago. Schlimgen projects as the every-down piece in the middle while Bradley Esser, Montreze Smith Jr. and Tristan Exline arrive with no game tape yet, so the havoc numbers this defense needs likely come from Schlimgen before anyone else.

Marcus Neal Jr. and his 77 tackles are gone, and Ta'Shawn James and Quentin Taylor Jr. left with him, gutting a secondary that helped Iowa State hold opponents to 20.2 points a game. Jimmy Rogers is replacing that group almost entirely through the portal, leaning on Malcolm Jones (51 tackles, 5 TFL at Jacksonville State) and Braden Awls (48 tackles, 6.5 TFL at Toledo) to start immediately alongside holdover Drew Surges. With Caden Matson and corners David Coffey and Beni Ngoyi back but light on tackle production, the new safeties from Jacksonville State and Toledo are the ones who have to hit the ground running for this unit to hold its 2025 level.

Kyle Konrardy is back after hitting 14 of 18 field goals with a long of 63, giving Jimmy Rogers a proven leg while everything else in the kicking game gets a facelift. Tyler Perkins and his 42.4-yard average are gone, leaving the punting job to incoming Ethan Gurney, whose specialist pedigree made him a priority addition even without a college snap to his name. Chase Smith adds competition at kicker behind Konrardy, but the real swing factor is whether Gurney can flip a unit that lost its only proven punter into a strength rather than a question mark.

New Arm, New Coach

Rocco Becht is gone, and Jimmy Rogers hands the offense to Jaylen Raynor, who arrives from Arkansas State having thrown for 3,364 yards and 19 touchdowns, a bigger arm than Becht's 2,565-yard, 16-touchdown line last fall. The skill corps gets rebuilt around him rather than restocked with familiar names: Carson Hansen, Abu Sama III, Brett Eskildsen, Chase Sowell and Benjamin Brahmer all depart, replaced by Cody Jackson (799 yards, 6 TD at Tarleton State), Omari Hayes, Cameron Pettaway and Tyler Fortenberry. With 48 transfers in against 55 out and a first-year staff, Raynor's chemistry with his new-look receiving corps will decide whether this offense hits the ground running or spends the fall figuring out timing.

Jaylen Raynor

Rocco Becht's departure clears the way for Jaylen Raynor, who arrives from Arkansas State with a 3,364-yard, 19-touchdown season already on his résumé, a far bigger sample than the man he replaces produced in Ames. Jimmy Rogers is building his first Iowa State roster around that arm, and with Cameron Pettaway still needing to prove his 365 rushing yards translate against Big 12 fronts, how quickly Raynor plays like the passer Arkansas State saw determines whether this offense keeps pace with last year's 8-4 mark or takes a step back.

A Home Bet, Not a Road One

Iowa State's 8-4 mark under a new staff run by Jimmy Rogers masked a real split for bettors: this team covered 60% of the time at home but fell to 20% on the road, and that gap only widens once a loss hits, with backers going 1-3 against the number the week after. The straight-up numbers held up fine away from Ames, but the number itself rarely did. With Rogers now installed as the full-time voice of the program, whether that road number closes matters more than the overall record suggests.

15 more sections in the full Iowa State Cyclones preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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