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2026
College
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138 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
138 teams · 160 pages
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In this issue · 160 pages
View FCS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 11
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Coaching Pressure
p. 2
Transfer Portal
p. 3
Power Poll
p. 4
Experience Report
p. 5
All-Americans
p. 6
Position Units
p. 7
Most Improved
p. 8
Bull & Bear
p. 9
Toughest Schedule
p. 10
Conference Rankings
p. 11
Conferences · 11
Mountain West
10 teams · p. 12
Pac-12
8 teams · p. 23
Big 12
16 teams · p. 32
Big Ten
18 teams · p. 49
Mid-American
13 teams · p. 68
Conference USA
10 teams · p. 82
Sun Belt
14 teams · p. 93
American Athletic
14 teams · p. 108
SEC
16 teams · p. 123
ACC
17 teams · p. 140
FBS Independents
2 teams · p. 158
Teams · 138, one page each
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
SEC · 16
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 138
Auburn
Proj. 7-5 · p. 134
Florida
Proj. 7-5 · p. 132
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 137
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Mississippi State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 139
Missouri
Proj. 7-5 · p. 133
Oklahoma
Proj. 8-4 · p. 129
Ole Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 130
South Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 135
Tennessee
Proj. 7-5 · p. 131
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Texas A&M
Proj. 8-4 · p. 128
Vanderbilt
Proj. 6-6 · p. 136
Big Ten · 18
Illinois
Proj. 7-5 · p. 59
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Iowa
Proj. 8-4 · p. 56
Maryland
Proj. 5-7 · p. 62
Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 54
Michigan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Minnesota
Proj. 5-7 · p. 63
Nebraska
Proj. 7-5 · p. 58
Northwestern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 61
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Penn State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 55
Purdue
Proj. 4-8 · p. 67
Rutgers
Proj. 5-7 · p. 66
UCLA
Proj. 5-7 · p. 64
USC
Proj. 8-4 · p. 53
Washington
Proj. 7-5 · p. 57
Wisconsin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 60
Big 12 · 16
Arizona
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Arizona State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 41
Baylor
Proj. 7-5 · p. 38
BYU
Proj. 9-3 · p. 34
Cincinnati
Proj. 6-6 · p. 43
Colorado
Proj. 6-6 · p. 42
Houston
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Iowa State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 48
Kansas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 45
Kansas State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 40
Oklahoma State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 44
TCU
Proj. 7-5 · p. 39
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
UCF
Proj. 6-6 · p. 46
Utah
Proj. 8-4 · p. 35
West Virginia
Proj. 5-7 · p. 47
ACC · 17
Boston College
Proj. 4-8 · p. 156
California
Proj. 5-7 · p. 154
Clemson
Proj. 8-4 · p. 142
Duke
Proj. 6-6 · p. 152
Florida State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 145
Georgia Tech
Proj. 6-6 · p. 150
Louisville
Proj. 8-4 · p. 144
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
NC State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 151
North Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 149
Pittsburgh
Proj. 7-5 · p. 148
SMU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 143
Stanford
Proj. 4-8 · p. 157
Syracuse
Proj. 5-7 · p. 155
Virginia
Proj. 8-4 · p. 146
Virginia Tech
Proj. 7-5 · p. 147
Wake Forest
Proj. 6-6 · p. 153
American · 14
Army
Proj. 6-6 · p. 115
Charlotte
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
East Carolina
Proj. 8-4 · p. 110
Florida Atlantic
Proj. 5-7 · p. 119
Memphis
Proj. 7-5 · p. 113
Navy
Proj. 8-4 · p. 111
North Texas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 116
Rice
Proj. 4-8 · p. 120
South Florida
Proj. 8-4 · p. 112
Temple
Proj. 5-7 · p. 117
Tulane
Proj. 8-4 · p. 109
Tulsa
Proj. 6-6 · p. 118
UAB
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
UTSA
Proj. 6-6 · p. 114
Mountain West · 10
Air Force
Proj. 7-5 · p. 16
Hawai'i
Proj. 8-4 · p. 14
Nevada
Proj. 5-7 · p. 18
New Mexico
Proj. 8-4 · p. 15
North Dakota State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 17
Northern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 21
San José State
Proj. 5-8 · p. 20
UNLV
Proj. 9-3 · p. 13
UTEP
Proj. 4-8 · p. 22
Wyoming
Proj. 5-7 · p. 19
Sun Belt · 14
App State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 103
Arkansas State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 101
Coastal Carolina
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
Georgia Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 99
Georgia State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
James Madison
Proj. 8-4 · p. 94
Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 98
Louisiana Tech
Proj. 5-7 · p. 102
Marshall
Proj. 6-6 · p. 100
Old Dominion
Proj. 7-5 · p. 95
South Alabama
Proj. 5-7 · p. 104
Southern Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 96
Troy
Proj. 6-6 · p. 97
UL Monroe
Proj. 3-9 · p. 107
CUSA · 10
Delaware
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
Florida International
Proj. 6-6 · p. 89
Jacksonville State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 86
Kennesaw State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Liberty
Proj. 7-5 · p. 85
Middle Tennessee
Proj. 4-8 · p. 91
Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
New Mexico State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 90
Sam Houston
Proj. 4-8 · p. 92
Western Kentucky
Proj. 7-5 · p. 83
MAC · 13
Akron
Proj. 4-8 · p. 78
Ball State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 79
Bowling Green
Proj. 5-7 · p. 76
Buffalo
Proj. 6-6 · p. 74
Central Michigan
Proj. 5-7 · p. 75
Eastern Michigan
Proj. 4-8 · p. 77
Kent State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 80
Massachusetts
Proj. 4-8 · p. 81
Miami (OH)
Proj. 7-5 · p. 71
Ohio
Proj. 7-5 · p. 72
Sacramento State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 73
Toledo
Proj. 8-4 · p. 69
Western Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 70
Pac-12 · 8
Boise State
Proj. 8-3 · p. 24
Colorado State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 31
Fresno State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 26
Oregon State
Proj. 4-7 · p. 30
San Diego State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 25
Texas State
Proj. 6-5 · p. 28
Utah State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 29
Washington State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 27
FBS Indep. · 2
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
UConn
Proj. 5-7 · p. 160

UAB Blazers 2026 Season Preview

American Athletic · Alex Mortensen, year 2 · 4-8 last season · No. 128 in our FBS ratings

Rebuild, Not Reload

A defense that gave up 38.3 points per game a year ago returns almost no one from that unit, so Alex Mortensen's second season will be decided by whether a nearly all-new group can stop anybody long enough for Ryder Burton's offense to matter.

Rebuilding Around Burton

Can UAB win games while starting almost entirely new players around Ryder Burton? With just 15.7% of offensive production and 14% of defensive production returning, Alex Mortensen is essentially fielding two new units in year two, and that kind of turnover rarely produces immediate improvement. Expect growing pains to outweigh Burton's late-2025 flashes, since he will be doing it with skill players and a defense that have almost no game snaps together from a season ago.

Blazers Face Long Odds

UAB's 2026 slate is loaded with games it is not favored to win, and the season gets defined early at Illinois, where the Blazers sit at just a 6% clip, before road trips to South Florida (14%) and Memphis (16%) test whether Alex Mortensen's team can steal one against the American's upper tier. The rest of the conference slate is winnable but hardly comfortable, with UTSA at home (32%) and North Texas on the road (24%) both closer to coin-flip than sure thing. A 12% bowl projection tracks with a schedule ranked 91st in difficulty, meaning UAB likely needs to beat at least one of those three marquee tests to change its trajectory rather than simply banking on the softer home dates.

Projected cellar dweller

The model pegs UAB at 4-8 again with just a 12% shot at a bowl, and a 14th-of-14 conference projection paired with the 91 schedule rank means there is no soft landing on this slate. Mortensen's floor is the same four wins Birmingham just watched, and nothing in the projection treats Ryder Burton's development as enough to offset a program picked to finish last in the league. Bowl talk is not the realistic target here, staying competitive enough to avoid a step backward from 2025 is.

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Year Two for Mortensen

A 4-8 finish with a 2-6 mark in league play and a power rating stuck at No. 128 is a rough on-field ledger, no way around it. What 2026 offers Alex Mortensen is simply time, a second year to show the direction is different from the results, since a first-year record rarely tells the whole story of where a program is headed. The tape from year one sets a low bar, and the honest read is that almost any step forward in conference play changes the conversation around this staff.

The Wrong Side of the Ball

UAB's offense was never the issue in 2025, ranking 27th in passing yards per game and 20th in third-down rate behind a passing attack that outpaced its 87th-ranked ground game. The defense sank the season, allowing 38.3 points and 6.54 yards per play (129th) while generating almost no disruption at 130th in havoc rate and run-stuff rate, and a minus-12 turnover margin buried what the offense built. Ryder Burton returns to run that offense after throwing for 708 yards and 7 touchdowns, but until UAB finds a pass rush or takes the ball away more than once every few games, his improvement won't move the record.

Jalen Kitna is gone after throwing for 2462 yards, and the job now belongs to Ryder Burton, whose 708 yards, 7 TD and 5 INT in relief snaps last season were shakier than the numbers Kitna posted. UAB's passing attack still ranked 27th nationally in yards per game and the offense moved the ball at 404 yards per game, so Burton inherits real weapons and a scheme that already produces explosive plays (1.33, 29th). The swing factor is protection: this line allowed 29 sacks, and if Burton takes that same pounding his interception rate will only get worse behind a group still finding its rushing footing at 139 yards per game.

UAB is replacing its entire rushing production, with Jevon Jackson, Isaiah Jacobs and Solomon Beebe all gone and the returning trio of Amari Brundidge, Marquise Collins and Drew Patterson carrying almost nothing to their names. Alex Mortensen rebuilt the room instead of trusting it, and Ja'Vin Simpkins arrives from Coastal Carolina with 590 rushing yards as the closest thing to a proven starter, flanked by three-star transfers Rod Robinson II, Bam McReynolds and true freshmen Jayson Moll and Hudson Higgins. That's a bet on Simpkins to stabilize a run game that already ranked 87th nationally, while a passing attack that hit 27th in yards per game carries the offense until he does.

Iverson Hooks (72 catches, 927 yards, 7 TD) and Brandon Hawkins Jr. (41 catches, 540 yards, 5 TD) are gone, wiping out the bulk of a passing attack that ranked 27th nationally in yards per game, and UAB is turning to a room with almost no proven production behind Kaleb Brown, who managed just 17 catches and 255 yards himself. That gap gets filled by transfers Ty Mims, KJ Daniels, CJ Smith and EJ Reid, none of whom have logged a catch yet, alongside blank-slate returners like Levi Brayton and CD Gill. Alex Mortensen's passing game carried this offense in year one, so how quickly that transfer quartet produces determines whether UAB's 27th-ranked air attack holds steady or falls off in 2026.

UAB's tight end room never produced much of a target last year and now loses its two most-targeted pieces in Elijah Lagg and J.C. Sivley, leaving Antonio Ferguson's 10 catches for 115 yards as the lone returning receiving stat in the group. Florida transfer Scott Isacks III and Toledo transfer Sean Persson arrive with no box-score history at UAB, but both come in as three-star pickups tasked with adding size and blocking that Gabriel Cline, Brayden Johnson and Joshua Rubin haven't yet shown on paper. With a passing game that ranked 27th nationally in yards per game, this position group is less about replacing lost production than about whether Isacks or Persson can turn into a real vertical threat Ferguson never was.

Alex Mortensen watched his line allow 29 sacks in 2025, a number that forced this offseason overhaul, and with 10 linemen out the door against 9 back, this is a rebuilt front rather than a returning strength. Kyrik Mason and Adam Lepkowski are the most experienced holdovers by class, but the fixes came through the portal in Keyon Cox from Oregon State and Cooper Young from West Virginia, both projected to start right away alongside juco and high school imports Hudson Reed, Wes Wiggins and Samuel Riddy Jr. The passing game held up fine behind that beleaguered line, 27th nationally in yards per game, so the new-look group mostly has to cut down the pressure and push a middling run game past 139 yards per contest.

A defensive line that finished 124th in tackles for loss and 130th in havoc rate needed more than a tweak, so UAB brought in five transfer linemen at once. Chris Burge, who posted 5 TFL and 3.5 sacks a year ago, remains the one proven disruptor, but the real bet is on Marlin Dean (32 tackles, 3 TFL at Georgia State) and Eli Hall (4 sacks, 4.5 TFL at Liberty) to give this front the edge pressure it lacked. With Denver Warren and Eamon Smalls both gone after combining for 7 TFL last season, Kyle Mosley and J'Quan Mason have to hold up inside and off the edge while the transfers find their footing against a run defense that allowed 192 yards a game.

UAB is replacing its entire linebacker corps that gave up 38.3 points per game, and the returning names on the depth chart carry a combined 2 tackles between them, so this group is really a transfer class in disguise. Shaun Myers and Muaaz Byard arrive as the closest things to proven quantities, each posting 37 tackles at their previous stops, while Ike Esonwune adds 28 more from Oklahoma State to help replace the departed production of Devin Hightower and Eddy Toussom. None of it moves the needle unless the tackling improves, because a defense that ranked 130th in havoc rate and 124th in tackles for loss needs these newcomers hitting the backfield immediately, not developing into it.

UAB rebuilt the entire back end by volume rather than star power, churning out five of five departed starters and bringing in five transfers to replace them. Darrell Sweeting (Marshall) arrives as the most productive newcomer with 37 tackles and a sack, while Jaylen Thompson (Memphis) and Diezel Wilkinson (Montana) take over at safety with no returning statistical production behind them beyond Delvon Gulley's 19 tackles at corner. Given a defense that allowed 38.3 points per game and ranked 130th in havoc rate, this group's ceiling depends on whether the portal newcomers tackle better in space than the unit they're replacing, not on any name recognition.

Jonah Delange already solved the one special-teams question that matters, hitting 10 of 14 field goals with a long of 46 in 2025, and he is back to handle the job in 2026 rather than leaving Alex Mortensen to sort out a new leg. The bigger hole is at punter, where Patrick Foley and his 41.6-yard average are gone with no returning punter listed to replace that production. Snapping stays steady with Evan Bishop and Caleb Moser both back, so the only real vacancy for Mortensen's second year is finding a punter to pair with an established kicker.

Almost a Whole New Roster

Jalen Kitna, Jevon Jackson, Iverson Hooks and Brandon Hawkins Jr. combined for the bulk of UAB's production a year ago, and all of it is gone, handing the offense to Ryder Burton, who threw for just 708 yards and 7 touchdowns in his limited look last season. UAB didn't restock through the backfield or receiver room in any notable way, instead pouring the portal haul into the front seven and secondary, with Shaun Myers, Marlin Dean and Muaaz Byard all arriving to replace Devin Hightower's 81 tackles. With a recruiting class ranked 135th, this roster is being remade almost entirely through the 38 transfers walking in the door, and Burton's growth without his top skill-position weapons will decide whether that trade paid off.

Ryder Burton

Ryder Burton takes over full-time after throwing for 708 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions in relief snaps, and replacing Jalen Kitna's 2462 yards means UAB needs that efficiency to hold across a full season, not just a sample size. He gets Ja'Vin Simpkins, who ran for 590 yards and 2 touchdowns at Coastal Carolina, to lean on and Kaleb Brown's 17 catches for 255 yards as a target, but the offense goes as Burton's decision-making goes.

Backing In on the Road

UAB bettors learned to fade this team at home and back it away from Birmingham last year, and that split is the real story for 2026 under Alex Mortensen entering year two. The Blazers went 0-2 covering as home favorites while going 3-3 against the spread as road underdogs, a market that never trusted this group in front of its own crowd. Throw in a 2-0 cover mark against ranked teams and the picture is a squad that shows up for the sternest tests and flops when expected to handle business at home, a pattern books will be pricing again this fall.

15 more sections in the full UAB Blazers preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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