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2026
College
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138 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
138 teams · 160 pages
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In this issue · 160 pages
View FCS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 11
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Coaching Pressure
p. 2
Transfer Portal
p. 3
Power Poll
p. 4
Experience Report
p. 5
All-Americans
p. 6
Position Units
p. 7
Most Improved
p. 8
Bull & Bear
p. 9
Toughest Schedule
p. 10
Conference Rankings
p. 11
Conferences · 11
Mountain West
10 teams · p. 12
Pac-12
8 teams · p. 23
Big 12
16 teams · p. 32
Big Ten
18 teams · p. 49
Mid-American
13 teams · p. 68
Conference USA
10 teams · p. 82
Sun Belt
14 teams · p. 93
American Athletic
14 teams · p. 108
SEC
16 teams · p. 123
ACC
17 teams · p. 140
FBS Independents
2 teams · p. 158
Teams · 138, one page each
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
SEC · 16
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 138
Auburn
Proj. 7-5 · p. 134
Florida
Proj. 7-5 · p. 132
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 137
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Mississippi State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 139
Missouri
Proj. 7-5 · p. 133
Oklahoma
Proj. 8-4 · p. 129
Ole Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 130
South Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 135
Tennessee
Proj. 7-5 · p. 131
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Texas A&M
Proj. 8-4 · p. 128
Vanderbilt
Proj. 6-6 · p. 136
Big Ten · 18
Illinois
Proj. 7-5 · p. 59
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Iowa
Proj. 8-4 · p. 56
Maryland
Proj. 5-7 · p. 62
Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 54
Michigan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Minnesota
Proj. 5-7 · p. 63
Nebraska
Proj. 7-5 · p. 58
Northwestern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 61
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Penn State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 55
Purdue
Proj. 4-8 · p. 67
Rutgers
Proj. 5-7 · p. 66
UCLA
Proj. 5-7 · p. 64
USC
Proj. 8-4 · p. 53
Washington
Proj. 7-5 · p. 57
Wisconsin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 60
Big 12 · 16
Arizona
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Arizona State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 41
Baylor
Proj. 7-5 · p. 38
BYU
Proj. 9-3 · p. 34
Cincinnati
Proj. 6-6 · p. 43
Colorado
Proj. 6-6 · p. 42
Houston
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Iowa State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 48
Kansas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 45
Kansas State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 40
Oklahoma State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 44
TCU
Proj. 7-5 · p. 39
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
UCF
Proj. 6-6 · p. 46
Utah
Proj. 8-4 · p. 35
West Virginia
Proj. 5-7 · p. 47
ACC · 17
Boston College
Proj. 4-8 · p. 156
California
Proj. 5-7 · p. 154
Clemson
Proj. 8-4 · p. 142
Duke
Proj. 6-6 · p. 152
Florida State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 145
Georgia Tech
Proj. 6-6 · p. 150
Louisville
Proj. 8-4 · p. 144
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
NC State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 151
North Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 149
Pittsburgh
Proj. 7-5 · p. 148
SMU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 143
Stanford
Proj. 4-8 · p. 157
Syracuse
Proj. 5-7 · p. 155
Virginia
Proj. 8-4 · p. 146
Virginia Tech
Proj. 7-5 · p. 147
Wake Forest
Proj. 6-6 · p. 153
American · 14
Army
Proj. 6-6 · p. 115
Charlotte
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
East Carolina
Proj. 8-4 · p. 110
Florida Atlantic
Proj. 5-7 · p. 119
Memphis
Proj. 7-5 · p. 113
Navy
Proj. 8-4 · p. 111
North Texas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 116
Rice
Proj. 4-8 · p. 120
South Florida
Proj. 8-4 · p. 112
Temple
Proj. 5-7 · p. 117
Tulane
Proj. 8-4 · p. 109
Tulsa
Proj. 6-6 · p. 118
UAB
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
UTSA
Proj. 6-6 · p. 114
Mountain West · 10
Air Force
Proj. 7-5 · p. 16
Hawai'i
Proj. 8-4 · p. 14
Nevada
Proj. 5-7 · p. 18
New Mexico
Proj. 8-4 · p. 15
North Dakota State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 17
Northern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 21
San José State
Proj. 5-8 · p. 20
UNLV
Proj. 9-3 · p. 13
UTEP
Proj. 4-8 · p. 22
Wyoming
Proj. 5-7 · p. 19
Sun Belt · 14
App State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 103
Arkansas State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 101
Coastal Carolina
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
Georgia Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 99
Georgia State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
James Madison
Proj. 8-4 · p. 94
Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 98
Louisiana Tech
Proj. 5-7 · p. 102
Marshall
Proj. 6-6 · p. 100
Old Dominion
Proj. 7-5 · p. 95
South Alabama
Proj. 5-7 · p. 104
Southern Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 96
Troy
Proj. 6-6 · p. 97
UL Monroe
Proj. 3-9 · p. 107
CUSA · 10
Delaware
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
Florida International
Proj. 6-6 · p. 89
Jacksonville State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 86
Kennesaw State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Liberty
Proj. 7-5 · p. 85
Middle Tennessee
Proj. 4-8 · p. 91
Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
New Mexico State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 90
Sam Houston
Proj. 4-8 · p. 92
Western Kentucky
Proj. 7-5 · p. 83
MAC · 13
Akron
Proj. 4-8 · p. 78
Ball State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 79
Bowling Green
Proj. 5-7 · p. 76
Buffalo
Proj. 6-6 · p. 74
Central Michigan
Proj. 5-7 · p. 75
Eastern Michigan
Proj. 4-8 · p. 77
Kent State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 80
Massachusetts
Proj. 4-8 · p. 81
Miami (OH)
Proj. 7-5 · p. 71
Ohio
Proj. 7-5 · p. 72
Sacramento State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 73
Toledo
Proj. 8-4 · p. 69
Western Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 70
Pac-12 · 8
Boise State
Proj. 8-3 · p. 24
Colorado State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 31
Fresno State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 26
Oregon State
Proj. 4-7 · p. 30
San Diego State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 25
Texas State
Proj. 6-5 · p. 28
Utah State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 29
Washington State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 27
FBS Indep. · 2
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
UConn
Proj. 5-7 · p. 160

Kansas Jayhawks 2026 Season Preview

Big 12 · Lance Leipold, year 6 · 5-7 last season · No. 55 in our FBS ratings

Ballard's Thin Margin

Cole Ballard inherits the job with almost nobody beside him, just 29% returning production, meaning a roster ranked 48th nationally in talent has to reload itself into a functional offense before the No. 55 power rating means anything.

Can Ballard carry the offense alone?

Can Cole Ballard win with almost no proven help around him? Kansas returns just 15.2% of its offensive production, meaning the receivers, backs and line Ballard hands off to and throws to are largely unproven, and a first-year starter without established targets or protection typically absorbs that gap in turnovers and stalled drives rather than erasing it. Expect growing pains to show up in the passing game before they show up anywhere else.

Utah, BYU Set the Bar

Kansas projects to 6-6 with middling odds against a schedule ranked 58th in difficulty, but the real measuring sticks sit at the bottom of the win-probability sheet: at Utah (30%), home against BYU (31%) and Missouri (33%) look like coin-flip losses on paper, not sure things. Lance Leipold's crew gets a neutral-site test against Arizona State at 45% and manageable road trips to Kansas State (38%) and TCU (35%) to pad the ledger. If the Jayhawks want to beat their projection, it happens by stealing one of those three long-shot games, not by cleaning up against Middle Tennessee or Long Island University.

Leipold's Bowl Line

The 61% bowl odds attached to a 6-6 projection is the fairest number on this page for a Big 12 team picked 13th of 16 in the league. Lance Leipold has hit bowl games before at Kansas, and a manageable schedule (58th in difficulty) with a 4-3 home mark gives him the path to split the difference again rather than fall off. Six wins is the realistic ceiling and the floor both, and getting there keeps year six on track without needing anything to break in Kansas's favor.

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A Step Back for Leipold

Lance Leipold's sixth year at Kansas follows a 5-7 finish that snapped the program's recent momentum, with a 3-6 league mark showing how much ground the Jayhawks lost inside the Big 12. The power rating still lands at No. 55, a sign the roster talent did not fall off as sharply as the record suggests. That gap between a middling national ranking and a losing conference season is the real story entering 2026, and closing it starts with tightening up whatever went wrong in those six league losses.

Ballard Takes Over

Kansas rides an offense that was efficient but rarely explosive last fall, ranking 13th nationally in success rate yet just 113th in explosiveness, a formula that produced points without many chunk plays. Cole Ballard now runs that attack after a limited 2025 sample of 108 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and the job is his to define rather than inherit. The bigger question is whether a defense that ranked 26th in havoc rate but let teams stay on schedule at a below-average clip can turn that disruption into stops often enough to keep games from tilting on Ballard's growing pains.

Jalon Daniels' departure leaves Kansas with almost no proven passing production, but Cole Ballard is the established starter after his limited 108-yard sample, and the offense around him doesn't need him to be flashy so much as efficient. Kansas ranked 13th nationally in offensive success rate a year ago while sitting 113th in explosiveness, a run-heavy, chain-moving attack that asks its quarterback to avoid mistakes rather than push the ball downfield. Rice transfer Chase Jenkins arrives with real starting tape, 1,025 yards and 9 touchdowns, as the insurance plan if Ballard's minimal résumé doesn't hold up against Big 12 competition.

Kansas didn't lose a backup, it lost its entire backfield: Daniel Hishaw Jr. (587 yards) and Leshon Williams (565 yards) both departed, and none of the returning backs managed more than Justin Thurman's 32 yards. Lance Leipold rebuilt from scratch through the portal, and Yasin Willis (553 yards at Syracuse) looks like the lead back, with Dylan Edwards arriving from in-state rival Kansas State and Jalen Dupree adding another 508-yard resume from Colorado State. This is a unit built entirely on other schools' tape rather than its own returning production, so the ground game that ranked 55th in rushing yards per game will look and feel like a completely different group in 2026.

Kansas lost Emmanuel Henderson Jr.'s 766 yards, and instead of one heir apparent Lance Leipold went to the portal twice, landing Nik McMillan (61 catches, 975 yards at Buffalo) and Nahzae Cox (40 catches, 473 yards at Middle Tennessee) to rebuild the room around Cam Pickett, who posted 45 catches and 449 yards last fall. Keaton Kubecka's 17 grabs give this group a third proven option, but the passing game was already 78th in the country in yards per game, so McMillan and Cox need to produce immediately rather than develop. With Griffin Baker, Donald Collier and Jackson Cook still unproven and a trio of unrated high school arrivals waiting behind them, the transfer pickups carry this position group in 2026.

Boden Groen's 36 catches and 5 touchdowns walk out the door, and Kansas replaces that production with Albany transfer Carter Moses, who caught 26 passes for 321 yards and 2 scores last season. Leyton Cure and Carson Bruhn return with modest numbers of their own, but Moses projects as the clear top target in an offense that already ranked 13th nationally in success rate even before this reshuffle. The rest of the room, Quinton Conley, Conlee Hovey, Mikey Pauley, and incoming three-stars Jack Utz, Kevin Sullivan and Jailen Butler, arrive without a stat line, meaning Moses carries this group's proven output almost by himself.

Kansas ran the ball for 170 yards per game and posted a 48.4% success rate up front last season, but eleven linemen off that group are gone, wiping out most of the experience behind those numbers. Calvin Clements, DeAndre Harper, Amir Herring, Anderson Kopp and James Livingston sit atop the returning depth chart, though nothing on file confirms they were last year's starters, so this reads as a rebuild rather than a proven unit running it back. Kaden Snyder headlines a tackle-heavy incoming group with Kaden Moody, Malachi Mills and Nick Morrow, plus interior addition Connor Stroh, and how fast those newcomers blend with the returning names will decide whether the rushing numbers hold or slip.

Kansas loses Tommy Dunn Jr. and Kenean Caldwell up front, but the havoc-making identity stays intact behind Blake Herold (43 tackles, 5 TFL) and Leroy Harris III, whose 4.5 sacks and 6.5 TFL were the closest thing this group had to a difference-maker. The bigger swing is depth and juice off the edge, where Michigan State transfer David Santiago and UAB's Eamon Smalls, who racked up 50 tackles a year ago, arrive to replace the production Dean Miller and Dunn take with them. A defense that already ranked 26th in havoc rate just needs Alex Bray and Dakyus Brinkley to hold up enough for the newcomers to get on the field and turn quarterback disruption into fewer chunk plays allowed.

Trey Lathan's 86 tackles anchor a group that otherwise got thin production last fall, so Kansas went shopping for reinforcements rather than counting on internal growth. Jibreel Al-Amin arrives from Marshall with 51 tackles and 5.5 TFL, and Quincy Davis brings 43 tackles from New Mexico State, both projecting as instant contributors alongside Lathan and Bam Crouch. The unit's 75 tackles for loss and 17.7% havoc rate last year show real disruption up front, and the transfer additions are built to keep that edge rather than replace it.

Kansas loses its top safety production wholesale, with Lyrik Rawls (72 tackles), Devin Dye and Jalen Dye all gone, and answers with a heavy transfer haul at the position: Corey Gordon (53 tackles, 3 TFL), Corey Gordon Jr. from Louisville and Khijohnn Cummings-Coleman from Iowa State all arrive to reshape the room. Corners stay largely intact behind Jalen Todd (44 tackles, 2 sacks) and Austin Alexander (46 tackles, 3.5 TFL), a group that helped Kansas finish 26th nationally in havoc rate a year ago. The corners give this defense a proven foundation, but the safety spot is essentially a new unit, and how fast Gordon and the transfers mesh will determine whether the pass defense holds its 57th-ranked mark or slips.

Kansas loses its entire proven kicking production, with Laith Marjan (14 of 17, 82 points) and long-time punter Finn Lappin (39 punts, 45.3 average) both gone, and turns the job over to transfer Martin Connington, who arrives having gone 12 of 16 with a 50-yard long. Dane Efird returns but carries just one point on the books, making Connington the clear answer at placekicker rather than a competition. Punting is a bigger question mark, with incumbent Ben Shipley unproven statistically and Australian import Matthew Gill brought in as insurance, while long snapper duties fall to returner Hollis Moeller or freshman addition Rino Monteforte.

Rebuilt Backfield, Same QB Bet

Kansas didn't chase a portal quarterback to replace Jalon Daniels, handing the job to Cole Ballard, whose 108 yards last season is the thinnest resume on the roster, while Lance Leipold instead spent the offseason rebuilding around him. Yasin Willis and Jalen Dupree arrive to replace the departed Leshon Williams and Daniel Hishaw Jr. at running back, and Nik McMillan and Nahzae Cox step in for Emmanuel Henderson Jr.'s production at receiver. That's a lot of new names catching passes from an unproven passer, and with a class ranked 61st, this offense's identity in 2026 gets defined by how fast those transfers sync up with Ballard rather than by who they replaced.

Cole Ballard

Cole Ballard takes over an offense that managed just 108 passing yards, 1 TD and 1 INT in his limited look last season, and every other piece around him is set up to make that number grow. Cam Pickett is back after a 45-catch, 449-yard season, and Rice transfer Chase Jenkins, who threw for 1,025 yards and 9 TDs, pushes Ballard for reps at a spot Kansas cannot afford to get wrong again.

Bad Bet Last Year

Kansas covered barely a third of the time in 2025, and the home number was the worst offender at 2-4-1 despite a 4-3 straight-up mark there, meaning Lance Leipold's crew kept winning ugly at home without beating the number. Losing as a home favorite 2-4 against the spread points to a team that struggled to close out games it was supposed to control, and that habit is the first thing bettors will test in 2026. Until Kansas proves it can cover as the chalk again, the smart money treats Leipold's sixth season as a show-me year against the number, not just on the scoreboard.

15 more sections in the full Kansas Jayhawks preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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