College football picks · Week 6 · Our model's call on every game, next to the line
College football picks · Week 6
Miami (OH) is favored by two and a half. We have Massachusetts by 22.
Our picks for all 58 Week 6 games, with the score our model projects and the line the books are offering. Miami (OH) at Massachusetts is where we and the market disagree most. The model went 41‑15 last week and is 296‑56 on the season.
Our picks for all 58 Week 6 games, with the score our model projects and the line the books are offering. Miami (OH) at Massachusetts is where we and the market disagree most. The model went 41‑15 last week and is 296‑56 on the season.
Game
Line
Our score
Our pick
Win %
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Massachusetts · M-OH −2.5 · Sat 2:00 PM · the books favor Miami (OH), we don't
M-OH −2.5
MASS 38–16
Massachusetts
90%
Southern Miss at Troy
Troy · TROY −9.5 · Tue 8:00 PM · Southern Miss 34, Troy 55 · we had it
TROY −9.5
TROY 30–21
Troy
Won
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
Jacksonville State · JXST −3 · Wed 7:00 PM
JXST −3
JXST 26–23
Jacksonville State
57%
New Mexico State at Florida International
Florida International · FIU −6.5 · Wed 7:30 PM
FIU −6.5
FIU 26–21
Florida International
67%
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Missouri State · WKU −2.5 · Thu 7:00 PM · the books favor Western Kentucky, we don't
WKU −2.5
MOST 33–26
Missouri State
67%
Sam Houston at Liberty
Liberty · LIB −13.5 · Thu 7:00 PM · we have it closer than the line
LIB −13.5
LIB 29–21
Liberty
69%
South Florida at UTSA
South Florida · UTSA −7 · Thu 7:30 PM · the books favor UTSA, we don't
UTSA −7
USF 30–24
South Florida
65%
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Arkansas State · ARST −1.5 · Thu 7:30 PM
ARST −1.5
ARST 29–26
Arkansas State
57%
Florida State at Louisville
Louisville · LOU −3.5 · Fri 7:00 PM · we have Louisville by more
LOU −3.5
LOU 35–29
Louisville
65%
Washington State at Utah State
Washington State · USU −5.5 · Fri 9:00 PM · the books favor Utah State, we don't
USU −5.5
WSU 22–19
Washington State
57%
Wyoming at San José State
San José State · SJSU −6 · Fri 9:00 PM · close to a coin flip for us
SJSU −6
SJSU 23–22
San José State
52%
Iowa at Washington
Iowa · WASH −3.5 · Fri 9:00 PM · the books favor Washington, we don't
WASH −3.5
IOWA 22–20
Iowa
55%
Iowa State at BYU
BYU · BYU −10.5 · Fri 10:15 PM · we have BYU by more
BYU −10.5
BYU 32–18
BYU
80%
Texas A&M at Missouri
Missouri · MIZ −3.5 · Sat 12:00 PM
MIZ −3.5
MIZ 27–24
Missouri
57%
Indiana at Nebraska
Indiana · IU −7.5 · Sat 12:00 PM · we have it closer than the line
IU −7.5
IU 28–23
Indiana
62%
UCF at Oklahoma State
UCF · OKST −9.5 · Sat 12:00 PM · the books favor Oklahoma State, we don't
OKST −9.5
UCF 28–27
UCF
52%
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh · PITT −3.5 · Sat 12:00 PM · we have Pittsburgh by more
PITT −3.5
PITT 29–15
Pittsburgh
80%
Arizona at West Virginia
West Virginia · ARIZ −3 · Sat 12:00 PM · the books favor Arizona, we don't
ARIZ −3
WVU 29–28
West Virginia
52%
Wake Forest at NC State
NC State · WAKE −3.5 · Sat 12:00 PM · the books favor Wake Forest, we don't
WAKE −3.5
NCSU 35–26
NC State
71%
Tulane at Army
Army · ARMY −3.5 · Sat 12:00 PM · we have Army by more
ARMY −3.5
ARMY 33–13
Army
88%
Sacramento State at Bowling Green
Sacramento State · BGSU −7.5 · Sat 12:00 PM · the books favor Bowling Green, we don't
BGSU −7.5
SAC 28–17
Sacramento State
75%
Ball State at Northwestern
Northwestern · NU −37 · Sat 12:30 PM · we have it closer than the line
NU −37
NU 41–12
Northwestern
95%
South Carolina at Florida
Florida · FLA −12.5 · Sat 12:45 PM · we have Florida by more
FLA −12.5
FLA 36–21
Florida
82%
Old Dominion at App State
App State · APP −9.5 · Sat 1:00 PM · we have App State by more
APP −9.5
APP 36–19
App State
85%
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Ole Miss · MISS −10 · Sat 3:30 PM · close to a coin flip for us
MISS −10
MISS 30–29
Ole Miss
52%
Texas at Oklahoma
Texas · TEX −7.5 · Sat 3:30 PM
TEX −7.5
TEX 25–16
Texas
71%
UCLA at Oregon
Oregon · ORE −11.5 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have it closer than the line
ORE −11.5
ORE 35–26
Oregon
71%
Duke at Georgia Tech
Duke · DUKE −7 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have Duke by more
DUKE −7
DUKE 33–17
Duke
83%
Illinois at Michigan State
Illinois · ILL −2.5 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have Illinois by more
ILL −2.5
ILL 29–22
Illinois
67%
Charlotte at North Texas
North Texas · UNT −28.5 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have it closer than the line
UNT −28.5
UNT 45–20
North Texas
92%
Tulsa at Navy
Tulsa · NAVY −2.5 · Sat 3:30 PM · the books favor Navy, we don't
NAVY −2.5
TLSA 25–24
Tulsa
52%
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Eastern Michigan · EMU −7 · Sat 3:30 PM · close to a coin flip for us
EMU −7
EMU 25–24
Eastern Michigan
52%
Buffalo at Toledo
Toledo · TOL −20.5 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have Toledo by more
TOL −20.5
TOL 43–19
Toledo
92%
Kent State at Western Michigan
Western Michigan · WMU −13.5 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have Western Michigan by more
WMU −13.5
WMU 34–14
Western Michigan
88%
Stanford at Notre Dame
Notre Dame · ND −38.5 · Sat 3:30 PM
ND −38.5
ND 47–7
Notre Dame
98%
Houston at Kansas State
Kansas State · KSU −2.5 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have Kansas State by more
KSU −2.5
KSU 32–27
Kansas State
62%
Virginia Tech at California
Virginia Tech · VT −9.5 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have Virginia Tech by more
VT −9.5
VT 34–22
Virginia Tech
77%
Central Michigan at Ohio
Ohio · OHIO −3 · Sat 3:30 PM · we have Ohio by more
OHIO −3
OHIO 32–19
Ohio
79%
UConn at Temple
UConn · TEM −3.5 · Sat 3:45 PM · the books favor Temple, we don't
TEM −3.5
CONN 32–25
UConn
67%
Rice at East Carolina
East Carolina · ECU −9.5 · Sat 4:00 PM
ECU −9.5
ECU 29–20
East Carolina
71%
Tennessee at Arkansas
Tennessee · TENN −13.5 · Sat 4:15 PM · we have Tennessee by more
TENN −13.5
TENN 36–17
Tennessee
87%
Maryland at Ohio State
Ohio State · OSU −34.5 · Sat 4:15 PM · we have it closer than the line
OSU −34.5
OSU 40–18
Ohio State
90%
San Diego State at Oregon State
Oregon State · ORST −14.5 · Sat 6:00 PM
ORST −14.5
ORST 33–20
Oregon State
79%
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
Coastal Carolina · MRSH −3 · Sat 7:00 PM · the books favor Marshall, we don't
MRSH −3
CCU 29–23
Coastal Carolina
65%
LSU at Kentucky
LSU · LSU −8.5 · Sat 7:00 PM
LSU −8.5
LSU 30–21
LSU
71%
UAB at Memphis
Memphis · MEM −14 · Sat 7:00 PM · we have it closer than the line
MEM −14
MEM 32–21
Memphis
75%
Nevada at UTEP
Nevada · NEV −9.5 · Sat 7:00 PM · we have Nevada by more
NEV −9.5
NEV 33–20
Nevada
79%
North Dakota State at UNLV
North Dakota State · NDSU −3 · Sat 7:00 PM · we have North Dakota State by more
NDSU −3
NDSU 30–14
North Dakota State
83%
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Louisiana · LT −3 · Sat 7:30 PM · the books favor Louisiana Tech, we don't
LT −3
UL 30–29
Louisiana
52%
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Air Force · AF −7.5 · Sat 7:30 PM · we have Air Force by more
AF −7.5
AF 36–14
Air Force
90%
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia · UVA −9.5 · Sat 7:30 PM · we have it closer than the line
UVA −9.5
UVA 30–25
Virginia
62%
USC at Penn State
Penn State · PSU −1.5 · Sat 7:30 PM · close to a coin flip for us
PSU −1.5
PSU 30–28
Penn State
55%
Georgia at Alabama
Georgia · ALA −1.5 · Sat 7:30 PM · the books favor Alabama, we don't
ALA −1.5
UGA 30–27
Georgia
57%
James Madison at Georgia Southern
James Madison · JMU −7.5 · Sat 7:30 PM · we have James Madison by more
JMU −7.5
JMU 37–15
James Madison
90%
Minnesota at Purdue
Minnesota · MINN −2.5 · Sat 8:00 PM · we have Minnesota by more
MINN −2.5
MINN 35–23
Minnesota
77%
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona State · ASU −20.5 · Sat 9:30 PM
ASU −20.5
ASU 36–17
Arizona State
87%
Kansas at Utah
Utah · UTAH −15.5 · Sat 10:15 PM · we have it closer than the line
UTAH −15.5
UTAH 33–20
Utah
79%
Boise State at Fresno State
Boise State · BOIS −6.5 · Sat 10:30 PM · close to a coin flip for us
BOIS −6.5
BOIS 26–25
Boise State
52%
Our score is the model’s projection, frozen before kickoff, so the record can be checked against it. Line: the consensus of the books at the last odds sync. Win %: the model's chance the pick wins outright. Picks, not betting advice. 21+, where legal.