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2026
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138 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
138 teams · 160 pages
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In this issue · 160 pages
View FCS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 11
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Coaching Pressure
p. 2
Transfer Portal
p. 3
Power Poll
p. 4
Experience Report
p. 5
All-Americans
p. 6
Position Units
p. 7
Most Improved
p. 8
Bull & Bear
p. 9
Toughest Schedule
p. 10
Conference Rankings
p. 11
Conferences · 11
Mountain West
10 teams · p. 12
Pac-12
8 teams · p. 23
Big 12
16 teams · p. 32
Big Ten
18 teams · p. 49
Mid-American
13 teams · p. 68
Conference USA
10 teams · p. 82
Sun Belt
14 teams · p. 93
American Athletic
14 teams · p. 108
SEC
16 teams · p. 123
ACC
17 teams · p. 140
FBS Independents
2 teams · p. 158
Teams · 138, one page each
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
SEC · 16
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 138
Auburn
Proj. 7-5 · p. 134
Florida
Proj. 7-5 · p. 132
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 137
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Mississippi State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 139
Missouri
Proj. 7-5 · p. 133
Oklahoma
Proj. 8-4 · p. 129
Ole Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 130
South Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 135
Tennessee
Proj. 7-5 · p. 131
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Texas A&M
Proj. 8-4 · p. 128
Vanderbilt
Proj. 6-6 · p. 136
Big Ten · 18
Illinois
Proj. 7-5 · p. 59
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Iowa
Proj. 8-4 · p. 56
Maryland
Proj. 5-7 · p. 62
Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 54
Michigan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Minnesota
Proj. 5-7 · p. 63
Nebraska
Proj. 7-5 · p. 58
Northwestern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 61
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Penn State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 55
Purdue
Proj. 4-8 · p. 67
Rutgers
Proj. 5-7 · p. 66
UCLA
Proj. 5-7 · p. 64
USC
Proj. 8-4 · p. 53
Washington
Proj. 7-5 · p. 57
Wisconsin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 60
Big 12 · 16
Arizona
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Arizona State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 41
Baylor
Proj. 7-5 · p. 38
BYU
Proj. 9-3 · p. 34
Cincinnati
Proj. 6-6 · p. 43
Colorado
Proj. 6-6 · p. 42
Houston
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Iowa State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 48
Kansas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 45
Kansas State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 40
Oklahoma State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 44
TCU
Proj. 7-5 · p. 39
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
UCF
Proj. 6-6 · p. 46
Utah
Proj. 8-4 · p. 35
West Virginia
Proj. 5-7 · p. 47
ACC · 17
Boston College
Proj. 4-8 · p. 156
California
Proj. 5-7 · p. 154
Clemson
Proj. 8-4 · p. 142
Duke
Proj. 6-6 · p. 152
Florida State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 145
Georgia Tech
Proj. 6-6 · p. 150
Louisville
Proj. 8-4 · p. 144
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
NC State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 151
North Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 149
Pittsburgh
Proj. 7-5 · p. 148
SMU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 143
Stanford
Proj. 4-8 · p. 157
Syracuse
Proj. 5-7 · p. 155
Virginia
Proj. 8-4 · p. 146
Virginia Tech
Proj. 7-5 · p. 147
Wake Forest
Proj. 6-6 · p. 153
American · 14
Army
Proj. 6-6 · p. 115
Charlotte
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
East Carolina
Proj. 8-4 · p. 110
Florida Atlantic
Proj. 5-7 · p. 119
Memphis
Proj. 7-5 · p. 113
Navy
Proj. 8-4 · p. 111
North Texas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 116
Rice
Proj. 4-8 · p. 120
South Florida
Proj. 8-4 · p. 112
Temple
Proj. 5-7 · p. 117
Tulane
Proj. 8-4 · p. 109
Tulsa
Proj. 6-6 · p. 118
UAB
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
UTSA
Proj. 6-6 · p. 114
Mountain West · 10
Air Force
Proj. 7-5 · p. 16
Hawai'i
Proj. 8-4 · p. 14
Nevada
Proj. 5-7 · p. 18
New Mexico
Proj. 8-4 · p. 15
North Dakota State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 17
Northern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 21
San José State
Proj. 5-8 · p. 20
UNLV
Proj. 9-3 · p. 13
UTEP
Proj. 4-8 · p. 22
Wyoming
Proj. 5-7 · p. 19
Sun Belt · 14
App State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 103
Arkansas State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 101
Coastal Carolina
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
Georgia Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 99
Georgia State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
James Madison
Proj. 8-4 · p. 94
Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 98
Louisiana Tech
Proj. 5-7 · p. 102
Marshall
Proj. 6-6 · p. 100
Old Dominion
Proj. 7-5 · p. 95
South Alabama
Proj. 5-7 · p. 104
Southern Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 96
Troy
Proj. 6-6 · p. 97
UL Monroe
Proj. 3-9 · p. 107
CUSA · 10
Delaware
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
Florida International
Proj. 6-6 · p. 89
Jacksonville State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 86
Kennesaw State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Liberty
Proj. 7-5 · p. 85
Middle Tennessee
Proj. 4-8 · p. 91
Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
New Mexico State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 90
Sam Houston
Proj. 4-8 · p. 92
Western Kentucky
Proj. 7-5 · p. 83
MAC · 13
Akron
Proj. 4-8 · p. 78
Ball State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 79
Bowling Green
Proj. 5-7 · p. 76
Buffalo
Proj. 6-6 · p. 74
Central Michigan
Proj. 5-7 · p. 75
Eastern Michigan
Proj. 4-8 · p. 77
Kent State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 80
Massachusetts
Proj. 4-8 · p. 81
Miami (OH)
Proj. 7-5 · p. 71
Ohio
Proj. 7-5 · p. 72
Sacramento State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 73
Toledo
Proj. 8-4 · p. 69
Western Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 70
Pac-12 · 8
Boise State
Proj. 8-3 · p. 24
Colorado State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 31
Fresno State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 26
Oregon State
Proj. 4-7 · p. 30
San Diego State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 25
Texas State
Proj. 6-5 · p. 28
Utah State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 29
Washington State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 27
FBS Indep. · 2
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
UConn
Proj. 5-7 · p. 160

Florida Atlantic Owls 2026 Season Preview

American Athletic · Zach Kittley, year 2 · 4-8 last season · No. 115 in our FBS ratings

Kittley's Defense Problem

Florida Atlantic sits 82nd in roster talent nationally but a power rating of 115, and that gap traces straight to a defense that allowed 36.3 points per game, a unit Zach Kittley cannot outscore his way past even with Veltkamp running the offense.

Veltkamp's supporting cast

Does Caden Veltkamp have enough around him to turn last year's chaos into a coherent offense in Zach Kittley's second year? With Jayshon Platt's 46 catches and 720 yards gone and only 67.4% of offensive production back, Veltkamp is walking into a rebuilt group of targets rather than a proven one. The likelier outcome is growing pains through the non-conference slate before the passing game finds its rhythm, since a full receiving corps rarely replaces itself that fast even with a settled starter at quarterback.

A Middling Slate

Florida Atlantic's schedule ranks 90th in difficulty, and the roster's ceiling shows up in the middle of that slate rather than at the top or bottom. The Owls have no shot at Florida (4%) and face long odds at East Carolina (20%) and at Army (31%), three games that will decide whether Zach Kittley's second year clears the projected 5-7 mark. The rest of the board is winnable but not comfortable, with South Florida at home (31%) and North Texas on the road (32%) sitting right alongside those marquee tests as the difference between bowl eligibility and another losing season.

Veltkamp's Ceiling, Kittley's Floor

A 90th-ranked schedule and a projected 11th-place finish in the American mean FAU is not sneaking up on anyone, and the 5-7 call with 35% bowl odds reads about right for a defense that has to find answers before Veltkamp's arm matters. This is a floor season for Zach Kittley, not a breakout one, with the American's bottom half as the realistic range of outcomes. Bank on five or six wins and treat anything more as gravy, because nothing in this profile points to a surprise run at seven or eight.

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Year Two for Kittley

Zach Kittley's debut in Boca Raton produced a 4-8 record, a 3-5 conference mark, and a power rating stuck at No. 115, numbers that reflect a program still finding its footing rather than one making a leap. The offense-first system Kittley built his name on has a full offseason and a second training camp to install deeper, which matters more here than the record does. A first losing year under a new staff is a common growing pain, and the bar for 2026 is straightforward: translate that installed system into conference wins that the record so far has not shown.

Air Raid, No Brakes

Caden Veltkamp threw for 3,652 yards behind an offense that ranked 1st nationally in passing yards per game, and that arm talent is why FAU can score with anyone even after a 4-8 finish. The problem was never moving the ball, it was everything after, a run game stuck at 123rd, a red zone that settled for 3.49 points per opportunity, and a minus-21 turnover margin that torched every big play Veltkamp created. If Zach Kittley's group finds a ground threat to pair with him and stops giving the ball away, this offense already has the passing punch to carry a defense that gave up 36.3 points a game.

Caden Veltkamp threw for 3,652 yards and 24 touchdowns last season, and FAU's offense led the country in passing yards per game behind his arm, so Zach Kittley builds year two around a quarterback who already has the job locked down. The 17 interceptions and a 36.8% third-down rate are the real ceiling on this offense, not who lines up under center. Backups Jordan Magwood and Michael Valentino, plus transfer Drew Devillier, exist purely as insurance behind a QB1 who threw it more than anyone in the nation.

Kaden Shields-Dutton's 460 yards and 6 scores were the lone bright spot in a ground game that finished 123rd in rushing yards per game, and with Xavier Terrell and 465-yard rusher Gemari Sands both out the door, he becomes the clear centerpiece rather than a complementary piece. Zach Kittley's offense does not need the run to carry it, given the nation's No. 1 passing attack, but it needs Shields-Dutton to be efficient enough on early downs to keep from bleeding into that miserable 36.8% third-down rate. Fairmont State transfer Leonard Farrow and JUCO addition Brady Tillman III arrive with no college stats to lean on, so this room's ceiling in 2026 still runs through what Shields-Dutton can do behind an offense built to throw first.

Easton Messer put up 100 catches and 1,029 yards in Zach Kittley's pass-heavy offense that led the nation in passing yards per game, and he alone makes this room dangerous again in 2026. But the second option is gone with Asaad Waseem's 69 catches and 726 yards off the roster, leaving Dominique Henry (40 for 575) to grow into a true No. 2 and Bowling Green transfer RJ Garcia II (27 catches, 283 yards) to add an immediate outside body. The passing game was elite last year while the run game sat 123rd nationally, so expect Kittley to keep leaning on Messer and Garcia to mask that imbalance rather than fix it.

Zach Kittley wiped out the tight end room entirely, and every name at the position for 2026 arrived via the portal or high school. Antonio Johnson brings the most proven receiving résumé, hauling in 20 catches for 231 yards and 5 touchdowns at Villanova, while Brooks Johnson adds a smaller but real body of work from Coastal Carolina (11 catches, 87 yards, 1 TD). None of that outproduces departed Michael Kirch's 15 catches and 3 scores, but in an offense that finished 1st nationally in passing yards per game, even a modest receiving tight end slots into a proven system built to find him.

Zach Kittley's line produced the nation's 1st-ranked passing attack (341 yards per game) behind a shaky ground game that managed just 105 yards on the ground, 123rd nationally, so pass protection carrying a run-blocking problem is the story again in 2026. Eighteen linemen return against five departures, led in experience by juniors Ja'Kavion Nonar, Michael Unis and Okino King, but none of that trio has a documented starting role, so the run-blocking fix may come from outside additions like tackles Alejandro Schmitt, a high school signee out of West Broward, and Georgia Tech transfer Benjamin Galloway. With sacks allowed already respectable at 21 for the season, the bigger swing stat is the 96th-ranked third down rate, and whichever combination up front finally establishes a run threat will decide if this offense stops settling for 3.49 points per scoring trip.

FAU's run defense bled 201 yards a game and ranked 126th in run-stuff rate a year ago, so Zach Kittley went shopping for pass rushers rather than run stoppers. Jay Crable arrives from Ohio with 6 sacks and 8 TFL already on his résumé, and TCU transfer Jonathan Bax adds another body who has played meaningful snaps, joining a returning front of Deshaun Batiste (4 sacks) and CJ Doggette Jr. (6.5 TFL). The bet is that fresh edge speed fixes a unit that finished 89th in sacks, but nothing in this group profiles as the interior presence needed to solve a run defense that was 122nd nationally.

Leon Hart Jr.'s 83 tackles and 5 TFL were the lone bright spot behind a run defense that gave up 201 yards a game on the ground, and losing Tyler Stolsky's 86 stops leaves Hart without his co-anchor. Khmari Johnson and Zyere Horton both return with modest tackle numbers, but neither profiles as a true replacement for Stolsky's volume, and Kansas transfer Joseph Sipp Jr. arrives with just 3 tackles to his name. Until someone beyond Hart proves he can consistently get off blocks, FAU's run-stuff rate (122nd) is the number that will keep defining this defense.

Florida Atlantic lost its top two tacklers in the secondary, Dillion Williams (62 tackles) and Chris Keys Jr. (47 tackles), and answered by signing four unproven corners and safeties, JK Johnson from Oklahoma State, Sean Williams, Ja'Cari Jackson and Justin Weatherall, none of whom carry meaningful tackle production into 2026. Jayden Sweeney (41 tackles) and Damarius McGhee (30 tackles) are the only real returning volume behind them, which matters given a unit that allowed 235 passing yards per game (99th) and finished 132nd in points allowed. Chris Tooley III and Damon Allen provide some corner continuity, but this group is leaning on freshmen and transfers to fix a back end that gave up too many explosive plays a year ago.

Garrison Smith's 84 points and 16 of 19 field goals walk out the door, and Zach Kittley answered by importing both specialists rather than promoting from within. Collin Rogers arrives from SMU having made just 1 of 3 kicks with a 43-yard long, a shaky sample for a team that needs points off the foot. Reed Chandley steps in at punter from Georgia State with 54 punts and a 45.8 average, an upgrade on departed Logan Lupo's 44.9 mark, while Alex Grace and long snapper Walker Adkinson return to anchor the operation around the new leg.

Rebuilding Around Veltkamp

Florida Atlantic gutted its receiving corps, waving goodbye to Jayshon Platt (46 catches, 720 yards) and Asaad Waseem (69 catches, 726 yards), the two players who did the most damage through the air last season. Caden Veltkamp, who threw for 3,652 yards and 24 touchdowns, returns to run the offense, but he now hands the ball to newcomers RJ Garcia II and tight ends Antonio Johnson and Brooks Johnson to replace that lost production. With 30 players out the door and a recruiting class ranked 130th, the defense leans on transfers Jay Crable and Jonathan Bax off the edge to stabilize a unit that lost tacklers Tyler Stolsky and Dillion Williams, making this a Veltkamp-or-bust season for Zach Kittley's rebuild.

Caden Veltkamp's interceptions

Veltkamp threw for 3,652 yards but also 17 picks, and that ratio is the whole 2026 equation for FAU. He has Easton Messer, who caught 100 balls for 1,029 yards, and Dominique Henry back outside, so the volume and the weapons are already in place. The only question left is whether Veltkamp tightens up his decision-making, because a talent-thin roster that ranked 130th in recruiting cannot survive him giving games away again.

Covering the Loss

Zach Kittley's team lost more than it won straight up in year one, but the number lied all season long, going 7-5 against the spread while going just 4-8 on the field. That gap is starkest as a home favorite, where Florida Atlantic covered all three chances, and after a loss, when the Owls covered five of seven, suggesting a roster that competes closer than its record than bettors gave it credit for in 2025. The road numbers are the real problem entering year two, with a single win in six true away tries, and until Kittley's group solves that split, the cover streak means more than the record.

15 more sections in the full Florida Atlantic Owls preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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