Stat SavantPremium issuesMy teams
Highlights
Premium issue
2026
College
Football
Preview
138 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
138 teams · 160 pages
$4.50 · Free with Major League
Premium issue · Out now
Every FBS team gets a page. The whole season gets a number.
160 pages: a page for each of the 138 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to which coaches are on the hot seat.
Read it
$4.50
This issue, yours for the season. Every update included.
$3.99 a month
Major League: this issue and every issue, Stat Savant, Best Bets, unlimited follows.
30-day money-back guarantee on both. Already have it? Sign in and it opens.
In this issue · 160 pages
View FCS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 11
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Coaching Pressure
p. 2
Transfer Portal
p. 3
Power Poll
p. 4
Experience Report
p. 5
All-Americans
p. 6
Position Units
p. 7
Most Improved
p. 8
Bull & Bear
p. 9
Toughest Schedule
p. 10
Conference Rankings
p. 11
Conferences · 11
Mountain West
10 teams · p. 12
Pac-12
8 teams · p. 23
Big 12
16 teams · p. 32
Big Ten
18 teams · p. 49
Mid-American
13 teams · p. 68
Conference USA
10 teams · p. 82
Sun Belt
14 teams · p. 93
American Athletic
14 teams · p. 108
SEC
16 teams · p. 123
ACC
17 teams · p. 140
FBS Independents
2 teams · p. 158
Teams · 138, one page each
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
SEC · 16
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 138
Auburn
Proj. 7-5 · p. 134
Florida
Proj. 7-5 · p. 132
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 137
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Mississippi State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 139
Missouri
Proj. 7-5 · p. 133
Oklahoma
Proj. 8-4 · p. 129
Ole Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 130
South Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 135
Tennessee
Proj. 7-5 · p. 131
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Texas A&M
Proj. 8-4 · p. 128
Vanderbilt
Proj. 6-6 · p. 136
Big Ten · 18
Illinois
Proj. 7-5 · p. 59
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Iowa
Proj. 8-4 · p. 56
Maryland
Proj. 5-7 · p. 62
Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 54
Michigan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Minnesota
Proj. 5-7 · p. 63
Nebraska
Proj. 7-5 · p. 58
Northwestern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 61
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Penn State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 55
Purdue
Proj. 4-8 · p. 67
Rutgers
Proj. 5-7 · p. 66
UCLA
Proj. 5-7 · p. 64
USC
Proj. 8-4 · p. 53
Washington
Proj. 7-5 · p. 57
Wisconsin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 60
Big 12 · 16
Arizona
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Arizona State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 41
Baylor
Proj. 7-5 · p. 38
BYU
Proj. 9-3 · p. 34
Cincinnati
Proj. 6-6 · p. 43
Colorado
Proj. 6-6 · p. 42
Houston
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Iowa State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 48
Kansas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 45
Kansas State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 40
Oklahoma State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 44
TCU
Proj. 7-5 · p. 39
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
UCF
Proj. 6-6 · p. 46
Utah
Proj. 8-4 · p. 35
West Virginia
Proj. 5-7 · p. 47
ACC · 17
Boston College
Proj. 4-8 · p. 156
California
Proj. 5-7 · p. 154
Clemson
Proj. 8-4 · p. 142
Duke
Proj. 6-6 · p. 152
Florida State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 145
Georgia Tech
Proj. 6-6 · p. 150
Louisville
Proj. 8-4 · p. 144
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
NC State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 151
North Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 149
Pittsburgh
Proj. 7-5 · p. 148
SMU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 143
Stanford
Proj. 4-8 · p. 157
Syracuse
Proj. 5-7 · p. 155
Virginia
Proj. 8-4 · p. 146
Virginia Tech
Proj. 7-5 · p. 147
Wake Forest
Proj. 6-6 · p. 153
American · 14
Army
Proj. 6-6 · p. 115
Charlotte
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
East Carolina
Proj. 8-4 · p. 110
Florida Atlantic
Proj. 5-7 · p. 119
Memphis
Proj. 7-5 · p. 113
Navy
Proj. 8-4 · p. 111
North Texas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 116
Rice
Proj. 4-8 · p. 120
South Florida
Proj. 8-4 · p. 112
Temple
Proj. 5-7 · p. 117
Tulane
Proj. 8-4 · p. 109
Tulsa
Proj. 6-6 · p. 118
UAB
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
UTSA
Proj. 6-6 · p. 114
Mountain West · 10
Air Force
Proj. 7-5 · p. 16
Hawai'i
Proj. 8-4 · p. 14
Nevada
Proj. 5-7 · p. 18
New Mexico
Proj. 8-4 · p. 15
North Dakota State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 17
Northern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 21
San José State
Proj. 5-8 · p. 20
UNLV
Proj. 9-3 · p. 13
UTEP
Proj. 4-8 · p. 22
Wyoming
Proj. 5-7 · p. 19
Sun Belt · 14
App State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 103
Arkansas State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 101
Coastal Carolina
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
Georgia Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 99
Georgia State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
James Madison
Proj. 8-4 · p. 94
Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 98
Louisiana Tech
Proj. 5-7 · p. 102
Marshall
Proj. 6-6 · p. 100
Old Dominion
Proj. 7-5 · p. 95
South Alabama
Proj. 5-7 · p. 104
Southern Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 96
Troy
Proj. 6-6 · p. 97
UL Monroe
Proj. 3-9 · p. 107
CUSA · 10
Delaware
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
Florida International
Proj. 6-6 · p. 89
Jacksonville State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 86
Kennesaw State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Liberty
Proj. 7-5 · p. 85
Middle Tennessee
Proj. 4-8 · p. 91
Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
New Mexico State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 90
Sam Houston
Proj. 4-8 · p. 92
Western Kentucky
Proj. 7-5 · p. 83
MAC · 13
Akron
Proj. 4-8 · p. 78
Ball State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 79
Bowling Green
Proj. 5-7 · p. 76
Buffalo
Proj. 6-6 · p. 74
Central Michigan
Proj. 5-7 · p. 75
Eastern Michigan
Proj. 4-8 · p. 77
Kent State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 80
Massachusetts
Proj. 4-8 · p. 81
Miami (OH)
Proj. 7-5 · p. 71
Ohio
Proj. 7-5 · p. 72
Sacramento State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 73
Toledo
Proj. 8-4 · p. 69
Western Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 70
Pac-12 · 8
Boise State
Proj. 8-3 · p. 24
Colorado State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 31
Fresno State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 26
Oregon State
Proj. 4-7 · p. 30
San Diego State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 25
Texas State
Proj. 6-5 · p. 28
Utah State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 29
Washington State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 27
FBS Indep. · 2
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
UConn
Proj. 5-7 · p. 160

Illinois Fighting Illini 2026 Season Preview

Big Ten · Bret Bielema, year 6 · 9-4 last season · No. 39 in our FBS ratings

Betting Against the Roster

Only 34% of production returns for a roster ranked 64th nationally in talent, which means Bielema's ninth-win push in 2025 was more scheme and grit than star power, and 2026 is the year that formula gets stress-tested with almost an entirely new cast.

Can Houser hold the line?

Can Katin Houser keep Illinois competitive with almost nothing else around him? With offensive returning production at 36.5% and the defense returning just 31.4%, Houser is not just replacing Luke Altmyer's arm, he is the steadying piece for two units being rebuilt at once. Bielema has won with less star power before, and betting on Houser to manage games rather than carry them is the safer read given how thin the returning cast is on both sides.

Illinois Faces Its Gauntlet

The trip to Ohio State and the home date with Oregon are the two games Illinois is not expected to win, and both come before a home matchup with Iowa that projects as a true 50-50 game. Sandwiched around those three are a string of true tossups, Nebraska at home, Michigan State and Northwestern on the road, that will decide whether Bret Bielema's group hits the projected 7-5 mark or climbs past it. With a schedule ranked 40th in difficulty, this season comes down to how many of those coin-flip conference games Illinois actually converts, not how it handles the two long shots at the top of the slate.

Regression Looms in Champaign

A three-win margin in one-score games and a plus-five turnover count did the heavy lifting for last year's 9-4 finish, and neither tends to repeat. That efficient offense, which needed just 12.7 yards per point against a 14.1 league median, loses far more than it returns at 34%, leaving Katin Houser, in from East Carolina, to try to keep the machine humming behind a defense that mostly bent without breaking. The gap between finishing 25th in the final Coaches Poll and 39th in our own model entering 2026 says the same thing the projection does: 7-5 is a fair landing spot for a team whose record was propped up more than it was earned.

More premium issues

Every Premium Issue is included with Major League, or you can buy one on its own. Same treatment as the book you just read: a page for every team, the projections behind it, and the games that decide the season.

2026 FCS Football124 teams2026 FCS Football Preview, premium issue124 team pages, every conference's order of finish and a win probability on every game. Updated every Sunday through the season.$4.50Included with Major LeagueRead the preview →2026 NFL32 teams2026 NFL Preview, premium issue
Game emails · free

Your teams, before and after every game.

A preview two hours before the start and the box score minutes after the final. Free, and every email has its own off switch.

Leagues
NFLCollege footballMLBNBANHLWNBACollege basketball

Built on Fumes

Bret Bielema's sixth year at Illinois follows a 9-4 season that ran on borrowed luck rather than dominance, going 3-0 in one-score games and turning a plus-5 turnover margin into wins that a program ranked 39th nationally shouldn't need. The offense scored efficiently, needing just 12.7 yards per point against a league median of 14.1, but that kind of finishing touch rarely holds up two years running, and only 34% of the production that generated it is back. The bowl win over Tennessee capped a season that flattered this roster more than it revealed it, and 2026 is the year the results catch up to the actual talent level.

Houser Inherits an Efficient Machine

Illinois hands the offense to East Carolina transfer Katin Houser, who arrives off a 3,300-yard, 19-touchdown season, to run a unit that ranked 15th nationally in offensive success rate despite ordinary explosiveness (118th) and a shaky pass-protection number (32 sacks allowed, 112th). That combination means Houser does not need to hunt chunk plays to keep this offense humming, he needs to keep the chains moving on early downs the way this system already does, while getting the ball out fast enough to survive the protection issues. The bigger swing skill is whether he can turn Illinois' 29th-ranked points-per-scoring-opportunity mark into more points per game than the 29.4 average from a year ago.

Luke Altmyer's 3,007 yards and 22 touchdowns walk out the door, and Illinois replaces him with Katin Houser, who arrives from East Carolina with 3,300 yards and 19 scores of his own last season. That's a near like-for-like swap in production, which matters given this offense already ran efficient under Bret Bielema, ranking 15th nationally in success rate even while the line let up 32 sacks. Houser doesn't need to be a revelation, just steady enough to keep that efficiency intact behind Carson Boyd and Jershaun Newton, both unproven depth pieces with no game tape to lean on.

Nobody from last year's backfield is gone in a way that changes the plan: Ca'Lil Valentine (614 yards, 4 TD) and Aidan Laughery (382 yards, 3 TD) both return to anchor a run game that finished 89th in rushing yards per game despite an offense that ranked 15th in success rate. That gap is the real story, Illinois moves the chains efficiently but has not turned handoffs into chunk plays, and the room's answer for explosiveness arrives via three-star signees Javari Barnett and Nelsyn Wheeler rather than a proven big-play threat. With Valentine and Laughery splitting early work and Jordan Anderson in reserve, the ceiling here is volume and consistency, not the explosive gains this offense still lacks.

Hank Beatty's 70 catches and 864 yards walk out the door, and Illinois answers by importing volume instead of a single name to replace him. Jayshon Platt arrives from Florida Atlantic with 46 catches and 720 yards already on his résumé, while Eddie Kasper adds 36 grabs from his Illinois State production, giving Bret Bielema two proven transfer hands to pair with returners Collin Dixon (548 yards) and Hudson Clement (454 yards). The passing game finished 60th nationally a year ago, and this group looks built to spread the ball around rather than lean on one breakout receiver.

Kaden Feagin's 507 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns came out of the backfield, not as a receiving tight end, and that gap defines this group heading into 2026. Cole Rusk and Tanner Arkin, the only tight ends who caught more than a single pass last season, are both gone, leaving Davin Stoffel and Christian Abney with one catch apiece as the closest thing to proven receiving experience. Bret Bielema brings in three-star Will Vala from Downers Grove North with no college stats yet, which means Illinois heads into a passing attack that ranked 60th in yards per game with its tight end room needing Stoffel or Abney to turn single-catch résumés into a real role.

The 32 sacks allowed a year ago (112th nationally) exposed real cracks up front even as Illinois won nine games, and Bret Bielema went to both the high school ranks and the portal to patch it. Brandon Henderson anchors the most experienced group of returners, joined by Brandon Hansen, TJ McMillen and TJ Taylor, while four-star signees Champ Smith and Kai Pritchard arrive to push for interior spots immediately. With 14 linemen back against 7 departures, the pass protection numbers should climb before the run game does, since 138 rushing yards per game (89th) was already the offense's soft spot even with this much continuity in the trenches.

Joe Barna's 20 tackles and 2 sacks are the most production left in this room after Illinois lost 9 defensive linemen, including James Thompson Jr.'s 40 tackles and Tomiwa Durojaiye's 4.5 TFL off a front that already ranked just 83rd in tackles for loss and 75th in havoc rate. Bret Bielema went to the portal to patch it, landing Darrell Prater from Jacksonville State, who posted 21 tackles and 3.5 sacks there, plus edge pieces Parker Crim, Jaylen Stewart and Kayden Bennett from the high school ranks. Pat Farrell returns alongside Barna to anchor experience, but with five true unknowns filling out the depth chart, Illinois is betting Prater can be an instant difference-maker rather than a developmental add.

Will Holmes is the one proven piece in this room, and his 45 tackles and 6.5 TFL now have to anchor a group that lost Dylan Rosiek's 53 tackles and Malachi Hood's production off the edge. James Kreutz's 30 tackles give Bielema a second experienced body, but the depth behind them is thin enough that Colorado State transfer Robert Edmonson, who racked up 47 tackles and 4 TFL last season, projects as an immediate starter rather than a rotational piece. That infusion matters because Illinois ranked just 83rd in tackles for loss and 75th in havoc rate a year ago, and this unit needs Edmonson's disruption plus a jump from Kreutz to push those numbers into the top half of the country.

Miles Scott's 64 tackles and Saboor Karriem walk out the door, but Matthew Bailey's 76 tackles and 4 TFL anchor a back end that returns most of its pieces in Tanner Heckel, Juice Clarke and Mac Resetich. The bigger swing is on the perimeter, where four-star corner Nick Hankins Jr. and Northern Illinois transfer safety James Finley arrive to push a group that finished 63rd in passing yards allowed per game and let opponents stay on schedule at a 114th-ranked clip. Bielema needs Hankins Jr. and Finley to hit the field ready, because the tackling depth is there but the explosive-play problem is what actually cost Illinois in coverage last fall.

Illinois loses the whole specialist unit that anchored last season, most notably David Olano, who made 20 of 23 field goals with a 47-yard long and 104 points, and punter Keelan Crimmins, who averaged 43.9 yards on 36 punts. Lucas Osada and Lars Rau return without a game snap of prior production, so Bielema brought in competition regardless: kicker Ethan Moczulski arrives from Washington and punter Jack Gray joins from ProKick, with Zach Haber added at long snapper. None of the six names on this depth chart have a college statistic to their credit, which makes the specialist battle the biggest variable on an otherwise experienced roster.

New Arm, Same Standard

Illinois rebuilt its passing game around Katin Houser after Luke Altmyer's departure, betting the East Carolina transfer's 3,300 yards translate against Big Ten defenses, while Jayshon Platt arrives from Florida Atlantic to offset the loss of Hank Beatty's 864 receiving yards. The bigger hole sits at linebacker, where Gabe Jacas took 11 sacks and 13.5 tackles for loss out the door, and Colorado State transfer Robert Edmonson now has to approximate that disruption without matching that raw production. This is a 24-ranked class and a churn-heavy roster patching two years of production losses with volume transfers rather than one signature addition, a formula that worked at 9-4 last year but leans on Houser proving his numbers scale up in competition level.

Katin Houser

Luke Altmyer's 3007 yards and 22 touchdowns walk out the door, and East Carolina transfer Katin Houser is projected to replace that production behind an offense that still returns Kaden Feagin, Ca'Lil Valentine, Collin Dixon and Hudson Clement. Houser threw for 3300 yards last season but also six interceptions, so the swing for Illinois is whether he can hand the ball to that returning skill group efficiently rather than give it away against Big Ten defenses.

Home Money

Illinois covered every home favorite spot last season, going 4-0-1 when installed as the pick at Memorial Stadium, and the broader 5-1-1 home cover mark backed that up. That home comfort evaporated on the road, where Bret Bielema's team covered just twice in five tries and never covered as an underdog away from Champaign. Bettors backing Illinois in 2026 should treat home lines as the value and road numbers as the risk until proven otherwise.

15 more sections in the full Illinois Fighting Illini preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

All FBS team previews

32 team pages, every division's order of finish, the bracket and a win probability on every game. Updated every Sunday through the season.
$4.50Included with Major LeagueRead the preview →
Today’s games
Standings & playoffs
Playoff pictureCFP pictureCFB rankingsCFB standingsCBB rankingsCBB preview 2026-27CBB transfer portalNFL scheduleCFB scheduleNFL draft orderSchedule strengthNFL rivalries
Most followed
Dallas CowboysKansas City ChiefsNew York YankeesBuffalo BillsDetroit LionsChicago BearsPittsburgh SteelersGreen Bay PackersNew York GiantsChicago CubsBoston Red SoxNotre Dame
Fantasy tools
Start/sit rankingsLineup checkWho’s playing tonightTrade analyzerWaiver wireYour Sleeper leagueDefense vs positionFantasy playoff scheduleNFL bye weeksNHL schedule gridNBA schedule gridHockey streamers
Betting tools & picks
Odds converterParlay calculatorHedge calculatorExpected valueBet size (Kelly)Teasers, round robinsLine movementClosing line valuePrediction marketsNFL picksCollege football picksMLB picksNHL picks
Read
Top plays last nightPlayer highlightsMLB walk-offsNews WireStat SavantBest BetsNFL preview 2026College football 2026Premium issuesBox Scores newsletterHow it worksHow we get our numbers
Highlights
Major League planInvite friendsPrivacyTermsLog in
Fantasy tools+−
Start/sit rankingsLineup checkWho’s playing tonightTrade analyzerWaiver wireYour Sleeper leagueDefense vs positionFantasy playoff scheduleNFL bye weeksNHL schedule gridNBA schedule gridHockey streamers
Betting tools & picks+−
Odds converterParlay calculatorHedge calculatorExpected valueBet size (Kelly)Teasers, round robinsLine movementClosing line valuePrediction marketsNFL picksCollege football picks
Standings & playoffs+−
Playoff pictureCFP pictureCFB rankingsCFB standingsCBB rankingsCBB preview 2026-27CBB transfer portalNFL scheduleCFB scheduleNFL draft orderSchedule strength
Leagues+−
NFLCollege footballMLBNBANHLWNBACollege basketballToday’s games
Most followed+−
Dallas CowboysKansas City ChiefsNew York YankeesBuffalo BillsDetroit LionsChicago BearsPittsburgh SteelersGreen Bay PackersNew York GiantsChicago CubsBoston Red Sox
Read+−
Top plays last nightPlayer highlightsMLB walk-offsNews WireStat SavantBest BetsNFL preview 2026College football 2026Premium issuesBox Scores newsletterHow it worksHow we get our numbers
Highlights+−
Major League planInvite friendsPrivacyTermsLog in
A Mainmarket brand · 135 York St, Brooklyn, NY 11201 · Not affiliated with any league or team
Betting tools are for information. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Scores, schedules, rosters and statistics come from public sports data feeds and are for information only. Odds, projections and win probabilities are for entertainment only and are not betting advice. Team names and marks belong to their owners and identify the clubs we cover. © 2026 MainMarket.com. All rights reserved.

MLB picks
NHL picks
NFL rivalries
Notre Dame