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2026
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138 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
138 teams · 160 pages
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In this issue · 160 pages
View FCS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 11
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Coaching Pressure
p. 2
Transfer Portal
p. 3
Power Poll
p. 4
Experience Report
p. 5
All-Americans
p. 6
Position Units
p. 7
Most Improved
p. 8
Bull & Bear
p. 9
Toughest Schedule
p. 10
Conference Rankings
p. 11
Conferences · 11
Mountain West
10 teams · p. 12
Pac-12
8 teams · p. 23
Big 12
16 teams · p. 32
Big Ten
18 teams · p. 49
Mid-American
13 teams · p. 68
Conference USA
10 teams · p. 82
Sun Belt
14 teams · p. 93
American Athletic
14 teams · p. 108
SEC
16 teams · p. 123
ACC
17 teams · p. 140
FBS Independents
2 teams · p. 158
Teams · 138, one page each
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
SEC · 16
Alabama
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 138
Auburn
Proj. 7-5 · p. 134
Florida
Proj. 7-5 · p. 132
Georgia
Proj. 10-2 · p. 125
Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 137
LSU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 127
Mississippi State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 139
Missouri
Proj. 7-5 · p. 133
Oklahoma
Proj. 8-4 · p. 129
Ole Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 130
South Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 135
Tennessee
Proj. 7-5 · p. 131
Texas
Proj. 10-2 · p. 124
Texas A&M
Proj. 8-4 · p. 128
Vanderbilt
Proj. 6-6 · p. 136
Big Ten · 18
Illinois
Proj. 7-5 · p. 59
Indiana
Proj. 10-2 · p. 52
Iowa
Proj. 8-4 · p. 56
Maryland
Proj. 5-7 · p. 62
Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 54
Michigan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Minnesota
Proj. 5-7 · p. 63
Nebraska
Proj. 7-5 · p. 58
Northwestern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 61
Ohio State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 50
Oregon
Proj. 10-2 · p. 51
Penn State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 55
Purdue
Proj. 4-8 · p. 67
Rutgers
Proj. 5-7 · p. 66
UCLA
Proj. 5-7 · p. 64
USC
Proj. 8-4 · p. 53
Washington
Proj. 7-5 · p. 57
Wisconsin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 60
Big 12 · 16
Arizona
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Arizona State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 41
Baylor
Proj. 7-5 · p. 38
BYU
Proj. 9-3 · p. 34
Cincinnati
Proj. 6-6 · p. 43
Colorado
Proj. 6-6 · p. 42
Houston
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Iowa State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 48
Kansas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 45
Kansas State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 40
Oklahoma State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 44
TCU
Proj. 7-5 · p. 39
Texas Tech
Proj. 11-1 · p. 33
UCF
Proj. 6-6 · p. 46
Utah
Proj. 8-4 · p. 35
West Virginia
Proj. 5-7 · p. 47
ACC · 17
Boston College
Proj. 4-8 · p. 156
California
Proj. 5-7 · p. 154
Clemson
Proj. 8-4 · p. 142
Duke
Proj. 6-6 · p. 152
Florida State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 145
Georgia Tech
Proj. 6-6 · p. 150
Louisville
Proj. 8-4 · p. 144
Miami
Proj. 10-2 · p. 141
NC State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 151
North Carolina
Proj. 6-6 · p. 149
Pittsburgh
Proj. 7-5 · p. 148
SMU
Proj. 8-4 · p. 143
Stanford
Proj. 4-8 · p. 157
Syracuse
Proj. 5-7 · p. 155
Virginia
Proj. 8-4 · p. 146
Virginia Tech
Proj. 7-5 · p. 147
Wake Forest
Proj. 6-6 · p. 153
American · 14
Army
Proj. 6-6 · p. 115
Charlotte
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
East Carolina
Proj. 8-4 · p. 110
Florida Atlantic
Proj. 5-7 · p. 119
Memphis
Proj. 7-5 · p. 113
Navy
Proj. 8-4 · p. 111
North Texas
Proj. 6-6 · p. 116
Rice
Proj. 4-8 · p. 120
South Florida
Proj. 8-4 · p. 112
Temple
Proj. 5-7 · p. 117
Tulane
Proj. 8-4 · p. 109
Tulsa
Proj. 6-6 · p. 118
UAB
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
UTSA
Proj. 6-6 · p. 114
Mountain West · 10
Air Force
Proj. 7-5 · p. 16
Hawai'i
Proj. 8-4 · p. 14
Nevada
Proj. 5-7 · p. 18
New Mexico
Proj. 8-4 · p. 15
North Dakota State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 17
Northern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 21
San José State
Proj. 5-8 · p. 20
UNLV
Proj. 9-3 · p. 13
UTEP
Proj. 4-8 · p. 22
Wyoming
Proj. 5-7 · p. 19
Sun Belt · 14
App State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 103
Arkansas State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 101
Coastal Carolina
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
Georgia Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 99
Georgia State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
James Madison
Proj. 8-4 · p. 94
Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 98
Louisiana Tech
Proj. 5-7 · p. 102
Marshall
Proj. 6-6 · p. 100
Old Dominion
Proj. 7-5 · p. 95
South Alabama
Proj. 5-7 · p. 104
Southern Miss
Proj. 7-5 · p. 96
Troy
Proj. 6-6 · p. 97
UL Monroe
Proj. 3-9 · p. 107
CUSA · 10
Delaware
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
Florida International
Proj. 6-6 · p. 89
Jacksonville State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 86
Kennesaw State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Liberty
Proj. 7-5 · p. 85
Middle Tennessee
Proj. 4-8 · p. 91
Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
New Mexico State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 90
Sam Houston
Proj. 4-8 · p. 92
Western Kentucky
Proj. 7-5 · p. 83
MAC · 13
Akron
Proj. 4-8 · p. 78
Ball State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 79
Bowling Green
Proj. 5-7 · p. 76
Buffalo
Proj. 6-6 · p. 74
Central Michigan
Proj. 5-7 · p. 75
Eastern Michigan
Proj. 4-8 · p. 77
Kent State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 80
Massachusetts
Proj. 4-8 · p. 81
Miami (OH)
Proj. 7-5 · p. 71
Ohio
Proj. 7-5 · p. 72
Sacramento State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 73
Toledo
Proj. 8-4 · p. 69
Western Michigan
Proj. 8-4 · p. 70
Pac-12 · 8
Boise State
Proj. 8-3 · p. 24
Colorado State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 31
Fresno State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 26
Oregon State
Proj. 4-7 · p. 30
San Diego State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 25
Texas State
Proj. 6-5 · p. 28
Utah State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 29
Washington State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 27
FBS Indep. · 2
Notre Dame
Proj. 11-1 · p. 159
UConn
Proj. 5-7 · p. 160

Utah Utes 2026 Season Preview

Big 12 · Morgan Scalley, year 1 · 11-2 last season · No. 31 in our FBS ratings

Scalley's Prove-It Year

Morgan Scalley inherits a program that scored at a top-five clip and finished 31st in the power rankings with a roster built more on Dampier's arm than blue-chip depth, so the real test is whether that offense can carry a defense replacing nearly half its production while the coaching voice changes for the first time.

Utah's Defensive Rebuild

Can Utah's defense hold up with barely 47.3% of its production back? The offense returns Dampier and 72.2% of its production, giving Scalley a stable base to lean on while the defensive side absorbs the bulk of the turnover, and that imbalance points to a unit that wins more shootouts than it does defensive struggles in 2026. Expect the scoreboard, not the stat sheet, to carry Utah through the growing pains on that side of the ball.

Utah's Toss-Up Trio

Morgan Scalley's first year at the wheel comes with a middle-of-the-pack slate (60th in difficulty) that still delivers a brutal closing stretch. Utah is no better than a coin flip in three straight true tests, at BYU essentially even, on the road against Arizona at 47%, and at TCU at 49%, the exact stretch that will decide whether 2025's 11-2 run was real progress or Scalley inherits a step back. Everything else on the board, from Idaho and Utah State at home to a road trip to Colorado, sets up as manageable, but how Utah handles that BYU-Arizona-TCU gauntlet is the whole season.

Dampier Can't Repeat the Margins

Utah's 11-2 finish leaned on an offense that squeezed points out of 11.7 yards per point against a 14.1 league median and a turnover margin of plus-6, both the kind of efficiency and luck that rarely shows up twice. Devon Dampier returns to run the offense, and with 72.2% of that production back the pieces are there, but the model has this roster 31st nationally against a 14th-place finish in the final poll, a gap that says last year's record oversold the talent. The 8-4 projection is the honest number: a good, not great, Big 12 team whose ceiling is capped by a defense that made teams earn it rather than one that dominates.

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Scalley Inherits a Mirage

Morgan Scalley takes over a program whose 11-2 mark flattered it more than the tape did. The offense needed just 11.7 yards per point against league opponents, well under the 14.1 median, a scoring efficiency rate that rarely holds up two years running, while the defense let opponents cover 18.9 yards per point, bending without breaking rather than actually stopping anyone. A turnover margin of plus-6 over 13 games papered over both trends, and none of that is the kind of thing a new staff can bank on repeating in 2026.

Ground Game Carries Utah

Devon Dampier's return is the whole story here: 2,490 yards and 24 touchdowns through the air last season, attached to an offense that ran for 267 yards per game, second nationally. That identity does not need reinvention in 2026, it needs repetition, and with Dampier back the Utes keep the nation's second-best scoring efficiency (5.01 points per opportunity) and a third-down conversion rate (52.9%) that let them dictate tempo all year. The passing numbers (217 yards per game, 82nd) were never the point, the run-first math behind an 11-2 season is, and Dampier's return means that math stays intact.

Devon Dampier's return, after throwing for 2490 yards and 24 touchdowns against just 5 picks, is the reason Utah's offense doesn't have to rebuild around a name change under new coach Morgan Scalley. The bigger question is whether the passing game ever catches up to the ground production, given Utah ranked 2nd nationally in rushing yards per game but just 82nd in passing yards per game a year ago. Backup Byrd Ficklin and transfer Brandon Rose give Dampier insurance, but this offense's ceiling still runs through him extending drives at a 52.9% third-down clip rather than needing to become a different kind of passer.

Wayshawn Parker's 981 yards were the foundation of a rushing attack that finished 2nd nationally in yards per game, and with NaQuari Rogers gone, the touchdown work Rogers provided has to come from somewhere else in the room. Daniel Bray and Nate Johnson both return with modest but real production, while San José State transfer Steve Chavez-Soto arrives with 448 yards and 7 scores already on his resume, giving Morgan Scalley a proven complement rather than an unproven backup. The scoring punch stays intact as long as Parker keeps piling up carries and Chavez-Soto converts short-yardage chances the way he did before transferring in.

Utah's leading returning wideout caught 15 balls for 280 yards, which tells the real story: last year's 41.3 points per game came almost entirely on the ground, with the passing game ranked just 82nd nationally despite a top-2 rushing attack. That's why the transfer haul matters so much, with Braden Pegan (60 catches, 925 yards at Utah State) and Kyri Shoels (59 catches, 768 yards at San José State) arriving to give Utah actual proven volume on the outside. If either approaches those numbers in the Big 12, Utah's offense stops being one-dimensional and becomes the explosive, balanced attack its rushing and third-down numbers already suggest it can be.

Utah's tight end room lost its entire receiving identity when Dallen Bentley (48 catches, 620 yards, 6 TD) and JJ Buchanan (26 catches, 427 yards, 5 TD) departed, and the incumbents left behind combined for almost nothing through the air last year. That gap gets filled by transfer Noah Bennee, who caught 23 passes for 264 yards at Weber State, while Hunter Andrews returns as the run-game piece off his 113 rushing yards and a touchdown. With Oklahoma State transfer Will Monney adding another receiving option, this position group looks built to support Utah's ground-and-pound attack rather than replicate the departed duo's production through the air.

A line that helped average 267 rushing yards per game (2nd nationally) and allowed just 15 sacks now loses Spencer Fano, Caleb Lomu, Kamilo Raass and six others to the tune of eight total departures, wiping out most of the group that made those numbers possible. Morgan Scalley leans on seniors Alex Harrison and Solatoa Moea'i to anchor whatever comes together up front, while five-star tackle Kelvin Obot and four-star Mataalii Benjamin arrive as the kind of high-end signings meant to backfill a line this decorated. Given how much production walked out the door, Utah's rushing attack is more likely to take a step back in 2026 than replicate last year's output.

John Henry Daley (11.5 sacks, 17.5 TFL) and Logan Fano (4.5 sacks, 7.5 TFL) are both gone, and no returning lineman comes close to that production, with Kash Dillon's 3.5 sacks the high mark among holdovers. Utah went to the portal hard to cover it, landing Ethan Day from North Texas (54 tackles, 4.5 sacks, 7 TFL) and Jireh Moe from San José State, with Lucas Samsula arriving from Wyoming as another portal addition up front. The run defense already ranked 109th in yards allowed per game, so Day's disruption has to translate immediately or that number gets worse before it gets better.

Johnathan Hall is the one holdover with real production, coming off 63 tackles and 6 TFL, but the group around him looks nothing like the one that helped hold opponents to 180 rushing yards a game at 109th nationally in that category. Lander Barton and Levani Damuni, who combined for the bulk of the tackle numbers behind Hall, are both gone, leaving Trey Reynolds and Elijah Elliss to jump from complementary roles into every-down responsibility. Morgan Scalley inherits a defense that still finished 17th in points allowed per game, but the front seven's answer for replacing Barton's downhill instincts is largely unproven, with three-star arrivals Preston Pitts and LaGary Mitchell needing time before they factor into a run defense that was already a soft spot.

Jackson Bennee's 62 tackles and 4 TFL anchor a secondary that finished 17th in passing yards allowed per game, but nine defensive backs are gone, including Tao Johnson and Smith Snowden, which means Morgan Scalley is patching four of five spots around one proven safety. Elijah Davis is the only returning corner with real snaps to lean on, so the portal hauls of James Chenault (32 tackles at South Florida) and Elijah Reed (44 tackles, two TFL at Akron) are being counted on to start immediately rather than develop. With that much turnover at corner, the run defense's 109th-ranked mark becomes secondary to whether Chenault and Reed can hold up on the outside while Nate Ritchie and Nate Tilmon settle in behind them.

Dillon Curtis is the answer at placekicker, and it is not close: 11 of 15 field goals with a 54-yard long and 101 points dwarfs Tanner Cragun's 6-of-8, 18-point ledger, so Morgan Scalley should hand him the job outright rather than split reps. Orion Phillips returns after a 42.3-yard average on 38 punts, giving Utah a steady leg to flip field position while the coaching staff sorts out a new long snapper behind Logan Castor with Charlie King gone. The specialist mix is set up to be a strength, not a question mark, entering Scalley's first season in charge.

Rebuilt Around Dampier

Utah's roster turned over almost entirely at the skill positions, but the one constant is the most important piece: Devon Dampier, back after throwing for 2,490 yards and 24 touchdowns, gives Morgan Scalley a proven engine while everything around him gets rebuilt. Ryan Davis, Dallen Bentley, JJ Buchanan and NaQuari Rogers all left behind real production, so the Utah State pipeline of Braden Pegan (60 catches, 925 yards) and Steve Chavez-Soto (448 yards, 7 TD) has to replace touchdowns fast, not just catches. Up front, John Henry Daley's 11.5 sacks and Lander Barton's tackle production also walk out the door, leaving portal addition Ethan Day (4.5 sacks, 7 TFL) to fill a real gap in a defense that otherwise returns its identity around Dampier's continuity at quarterback.

Braden Pegan

Devon Dampier is a known quantity after throwing for 2,490 yards and 24 touchdowns, so the swing piece is Braden Pegan, the Utah State transfer who has to replace Ryan Davis as Dampier's top target. Pegan caught 60 balls for 925 yards and 5 scores a year ago, and if that production translates against Big 12 corners, Utah's passing game loses nothing from the departure.

Utah Covered Nearly Everywhere

Bettors who rode Utah last year got paid almost anywhere they looked, a 9-3-1 overall cover mark that included an 80% clip as road underdogs and a perfect 2-0 backing the week after a loss. That kind of profile under Morgan Scalley, now heading into his own year one atop the program, points to a team that consistently outplayed its number rather than just its opponent. The one soft spot was against ranked competition, a flat 2-2 against the spread, which is the gap oddsmakers will lean on until Utah proves it can cover against the field's best, not just the rest.

15 more sections in the full Utah Utes preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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