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2026
FCS
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124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
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147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
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In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Stetson Hatters 2026 Season Preview

Pioneer · Mike Jasper · 3-9 last season · No. 124 in our FCS ratings

Nearly Everyone Returns, So What

Stetson brings back 99% of its production, but that mostly means the same offense that managed 18.8 points a game and the same defense that leaked 39.1 are set to run it back with Chris Stephenson again, so continuity here reads less like stability and more like a program stuck repeating its own mistakes.

Can Stephenson's number improve?

Can Chris Stephenson cut down the mistakes that plagued his first year running the offense? With Austin Hill's modest 67-yard target share the only real subtraction and nearly the entire cast back around him, Stephenson has no excuses left about unfamiliarity or a thin supporting cast. The likeliest outcome is incremental, not dramatic, since a roster this stable tends to repeat its habits before it breaks them.

Jasper's Trip to Brookings

Stetson's slate ranks 102nd in difficulty, but the number that matters is the trio of true road walls: at South Dakota State, at UC Davis and at St. Thomas-Minnesota, where the Hatters sit at 3%, 3% and 8% to win. Everything winnable is bunched at home, with Valparaiso (51%) and Marist (29%) offering the realistic paths to a win, while a projected 2-10 says Mike Jasper's group is built to lose the road trips and scrap for the rest. The season is decided in those buses, not in the games at home.

Better Than 2-10

A minus-11 turnover margin and a defense that kept bleeding cheap points, allowing scores every 9.9 yards against a 13.9 league median, buried a Stetson team that was never actually this bad, and both trends point toward correction under Mike Jasper. Chris Stephenson runs an offense that must simply convert its own yardage more efficiently, not find new volume, and the conference-game margin against league opponents already implied more wins than the 25.0% rate Stetson actually posted. The projected 2-10 undersells this group; expect a defense that stops getting cashed in on cheaply and a turnover margin that stops bleeding to push Stetson closer to a break-even Pioneer season than the projection allows.

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Jasper's Slide Continues

Mike Jasper's 2025 closed at 3-9 overall and 2-6 in Pioneer play, and the power rating (No. 124) backs up what the record shows on the field. There is no name in this fact set to point to as the fix, just a program that has to find footing in league games it is currently losing more often than winning. Nothing here points to a quick turnaround absent real improvement in those conference results.

More Turnovers Than Touchdowns

Chris Stephenson returns as the settled starter off a 2025 line that reads 454 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, and that ratio is the whole problem for a Stetson offense that finished 106th in success rate and 118th in passing yards per game. A minus-11 turnover margin (117th nationally) sank a 3-9 team last fall, and until Stephenson tightens the ball security, the run game's respectable 161 yards per game (51st) will keep getting wasted. Nothing about this unit's talent points to more than incremental progress in 2026, and the numbers say the offense has to simply stop giving games away before it can start winning them.

Chris Stephenson threw four picks against two touchdowns on just 454 yards last fall, yet he's Mike Jasper's guy again in 2026, which says more about the passing game around him than about Stephenson himself. Kael Alexander actually out-produced him in relief, tossing 8 touchdowns against 5 interceptions on 954 yards, so the ceiling behind Stephenson is real even if the job isn't in question. Stetson's passing attack ranked 118th nationally in yards per game a year ago, and until Stephenson tightens the ball security, the offense stays capped no matter how much rushing help it gets.

Trey Clark's 360 yards and 4 touchdowns were the only real juice in a run game that still finished 51st nationally despite an offense stuck at 101st in points per game, and he returns as the clear focal point of the backfield. Zion Griffin, Troy Flowers and Marvin Duffey Jr. all managed touchdowns or steady yardage in reserve roles last season, giving Mike Jasper a stable of proven runners even as Jaden Dailey, Joe Ziegler, Almari Brown and Donovan Snyder move on. The bigger issue was never the ground game itself but everything around it, a passing attack that ranked 118th and a 32.2% third-down rate that kept Clark and company from ever controlling a game.

Dylan Redmon's 23 catches for 341 yards and 4 touchdowns were the only real production in a passing game that ranked 118th in the country, and the whole room comes back around him. Wyatt Rogers and Beau Bankston combined for modest totals of their own, but none of the departures, Austin Hill included, ever cracked double-digit catches, so the losses are marginal next to what Redmon and company retain. The bigger problem sits behind them, Stetson threw for just 151 yards per game, so unless someone forces more volume through this trio, the passing numbers stay stuck near the bottom third of the FBS regardless of who lines up outside.

Anthony Benzija's 15 catches for 137 yards and a score were modest production for a passing game that finished 118th in yards per game, but they still made him the most proven piece in this room. Matis Gibson, Colin Hochmuth, Foster Houlton, Jayden Massey and Mason Scott all return without a catch on record, so Mike Jasper's staff is betting that reps rather than results will carry this group. With the offense stuck at 4.68 yards per play and a 35.9% success rate, Stetson needs Benzija to become a real safety valve, not just a name on the depth chart.

Stetson's ground game held up reasonably well behind this group, running for 161 yards a game (51st nationally), but the passing attack ranked 118th and the whole offense finished 101st in points per game, so the line's pass protection is the bigger question entering 2026. Three linemen who took snaps up front are gone in Chris Izaguirre, Matthew Stewart and Vincent Chen, and the reshuffled front now leans on Samuel Ballentine, Eric Brust Jr., Luke Cloer, Rowan Collins and Richard Dennis to keep building the run game while finally giving the passing offense room to operate. Mike Jasper's staff does not need to reinvent this unit, but it does need those returners to grow into bigger roles fast if Stetson wants its 32.2% third-down rate and 106th-ranked success rate to move in 2026.

Points allowed piled up to 39.1 a game last fall, 117th nationally, and the line's 6.40 yards allowed per play (110th) says the trench work was the root problem, not just secondary busts. Mikey Allen, Cade Davis, Colin Douthit, Noah Elkhander, Zachary Goodwin and Boluwatife Jetawo all return to try to tighten that, but five contributors including Gavin Peacock, Henry Watkins and Sampson Okorafor are gone from a front that let 104th-ranked drive-derailing numbers slip. Mike Jasper needs that returning group to win more snaps at the point of attack, because Stetson's 78th-ranked run defense and 67th-ranked pass defense both trace back to a line that couldn't keep opponents off schedule.

The 39.1 points allowed per game last year, 117th nationally, told the story of a defense that couldn't get stops when it mattered, and the linebacker corps takes the hit for it with Andrew Martin, Carter Gaskins and Tyron Harris Jr. all gone. Opponents stayed on schedule 45.8% of the time against Stetson, 104th nationally, a number that points squarely at a linebacker group that couldn't set an edge or win on early downs. Mike Jasper needs whoever fills these three vacancies to tighten up run fits fast, since the 170 rushing yards allowed per game last season won't move on its own.

Points allowed cratered to 39.1 a game last fall, a number that had less to do with talent than continuity, and Mike Jasper now hands the back end to Devin Carson at safety alongside Cooper Aurilia, Joshua Banks, Kane Berryman, Jadon Blakeslee and Caleb Blunt. That is five bodies back with real reps, even without a single tracked stat to their names, in a league where 388 yards and 6.40 per play allowed were symptoms of a defense that let 45.8% of snaps stay on schedule. The five departures at DB clear the way for this specific group to own the room in 2026, and how quickly Carson's group tightens underneath will decide whether Stetson's pass defense, respectable at 219 yards allowed, keeps that identity or slides with the rest of the unit.

Daniel Holbrook made just 3 of 6 field goals last season, a 35-yarder his long, and his 34 points speak to a kicking operation that never stretched the field. Stetson brings back four other placekickers on the roster in Paul DeSousa, Trey Hess and Liam Kelly, none with a game snap on file, so Holbrook's modest track record still makes him the closest thing to a known commodity at the position. Punter Brett Gonda returns without prior stats either, and with both long snappers, Wesley Choate and Chase Ortiz, gone, Mike Jasper is breaking in new snap operations behind an unproven specialist corps.

Chris Stephenson

Chris Stephenson is the projected starter under center for 2026, and the job is his to lose after a 2025 line of 454 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions that offered little separation from backup Kael Alexander's 954 yards and 8 touchdowns. With Austin Hill's production gone and no portal help arriving, Stephenson needs Dylan Redmon, who caught 23 passes for 341 yards and 4 scores, to be his steadying target while he tries to cut down the turnovers that plagued last year's passing game.

No shelter on the road

Stetson lost every road game outright in 2025 and covered just once in five tries away from home, a split that made Mike Jasper's team a near-automatic fade for bettors once it left campus. The home floor covered a bit better at 40%, but the deeper problem shows in the week-after-a-loss number, 2-5 against the spread, meaning this group did not respond to adversity so much as compound it. Until Stetson proves it can steady itself after a bad Saturday, backing it on the road in 2026 is betting against the closing evidence.

14 more sections in the full Stetson Hatters preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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