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2026
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124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
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147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
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In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Monmouth Hawks 2026 Season Preview

CAA · Jeff Gallo · 9-3 last season · No. 29 in our FCS ratings

The Comedown Year

Frankie Weaver returns to run an offense that led the FCS ranks by scoring 40.0 points a game, but only 35% of last year's production comes back around him, which is why the coaches' final No. 20 finish looks more like a ceiling than a floor with the model pegging Monmouth 29th entering 2026.

Can Weaver's offense hold up?

Can Frankie Weaver carry an offense that returns barely a quarter of its production? Most likely he does not do it alone, and the burden shifts to a defense that already keeps 45.3% of its snaps back, giving Jeff Gallo a unit stable enough to cover for early growing pains on the other side. Monmouth's path to matching its 9-3 mark runs through that defense buying Weaver time to grow into the job, not through him replicating last year's scoring pace immediately.

Gallo's Three Road Trials

Monmouth's fate rests almost entirely on three road trips: at Western Michigan is a true buy-game gauntlet at just 7%, while trips to Tennessee Tech (37%) and New Hampshire (45%) are the toss-up tests that will actually shape the CAA standings. Everything else on Jeff Gallo's slate favors Monmouth heavily, with North Carolina A&T (88%), Hampton (84%) and Bryant (81%) at home all sitting as expected wins. A projected 8-4 finish assumes Monmouth splits those two coin-flip road games rather than sweeping them, which is the realistic path given a schedule ranked 87th in difficulty.

Second in CAA, again

Monmouth closed 2025 at No. 20 in the final Coaches Poll, yet the model's own subdivision view has them down at 29th entering 2026, a gap that says last year's playoff run outran the underlying talent more than the roster restocked it. An 87 schedule ranking and a second-place CAA projection point to a team that beats what it should on paper rather than one built to run away with the league. Eight wins is the honest ceiling here, and Jeff Gallo's group gets there by riding Weaver and the league schedule, not by looking like the FCS's best team again.

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Gallo's Program Is Rolling

Jeff Gallo closed 2025 at 9-3 with a 6-2 league mark, and a No. 29 power ranking puts Monmouth in territory most CAA programs are not touching. That kind of results-based standing changes the conversation entering 2026, the Hawks are not a team hoping to stay competitive in the league, they are one built to contend for it. Gallo's staff walks into the season with the on-field proof already stacked up rather than anything left to argue for.

Weaver Inherits a Machine

Monmouth's offense was the story of the CAA last fall, moving the ball at 499 yards a game (1st nationally) behind a passing attack that hit 317 yards a game, and Frankie Weaver, who threw for 1331 yards with 14 touchdowns against just 3 interceptions, is projected to run it again in 2026. That efficiency, a 52.7% third-down rate and a 51.5% success rate, is what actually separates this team, not the defense, which allowed 405 yards a game and ranked 110th against the pass. If Weaver keeps distributing the ball the way he did, Monmouth's ceiling is tied to whether that defense can find enough stops to stop bleeding points at 27.8 a game.

Derek Robertson's 2439 yards and 27 touchdowns walk out the door, but the machine he ran barely blinks: Monmouth's offense led the country in total yards and finished top three in passing yards, third down rate and success rate a year ago. Frankie Weaver takes the first-team reps as the front-runner to replace him, backed by 1331 yards and 14 touchdowns of his own experience, though Jagger Matera, Brad Seiss and TJ Valerio make this an actual camp battle rather than a coronation. Whoever wins the job inherits an offense that only needs a game manager, not a savior, since the yardage totals were already elite even before accounting for Weaver's ceiling.

Rodney Nelson's 1805 yards and 18 touchdowns walk out the door, and nothing in this room replicates that workload on paper. Elijah Jennings is the incumbent, with 320 yards and 6 scores a season ago, while Kenny Smith managed just 38 yards and Justin Silva arrives with no prior statistics on file. Monmouth's ground game ranked only 24th in yards per game even with Nelson churning out that total, so Jeff Gallo's offense will keep leaning on the pass-first identity that made it 3rd in passing yards and 2nd in yards per play, letting Jennings work as a complementary piece rather than the engine.

Tra Neal is the only proven target left standing after Josh Derry (73 catches, 1101 yards, 13 TD), TJ Speight (69 catches, 813 yards, 6 TD) and Gavin Nelson (30 catches, 514 yards, 6 TD) all cleared out, and his own 30 catches for 431 yards and 7 TD look modest next to what just walked out the door. That trio accounted for most of the production behind a passing game that ranked 3rd in the country in yards per game and helped Monmouth post the No. 1 total offense, so Jeff Gallo is betting that Greg Randall, Destin Hill, Owen Bill, Kendall Dorsey and Zach Garmont can turn unproven roles into real snaps fast. Nothing on this list beyond Neal carries a receiving number, which means 2026 hinges less on replicating last year's explosive passing attack than on someone in that group forcing his way into it.

Marcus Middleton's 13 catches for 149 yards were matched almost stat-for-stat by departed Jack Neri, who turned an identical 13 grabs into 119 yards and 4 touchdowns before leaving the room without its top red-zone weapon. Middleton is the only tight end back with a catch on record, and Kevin Dougherty Jr., Shane Garrett, Arturo Johnson Jr. and Charlie Warren all return without a documented target between them, so Jeff Gallo's passing attack, which ranked 3rd nationally in yards per game, has to find its scoring punch at the position from players who have not yet shown it on paper. That is less alarming with a 499-yard, 7.04-yards-per-play offense running through it, but replacing four Neri touchdowns with zero proven production at the position is the real swing factor for 2026.

A line that helped produce 499 total yards a game and 7.04 yards per play, both top-two nationally, loses five identifiable starters plus a sixth unnamed departure, wiping out almost the entire group that paved that production. Brady O'Hara, a transfer from Penn State, arrives to fill interior line duty, but replacing that kind of continuity up front across six spots is a different challenge than replacing skill talent. Monmouth's passing game and third-down rate should carry the offense early while a rebuilt front finds its rhythm, though the modest 24th-ranked rushing mark suggests the ground game was already the softer half of this attack even before the overhaul.

Monmouth's front surrendered 253 passing yards a game (110th) even while the pass rush found ways to keep plays off schedule, and now the room turns over at the top with Josiah Graham gone after leading the departed group with 8 tackles. Jeff Gallo went to the portal for an answer, landing Syracuse edge Jahide Lesaine Jr., whose 3 tackles came in a backup role last season but who arrives with a chance to become the disruptive presence this defense lacked. If Lesaine can turn that opportunity into snaps on passing downs, a defense that ranked 58th in yards per play allowed has a path to closing the gap through the air.

Monmouth's pass defense bled 253 yards a game through the air (110th) last season, and the linebacker corps that watched it happen is now entirely turned over, with Ryan Russo, Evan Rutkowski, Brody Hock and Andrew Conklin all gone. Jeff Gallo brings in Jahide Lesaine Jr. via transfer to help reset a front that still stood up the run well enough (152 yards allowed per game, 57th) but couldn't get opposing plays off schedule (42.9%, 69th). If Lesaine Jr. can anchor the second level quickly, the run-stopping foundation is there to build around, but the passing-game issues that plagued this defense in 2025 won't fix themselves at linebacker alone.

Monmouth's pass defense was the soft spot even in a 9-3 season, ranking 110th in passing yards allowed at 253 per game, and the offseason exodus in the secondary does nothing to erase that number on its own. Deuce Lee, Jaeden Jones, Justin Bennin, Israel Clark-White and Coleon Williams are all gone, part of an eight-man departure count that strips out real tackle production from a group that already gave up 5.68 yards per play. Omar Ibrahim arrives from Temple to compete at corner, and an experienced secondary around him has to tighten the back end faster than last year's numbers suggest it will.

Luke Schabel handled the punting load last year at a 41.9-yard clip and comes back as the steady leg, while Byron McCann gives Jeff Gallo a second punter option with no logged track record yet. The bigger swing is at placekicker, where Hudson Fiene's perfect 2-of-2 kicking and 66 points are gone, leaving no returning statistical production at that spot heading into 2026. Payton Wieczerzak steps in at long snapper for departed Steven Langton, a low-visibility change that only matters if it goes wrong.

Elijah Jennings' backfield

Rodney Nelson took 1805 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns out the door, and Elijah Jennings, who managed only 320 yards and 6 scores as the change of pace back last year, is the one being handed that entire workload. Frankie Weaver still runs the offense at quarterback, but if Jennings cannot scale up into a lead-back role, defenses tilt everything toward Weaver and Tra Neal and Monmouth's balance disappears.

Jeff Gallo's Road Cover Edge

Monmouth went 9-3 straight up but split the ledger against the number, and the divide is geographic: 6-1 on the road with a 57% cover rate under Jeff Gallo, against just 3-2 straight up and a 40% cover mark at home as favorites. Conference games sharpened that further, 6-2 on the field and 63% covering inside the CAA. Bettors chasing this team should follow it off campus, not onto it, especially with the lone road-underdog spot going uncovered as the outlier to note.

14 more sections in the full Monmouth Hawks preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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