
Every FCS team gets a page: last season’s results, returning production, and the schedule with a win probability on every game. Plus the projected 24-team bracket, conference orders of finish, and where our number disagrees with the market.
UAC · 9-5 in 2025Abilene Christian Wildcats7-5 projected · srs #9 · 26% returningKeith Patterson
SWAC · 4-8 in 2025Alabama A&M Bulldogs4-8 projected · srs #112 · 66% returningSam Shade
SWAC · 10-2 in 2025Alabama State Hornets8-4 projected · srs #28 · 55% returningEddie Robinson Jr.
SWAC · 5-7 in 2025Alcorn State Braves5-7 projected · srs #103 · 54% returningCedric Thomas
SWAC · 3-8 in 2025Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions3-8 projected · srs #117 · 60% returningAlonzo Hampton
UAC · 7-5 in 2025Austin Peay Governors7-5 projected · srs #16 · 57% returningJeff Faris
SWAC · 6-6 in 2025Bethune-Cookman Wildcats6-6 projected · srs #89 · 36% returningRaymond Woodie Jr.
Ivy · 5-5 in 2025Brown Bears4-6 projected · srs #64 · 78% returningJames Perry
CAA · 3-9 in 2025Bryant Bulldogs4-8 projected · srs #98 · 45% returningChris Merritt
Patriot · 5-7 in 2025Bucknell Bison4-8 projected · srs #102 · 61% returningJeff Behrman
Pioneer · 6-6 in 2025Butler Bulldogs4-8 projected · srs #92 · 92% returningKevin Lynch
Big Sky · 4-8 in 2025Cal Poly Mustangs6-6 projected · srs #27 · 57% returningTim Skipper
CAA · 2-10 in 2025Campbell Fighting Camels5-7 projected · srs #93 · 50% returningBraxton Harris
UAC · 3-9 in 2025Central Arkansas Bears4-8 projected · srs #58 · 46% returningNathan Brown
NEC · 8-5 in 2025Central Connecticut Blue Devils5-6 projected · srs #65 · 43% returningAdam Lechtenberg
OVC-Big South · 5-7 in 2025Charleston Southern Buccaneers5-7 projected · srs #72 · 46% returningGabe Giardina
Southern · 5-7 in 2025Chattanooga Mocs5-7 projected · srs #84 · 46% returningRusty Wright
Patriot · 5-7 in 2025Colgate Raiders5-7 projected · srs #68 · 57% returningCurt Fitzpatrick
Ivy · 2-8 in 2025Columbia Lions4-6 projected · srs #90 · 89% returningJon Poppe
Ivy · 4-6 in 2025Cornell Big Red4-6 projected · srs #83 · 85% returningDan Swanstrom
Ivy · 7-3 in 2025Dartmouth Big Green5-5 projected · srs #37 · 59% returningSammy McCorkle
Pioneer · 2-10 in 2025Davidson Wildcats3-9 projected · srs #123 · 22% returningSaj Thakkar
Pioneer · 7-4 in 2025Dayton Flyers6-5 projected · srs #75 · 92% returningTrevor Andrews
MEAC · 8-4 in 2025Delaware State Hornets6-6 projected · srs #71 · 27% returningDeSean Jackson
Pioneer · 8-4 in 2025Drake Bulldogs7-4 projected · srs #40 · 20% returningMatt Walker
NEC · 7-5 in 2025Duquesne Dukes4-7 projected · srs #76 · 35% returningJerry Schmitt
Southern · 7-5 in 2025East Tennessee State Buccaneers7-5 projected · srs #34 · 33% returningWill Healy
Southland · 3-9 in 2025East Texas A&M Lions4-8 projected · srs #82 · 34% returningClint Dolezel
OVC-Big South · 3-9 in 2025Eastern Illinois Panthers4-8 projected · srs #94 · 55% returningChris Wilkerson
UAC · 5-7 in 2025Eastern Kentucky Colonels5-7 projected · srs #35 · 58% returningWalt Wells
Big Sky · 5-7 in 2025Eastern Washington Eagles5-7 projected · srs #32 · 76% returningAaron Best
CAA · 6-6 in 2025Elon Phoenix7-5 projected · srs #46 · 32% returningTony Trisciani
SWAC · 5-7 in 2025Florida A&M Rattlers4-8 projected · srs #115 · 34% returningQuinn Gray Sr.
Patriot · 1-11 in 2025Fordham Rams3-9 projected · srs #111 · 64% returningJoe Conlin
Southern · 6-6 in 2025Furman Paladins5-7 projected · srs #81 · 49% returningClay Hendrix
OVC-Big South · 7-5 in 2025Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs6-6 projected · srs #48 · 31% returningKris McCullough
Patriot · 6-6 in 2025Georgetown Hoyas4-7 projected · srs #95 · 24% returningRob Sgarlata
SWAC · 7-5 in 2025Grambling Tigers4-7 projected · srs #99 · 59% returningMickey Joseph
CAA · 2-10 in 2025Hampton Pirates3-9 projected · srs #119 · 76% returningVan Malone
Ivy · 9-2 in 2025Harvard Crimson7-3 projected · srs #19 · 47% returningAndrew Aurich
Patriot · 3-9 in 2025Holy Cross Crusaders5-7 projected · srs #61 · 39% returningDan Curran
Southland · 2-10 in 2025Houston Christian Huskies2-10 projected · srs #107 · 36% returningJason Bachtel
MEAC · 5-7 in 2025Howard Bison4-8 projected · srs #106 · 32% returningTed White
Big Sky · 6-6 in 2025Idaho State Bengals8-4 projected · srs #14 · 96% returningCody Hawkins
Big Sky · 4-8 in 2025Idaho Vandals5-7 projected · srs #26 · 53% returningThomas Ford Jr., Yr 1
MVFC · 12-5 in 2025Illinois State Redbirds8-4 projected · srs #6 · 32% returningBrock Spack
Southland · 5-7 in 2025Incarnate Word Cardinals6-6 projected · srs #33 · 61% returningClint Killough
MVFC · 3-9 in 2025Indiana State Sycamores5-7 projected · srs #59 · 57% returningCurt Mallory
SWAC · 9-3 in 2025Jackson State Tigers7-4 projected · srs #43 · 29% returningT.C. Taylor
Patriot · 8-4 in 2025Lafayette Leopards7-5 projected · srs #38 · 59% returningJohn Troxell
Southland · 8-5 in 2025Lamar Cardinals6-6 projected · srs #31 · 49% returningPete Rossomando
Patriot · 12-1 in 2025Lehigh Mountain Hawks9-3 projected · srs #11 · 67% returningRichard Nagy
OVC-Big South · 6-6 in 2025Lindenwood Lions5-6 projected · srs #56 · 52% returningJed Stugart
NEC · 6-6 in 2025Long Island University Sharks5-7 projected · srs #79 · 75% returningRon Cooper
CAA · 6-6 in 2025Maine Black Bears5-6 projected · srs #57 · 32% returningJordan Stevens
Pioneer · 5-7 in 2025Marist Red Foxes5-7 projected · srs #91 · 74% returningMike Willis
Southland · 5-7 in 2025McNeese Cowboys5-7 projected · srs #66 · 65% returningMatt Viator
Southern · 9-3 in 2025Mercer Bears8-4 projected · srs #24 · 38% returningJoel Taylor
NEC · 5-7 in 2025Mercyhurst Lakers4-8 projected · srs #80 · 27% returningThomas Sydeski
FCS Indep. · 4-8 in 2025Merrimack Warriors3-9 projected · srs #86 · 48% returningMike Gennetti
SWAC · 2-10 in 2025Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils2-10 projected · srs #120 · 56% returningTerrell Buckley
CAA · 9-3 in 2025Monmouth Hawks8-4 projected · srs #29 · 35% returningJeff Gallo
Big Sky · 13-2 in 2025Montana Grizzlies9-3 projected · srs #2 · 47% returningBobby Kennedy
Big Sky · 14-2 in 2025Montana State Bobcats10-2 projected · srs #1 · 76% returningBrent Vigen
Pioneer · 6-6 in 2025Morehead State Eagles4-8 projected · srs #110 · 49% returningJason Woodman
MEAC · 4-8 in 2025Morgan State Bears5-7 projected · srs #100 · 48% returningDamon Wilson
MVFC · 1-11 in 2025Murray State Racers3-9 projected · srs #87 · 58% returningJody Wright
CAA · 8-5 in 2025New Hampshire Wildcats7-5 projected · srs #30 · 27% returningSean Goldrich
Southland · 4-8 in 2025Nicholls Colonels6-6 projected · srs #60 · 56% returningTommy Rybacki
MEAC · 1-11 in 2025Norfolk State Spartans3-9 projected · srs #116 · 28% returningMike Vick
UAC · 2-10 in 2025North Alabama Lions4-8 projected · srs #77 · 53% returningBrent Dearmon
CAA · 2-10 in 2025North Carolina A&T Aggies3-9 projected · srs #113 · 65% returningShawn Gibbs
MEAC · 8-4 in 2025North Carolina Central Eagles6-6 projected · srs #67 · 80% returningTrei Oliver
MVFC · 8-6 in 2025North Dakota Fighting Hawks9-3 projected · srs #3 · 46% returningEric Schmidt
Big Sky · 7-5 in 2025Northern Arizona Lumberjacks6-6 projected · srs #22 · 42% returningBrian Wright
Big Sky · 4-8 in 2025Northern Colorado Bears4-8 projected · srs #39 · 57% returningEd Lamb
MVFC · 3-9 in 2025Northern Iowa Panthers4-7 projected · srs #44 · 53% returningTodd Stepsis
Southland · 1-11 in 2025Northwestern State Demons2-10 projected · srs #114 · 65% returningBlaine McCorkle
Ivy · 6-4 in 2025Pennsylvania Quakers5-5 projected · srs #50 · 16% returningRick Santos
Big Sky · 1-11 in 2025Portland State Vikings3-9 projected · srs #85 · 87% returningChris Fisk
SWAC · 10-4 in 2025Prairie View A&M Panthers7-5 projected · srs #55 · 32% returningTremaine Jackson
Pioneer · 10-2 in 2025Presbyterian Blue Hose7-4 projected · srs #52 · 26% returningMatt Rahl
Ivy · 3-7 in 2025Princeton Tigers5-5 projected · srs #62 · 53% returningBob Surace
CAA · 11-3 in 2025Rhode Island Rams8-4 projected · srs #25 · 66% returningJim Fleming
Patriot · 7-5 in 2025Richmond Spiders6-6 projected · srs #70 · 39% returningRuss Huesman
NEC · 3-9 in 2025Robert Morris Colonials4-8 projected · srs #105 · 48% returningBernard Clark Jr.
CAA · 8-4 in 2025Sacred Heart Pioneers5-6 projected · srs #74 · 76% returningMark Nofri
Southern · 1-11 in 2025Samford Bulldogs3-9 projected · srs #109 · 43% returningJohn Grass
Pioneer · 8-4 in 2025San Diego Toreros6-5 projected · srs #53 · 44% returningBrandon Moore
Southland · 9-4 in 2025SE Louisiana Lions7-5 projected · srs #20 · 40% returningFrank Scelfo
MEAC · 10-3 in 2025South Carolina State Bulldogs7-5 projected · srs #41 · 80% returningChennis Berry
MVFC · 10-5 in 2025South Dakota Coyotes7-5 projected · srs #12 · 28% returningMatt Vitzthum
MVFC · 9-5 in 2025South Dakota State Jackrabbits8-4 projected · srs #8 · 36% returningDan Jackson
OVC-Big South · 4-8 in 2025Southeast Missouri State Redhawks5-7 projected · srs #73 · 35% returningTom Matukewicz
MVFC · 7-5 in 2025Southern Illinois Salukis8-4 projected · srs #7 · 21% returningNick Hill
SWAC · 2-10 in 2025Southern Jaguars2-10 projected · srs #122 · 91% returningMarshall Faulk
Big Sky · 7-5 in 2025Southern Utah Thunderbirds7-5 projected · srs #18 · 19% returning
Pioneer · 7-5 in 2025St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies7-5 projected · srs #36 · 40% returningGlenn Caruso
Southland · 11-3 in 2025Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks9-3 projected · srs #5 · 34% returningColby Carthel
Pioneer · 3-9 in 2025Stetson Hatters2-10 projected · srs #124 · 99% returningMike Jasper
NEC · 4-8 in 2025Stonehill Skyhawks4-8 projected · srs #101 · 22% returningEli Gardner
CAA · 6-6 in 2025Stony Brook Seawolves7-5 projected · srs #49 · 38% returningBilly Cosh
UAC · 12-2 in 2025Tarleton State Texans9-3 projected · srs #4 · 20% returningTodd Whitten
OVC-Big South · 2-10 in 2025Tennessee State Tigers4-8 projected · srs #108 · 71% returningReggie Barlow
Southern · 11-2 in 2025Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles8-4 projected · srs #21 · 29% returningBobby Wilder
SWAC · 6-5 in 2025Texas Southern Tigers5-6 projected · srs #97 · 50% returningCris Dishman
Southern · 4-8 in 2025The Citadel Bulldogs5-7 projected · srs #69 · 51% returningMaurice Drayton
CAA · 6-6 in 2025Towson Tigers6-6 projected · srs #63 · 41% returningPete Shinnick
CAA · 2-10 in 2025UAlbany Great Danes4-8 projected · srs #96 · 42% returningTom Perkovich
Big Sky · 9-4 in 2025UC Davis Aggies8-4 projected · srs #10 · 33% returningTim Plough
OVC-Big South · 6-6 in 2025UT Martin Skyhawks6-6 projected · srs #54 · 30% returningJason Simpson
Big Sky · 2-10 in 2025Utah Tech Trailblazers3-9 projected · srs #78 · 67% returningLance Anderson
Pioneer · 2-10 in 2025Valparaiso Beacons2-9 projected · srs #121 · 73% returningAndy Waddle
Patriot · 12-3 in 2025Villanova Wildcats9-3 projected · srs #17 · 26% returningMark Ferrante
Southern · 1-11 in 2025VMI Keydets3-9 projected · srs #118 · 72% returningAshley Ingram
NEC · 5-7 in 2025Wagner Seahawks4-8 projected · srs #104 · 70% returningTom Masella
Big Sky · 4-8 in 2025Weber State Wildcats5-7 projected · srs #51 · 47% returningEric Kjar
UAC · 8-3 in 2025West Georgia Wolves6-6 projected · srs #23 · 8% returningSteve Englehart
Southern · 7-5 in 2025Western Carolina Catamounts6-6 projected · srs #42 · 31% returning
OVC-Big South · 4-8 in 2025Western Illinois Leathernecks5-7 projected · srs #88 · 38% returningJoe Davis
Patriot · 7-5 in 2025William & Mary Tribe6-6 projected · srs #47 · 39% returningMike London
Southern · 6-6 in 2025Wofford Terriers6-6 projected · srs #45 · 81% returningShawn Watson
Ivy · 9-3 in 2025Yale Bulldogs7-3 projected · srs #15 · 50% returningKevin Cahill
MVFC · 8-5 in 2025Youngstown State Penguins7-4 projected · srs #13 · 51% returningDoug PhillipsPioneer · Jason Woodman · 6-6 last season · No. 110 in our FCS ratings
Bryce Patterson takes over an offense that already sputtered at 21.2 points per game behind a unit ranked 110th overall, so barely half the roster's returning production won't hide the fact that Morehead State has to get dramatically better on both sides just to match last year's 6-6 finish.
Can Bryce Patterson replace Carter Cravens' 1880 yards and hold the job for a full season? With just 48.9% of offensive production returning, Patterson is the projected starter stepping into a passing game that lost most of its identity, and the volume of departed snaps around him means the offense will likely be built around limiting his mistakes rather than asking him to match Cravens' 11 touchdowns right away. That conservative shift favors a competent but unspectacular first year under center.
The schedule ranks 118th in difficulty, but the softness is front-loaded with games Morehead State should win, at Davidson (57%) and home dates with Valparaiso (67%) and Stetson (72%) among them. The season turns on three road-heavy stretches: at Austin Peay (9%), at Dayton (26%) and a home date with Drake (28%) are the only true tossups-turned-underdog spots on the slate. Jason Woodman's group is projected to 4-8, and how it fares in those three games, not the eight winnable ones around them, will decide whether that number holds or slips further.
Every team in the FCS book. Each one has its own preview: projected finish, what the roster returns, and the games that decide the season.
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Jason Woodman got Morehead State to .500 and split its Pioneer slate at 4-4, a respectable floor for a program that the broader ratings still peg at No. 110 nationally. That gap between the even record and the modest overall standing is the real story heading into 2026, the win-loss line flattered a roster that the numbers say still has ground to make up. Holding steady at 6-6 again would read as progress on paper but not as proof the underlying talent gap has closed.
Bryce Patterson is projected to start after throwing 2 touchdowns against 4 interceptions on 533 yards last season, and the numbers around him explain why that ratio matters so much: Morehead State converted just 31.8% of third downs, 109th nationally, and its explosiveness figure of 1.20 ranked 100th, meaning drives stalled without ever breaking a big play to bail them out. The run game offers little relief at 128 yards per game, so 2026 rides on whether Patterson tightens up decision-making behind a passing attack that already ranks a respectable 64th. Defensively, the pass D held up at 17th in yards allowed, but a run defense giving up 216 yards per game and a unit that let opponents stay on schedule 48.4% of the time will keep games closer than they should be.
Bryce Patterson takes the first-team reps as the projected starter, but 533 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions last season are not the kind of numbers that lock down a job, and the door is still open behind him. Carter Cravens and his 1,880 yards are gone, so Morehead State is replacing its passing offense almost from scratch, with David Parsons the only other returner carrying any prior production, a modest 75 yards and a touchdown. That thin track record lines up with an offense that ranked 109th in third-down rate and 100th in explosiveness a year ago, and whoever wins this camp battle inherits an attack that has to create more than it did in 2025.
Isaac Stopke's 788 yards and 7 touchdowns anchor a backfield that returns almost entirely intact, with Craig Cunningham (314 yards, 3 TD) and Jackson Lanier (169 yards, 2 TD) both back to spell him. The issue was never the tailbacks, it was the operation in front of them, a rushing attack that managed just 128 yards per game (91st) and got stuffed on 31.8% third-down conversions (109th) behind a middling explosiveness mark. Stopke has proven he can produce when given room, so Morehead State's ground game in 2026 is a bet on the line finally opening lanes for a back who has already shown what he can do with them.
Ryan Upp's 78 catches and 1,089 yards walk out the door, and nobody left in this room comes close to that kind of workload. Anthony Ice becomes the clear top target after his 27-catch, 337-yard season, with Montez Green and Cannon Dinger each chipping in two touchdown grabs. The passing offense still ranked 64th nationally in yards per game a year ago, but replacing Upp's target share with a committee of Ice, Green, Dinger and Riley Purcell means Morehead State's explosiveness problem, 100th nationally, likely gets worse before it gets better.
Christian Pedersen was the only tight end who did anything with the ball last fall, and his 11 catches for 91 yards is the whole track record this group has to build on. Brody Perkins caught one pass, Josh Chapman and Hunter Glasgow have no statistics on file, and none of that trio has shown they can be more than a blocking piece yet. That matters because Morehead State's offense already struggled to create explosive plays, ranking 100th nationally in explosiveness, so unless Pedersen expands his role as a receiver, this group figures to stay a run-support unit for a rushing attack that ranked 91st in yards per game.
Brady Baker, Cameron Bell, Colin Burke, Colton Carmichael and Drew Dickerson anchor a front that has to fix a rushing attack stuck at 128 yards a game, 91st nationally, and a third-down offense that converted just 31.8 percent of the time, 109th in the country. None of that shows up in a departure column since the whole group is back, so Jason Woodman is not piecing together a new line so much as asking the same one to actually move people. The explosiveness numbers, 100th nationally, say the issue was never continuity up front, it was whether push in the run game ever materialized, and that falls squarely on this returning group to answer in 2026.
Morehead State's front let opponents stay on schedule at a 48.4% clip, a number that explains why a defense that held up against the pass (182 yards allowed, 17th nationally) still bled 216 rushing yards a game, 116th in the country. Jourdyn Graham, KJ Hardesty, Antwan Hogue Jr., Antwan Houge, Aiden Layne and JR Lyons all return without a single stat to their names, which makes the room a projection rather than a proven strength even with Paul O'Brien and Gabe Smith gone. Jason Woodman's defense finished 85th in points allowed, and closing that run-defense gap depends on whether this unproven group of returners can win first-down snaps it lost a year ago.
Run defense was the soft spot last season, with Morehead State giving up 216 yards a game on the ground, 116th nationally, even as the pass defense held up fine at 17th in yards allowed per attempt. Caden Absher, Josh Bowling, Max Carver, Chase Cresson, Seth Davis and Logan Henderson are all back to try to tighten that gap, with Luke Bauer and Dillon Schobourgh gone from the room. Jason Woodman's defense also let opponents stay on schedule on 48.4% of snaps, 118th nationally, so the returning linebackers have to be more disruptive on early downs than the 2025 group managed, not just more experienced.
The Morehead State secondary held opponents to 182 yards per game through the air, a mark that ranked 17th nationally, even as the rushing defense bled 216 yards a game. That split says the back end was doing its job while the front was not, and Chris Edwards returns as the only name in the group with production on the books, thin as it is. With Jackson Benjamin, Nick Chrest, Dylan Cook, Luciano Corpora-Ellis and Keaton Edwards all gone, Demarcus Batiste, Emil Burton, Devinn Calhoun, Michael Davis and Kevin Endsley inherit a pass defense that already worked in 2025 and now has to prove it wasn't just a product of the names no longer on the roster.
Jordan Price and Thomas Schwartz V split placekicking duties last year, with Schwartz the more trusted leg on makes (7 of 12, a 48-yard long) and Price hitting from distance less often (3 of 6, 39 points on the season). Neither has separated himself outright, and with Ashton Adams, Max Gehring and Jesse Osborne also on hand with no game statistics logged, Jason Woodman has options but no proven closer beyond Schwartz's modest sample. The bigger swing is at punter, where Kip Warren and his 36.5-yard average on 44 boots are gone, leaving Morehead State without any returning punting numbers to lean on heading into 2026.
Carter Cravens is gone after 1,880 yards and 11 touchdowns, and the job now sits with Bryce Patterson, who threw four picks against two touchdowns in his limited 2025 look. Isaac Stopke and Craig Cunningham give Morehead State a real ground game to lean on, but if Patterson cannot cut down the interceptions, that backfield production gets wasted behind a stalled passing game.
Home is where the value lives for Morehead State. Under Jason Woodman, the Eagles went 5-1 straight up and covered at a 75% clip in home games, a stark contrast to a 1-5 road mark that produced just two covers in six tries. Take that split into 2026: this is a team whose number means something different depending on the stadium, and the road side has been the losing bet.
14 more sections in the full Morehead State Eagles preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.