
Every FCS team gets a page: last season’s results, returning production, and the schedule with a win probability on every game. Plus the projected 24-team bracket, conference orders of finish, and where our number disagrees with the market.
UAC · 9-5 in 2025Abilene Christian Wildcats7-5 projected · srs #9 · 26% returningKeith Patterson
SWAC · 4-8 in 2025Alabama A&M Bulldogs4-8 projected · srs #112 · 66% returningSam Shade
SWAC · 10-2 in 2025Alabama State Hornets8-4 projected · srs #28 · 55% returningEddie Robinson Jr.
SWAC · 5-7 in 2025Alcorn State Braves5-7 projected · srs #103 · 54% returningCedric Thomas
SWAC · 3-8 in 2025Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions3-8 projected · srs #117 · 60% returningAlonzo Hampton
UAC · 7-5 in 2025Austin Peay Governors7-5 projected · srs #16 · 57% returningJeff Faris
SWAC · 6-6 in 2025Bethune-Cookman Wildcats6-6 projected · srs #89 · 36% returningRaymond Woodie Jr.
Ivy · 5-5 in 2025Brown Bears4-6 projected · srs #64 · 78% returningJames Perry
CAA · 3-9 in 2025Bryant Bulldogs4-8 projected · srs #98 · 45% returningChris Merritt
Patriot · 5-7 in 2025Bucknell Bison4-8 projected · srs #102 · 61% returningJeff Behrman
Pioneer · 6-6 in 2025Butler Bulldogs4-8 projected · srs #92 · 92% returningKevin Lynch
Big Sky · 4-8 in 2025Cal Poly Mustangs6-6 projected · srs #27 · 57% returningTim Skipper
CAA · 2-10 in 2025Campbell Fighting Camels5-7 projected · srs #93 · 50% returningBraxton Harris
UAC · 3-9 in 2025Central Arkansas Bears4-8 projected · srs #58 · 46% returningNathan Brown
NEC · 8-5 in 2025Central Connecticut Blue Devils5-6 projected · srs #65 · 43% returningAdam Lechtenberg
OVC-Big South · 5-7 in 2025Charleston Southern Buccaneers5-7 projected · srs #72 · 46% returningGabe Giardina
Southern · 5-7 in 2025Chattanooga Mocs5-7 projected · srs #84 · 46% returningRusty Wright
Patriot · 5-7 in 2025Colgate Raiders5-7 projected · srs #68 · 57% returningCurt Fitzpatrick
Ivy · 2-8 in 2025Columbia Lions4-6 projected · srs #90 · 89% returningJon Poppe
Ivy · 4-6 in 2025Cornell Big Red4-6 projected · srs #83 · 85% returningDan Swanstrom
Ivy · 7-3 in 2025Dartmouth Big Green5-5 projected · srs #37 · 59% returningSammy McCorkle
Pioneer · 2-10 in 2025Davidson Wildcats3-9 projected · srs #123 · 22% returningSaj Thakkar
Pioneer · 7-4 in 2025Dayton Flyers6-5 projected · srs #75 · 92% returningTrevor Andrews
MEAC · 8-4 in 2025Delaware State Hornets6-6 projected · srs #71 · 27% returningDeSean Jackson
Pioneer · 8-4 in 2025Drake Bulldogs7-4 projected · srs #40 · 20% returningMatt Walker
NEC · 7-5 in 2025Duquesne Dukes4-7 projected · srs #76 · 35% returningJerry Schmitt
Southern · 7-5 in 2025East Tennessee State Buccaneers7-5 projected · srs #34 · 33% returningWill Healy
Southland · 3-9 in 2025East Texas A&M Lions4-8 projected · srs #82 · 34% returningClint Dolezel
OVC-Big South · 3-9 in 2025Eastern Illinois Panthers4-8 projected · srs #94 · 55% returningChris Wilkerson
UAC · 5-7 in 2025Eastern Kentucky Colonels5-7 projected · srs #35 · 58% returningWalt Wells
Big Sky · 5-7 in 2025Eastern Washington Eagles5-7 projected · srs #32 · 76% returningAaron Best
CAA · 6-6 in 2025Elon Phoenix7-5 projected · srs #46 · 32% returningTony Trisciani
SWAC · 5-7 in 2025Florida A&M Rattlers4-8 projected · srs #115 · 34% returningQuinn Gray Sr.
Patriot · 1-11 in 2025Fordham Rams3-9 projected · srs #111 · 64% returningJoe Conlin
Southern · 6-6 in 2025Furman Paladins5-7 projected · srs #81 · 49% returningClay Hendrix
OVC-Big South · 7-5 in 2025Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs6-6 projected · srs #48 · 31% returningKris McCullough
Patriot · 6-6 in 2025Georgetown Hoyas4-7 projected · srs #95 · 24% returningRob Sgarlata
SWAC · 7-5 in 2025Grambling Tigers4-7 projected · srs #99 · 59% returningMickey Joseph
CAA · 2-10 in 2025Hampton Pirates3-9 projected · srs #119 · 76% returningVan Malone
Ivy · 9-2 in 2025Harvard Crimson7-3 projected · srs #19 · 47% returningAndrew Aurich
Patriot · 3-9 in 2025Holy Cross Crusaders5-7 projected · srs #61 · 39% returningDan Curran
Southland · 2-10 in 2025Houston Christian Huskies2-10 projected · srs #107 · 36% returningJason Bachtel
MEAC · 5-7 in 2025Howard Bison4-8 projected · srs #106 · 32% returningTed White
Big Sky · 6-6 in 2025Idaho State Bengals8-4 projected · srs #14 · 96% returningCody Hawkins
Big Sky · 4-8 in 2025Idaho Vandals5-7 projected · srs #26 · 53% returningThomas Ford Jr., Yr 1
MVFC · 12-5 in 2025Illinois State Redbirds8-4 projected · srs #6 · 32% returningBrock Spack
Southland · 5-7 in 2025Incarnate Word Cardinals6-6 projected · srs #33 · 61% returningClint Killough
MVFC · 3-9 in 2025Indiana State Sycamores5-7 projected · srs #59 · 57% returningCurt Mallory
SWAC · 9-3 in 2025Jackson State Tigers7-4 projected · srs #43 · 29% returningT.C. Taylor
Patriot · 8-4 in 2025Lafayette Leopards7-5 projected · srs #38 · 59% returningJohn Troxell
Southland · 8-5 in 2025Lamar Cardinals6-6 projected · srs #31 · 49% returningPete Rossomando
Patriot · 12-1 in 2025Lehigh Mountain Hawks9-3 projected · srs #11 · 67% returningRichard Nagy
OVC-Big South · 6-6 in 2025Lindenwood Lions5-6 projected · srs #56 · 52% returningJed Stugart
NEC · 6-6 in 2025Long Island University Sharks5-7 projected · srs #79 · 75% returningRon Cooper
CAA · 6-6 in 2025Maine Black Bears5-6 projected · srs #57 · 32% returningJordan Stevens
Pioneer · 5-7 in 2025Marist Red Foxes5-7 projected · srs #91 · 74% returningMike Willis
Southland · 5-7 in 2025McNeese Cowboys5-7 projected · srs #66 · 65% returningMatt Viator
Southern · 9-3 in 2025Mercer Bears8-4 projected · srs #24 · 38% returningJoel Taylor
NEC · 5-7 in 2025Mercyhurst Lakers4-8 projected · srs #80 · 27% returningThomas Sydeski
FCS Indep. · 4-8 in 2025Merrimack Warriors3-9 projected · srs #86 · 48% returningMike Gennetti
SWAC · 2-10 in 2025Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils2-10 projected · srs #120 · 56% returningTerrell Buckley
CAA · 9-3 in 2025Monmouth Hawks8-4 projected · srs #29 · 35% returningJeff Gallo
Big Sky · 13-2 in 2025Montana Grizzlies9-3 projected · srs #2 · 47% returningBobby Kennedy
Big Sky · 14-2 in 2025Montana State Bobcats10-2 projected · srs #1 · 76% returningBrent Vigen
Pioneer · 6-6 in 2025Morehead State Eagles4-8 projected · srs #110 · 49% returningJason Woodman
MEAC · 4-8 in 2025Morgan State Bears5-7 projected · srs #100 · 48% returningDamon Wilson
MVFC · 1-11 in 2025Murray State Racers3-9 projected · srs #87 · 58% returningJody Wright
CAA · 8-5 in 2025New Hampshire Wildcats7-5 projected · srs #30 · 27% returningSean Goldrich
Southland · 4-8 in 2025Nicholls Colonels6-6 projected · srs #60 · 56% returningTommy Rybacki
MEAC · 1-11 in 2025Norfolk State Spartans3-9 projected · srs #116 · 28% returningMike Vick
UAC · 2-10 in 2025North Alabama Lions4-8 projected · srs #77 · 53% returningBrent Dearmon
CAA · 2-10 in 2025North Carolina A&T Aggies3-9 projected · srs #113 · 65% returningShawn Gibbs
MEAC · 8-4 in 2025North Carolina Central Eagles6-6 projected · srs #67 · 80% returningTrei Oliver
MVFC · 8-6 in 2025North Dakota Fighting Hawks9-3 projected · srs #3 · 46% returningEric Schmidt
Big Sky · 7-5 in 2025Northern Arizona Lumberjacks6-6 projected · srs #22 · 42% returningBrian Wright
Big Sky · 4-8 in 2025Northern Colorado Bears4-8 projected · srs #39 · 57% returningEd Lamb
MVFC · 3-9 in 2025Northern Iowa Panthers4-7 projected · srs #44 · 53% returningTodd Stepsis
Southland · 1-11 in 2025Northwestern State Demons2-10 projected · srs #114 · 65% returningBlaine McCorkle
Ivy · 6-4 in 2025Pennsylvania Quakers5-5 projected · srs #50 · 16% returningRick Santos
Big Sky · 1-11 in 2025Portland State Vikings3-9 projected · srs #85 · 87% returningChris Fisk
SWAC · 10-4 in 2025Prairie View A&M Panthers7-5 projected · srs #55 · 32% returningTremaine Jackson
Pioneer · 10-2 in 2025Presbyterian Blue Hose7-4 projected · srs #52 · 26% returningMatt Rahl
Ivy · 3-7 in 2025Princeton Tigers5-5 projected · srs #62 · 53% returningBob Surace
CAA · 11-3 in 2025Rhode Island Rams8-4 projected · srs #25 · 66% returningJim Fleming
Patriot · 7-5 in 2025Richmond Spiders6-6 projected · srs #70 · 39% returningRuss Huesman
NEC · 3-9 in 2025Robert Morris Colonials4-8 projected · srs #105 · 48% returningBernard Clark Jr.
CAA · 8-4 in 2025Sacred Heart Pioneers5-6 projected · srs #74 · 76% returningMark Nofri
Southern · 1-11 in 2025Samford Bulldogs3-9 projected · srs #109 · 43% returningJohn Grass
Pioneer · 8-4 in 2025San Diego Toreros6-5 projected · srs #53 · 44% returningBrandon Moore
Southland · 9-4 in 2025SE Louisiana Lions7-5 projected · srs #20 · 40% returningFrank Scelfo
MEAC · 10-3 in 2025South Carolina State Bulldogs7-5 projected · srs #41 · 80% returningChennis Berry
MVFC · 10-5 in 2025South Dakota Coyotes7-5 projected · srs #12 · 28% returningMatt Vitzthum
MVFC · 9-5 in 2025South Dakota State Jackrabbits8-4 projected · srs #8 · 36% returningDan Jackson
OVC-Big South · 4-8 in 2025Southeast Missouri State Redhawks5-7 projected · srs #73 · 35% returningTom Matukewicz
MVFC · 7-5 in 2025Southern Illinois Salukis8-4 projected · srs #7 · 21% returningNick Hill
SWAC · 2-10 in 2025Southern Jaguars2-10 projected · srs #122 · 91% returningMarshall Faulk
Big Sky · 7-5 in 2025Southern Utah Thunderbirds7-5 projected · srs #18 · 19% returning
Pioneer · 7-5 in 2025St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies7-5 projected · srs #36 · 40% returningGlenn Caruso
Southland · 11-3 in 2025Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks9-3 projected · srs #5 · 34% returningColby Carthel
Pioneer · 3-9 in 2025Stetson Hatters2-10 projected · srs #124 · 99% returningMike Jasper
NEC · 4-8 in 2025Stonehill Skyhawks4-8 projected · srs #101 · 22% returningEli Gardner
CAA · 6-6 in 2025Stony Brook Seawolves7-5 projected · srs #49 · 38% returningBilly Cosh
UAC · 12-2 in 2025Tarleton State Texans9-3 projected · srs #4 · 20% returningTodd Whitten
OVC-Big South · 2-10 in 2025Tennessee State Tigers4-8 projected · srs #108 · 71% returningReggie Barlow
Southern · 11-2 in 2025Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles8-4 projected · srs #21 · 29% returningBobby Wilder
SWAC · 6-5 in 2025Texas Southern Tigers5-6 projected · srs #97 · 50% returningCris Dishman
Southern · 4-8 in 2025The Citadel Bulldogs5-7 projected · srs #69 · 51% returningMaurice Drayton
CAA · 6-6 in 2025Towson Tigers6-6 projected · srs #63 · 41% returningPete Shinnick
CAA · 2-10 in 2025UAlbany Great Danes4-8 projected · srs #96 · 42% returningTom Perkovich
Big Sky · 9-4 in 2025UC Davis Aggies8-4 projected · srs #10 · 33% returningTim Plough
OVC-Big South · 6-6 in 2025UT Martin Skyhawks6-6 projected · srs #54 · 30% returningJason Simpson
Big Sky · 2-10 in 2025Utah Tech Trailblazers3-9 projected · srs #78 · 67% returningLance Anderson
Pioneer · 2-10 in 2025Valparaiso Beacons2-9 projected · srs #121 · 73% returningAndy Waddle
Patriot · 12-3 in 2025Villanova Wildcats9-3 projected · srs #17 · 26% returningMark Ferrante
Southern · 1-11 in 2025VMI Keydets3-9 projected · srs #118 · 72% returningAshley Ingram
NEC · 5-7 in 2025Wagner Seahawks4-8 projected · srs #104 · 70% returningTom Masella
Big Sky · 4-8 in 2025Weber State Wildcats5-7 projected · srs #51 · 47% returningEric Kjar
UAC · 8-3 in 2025West Georgia Wolves6-6 projected · srs #23 · 8% returningSteve Englehart
Southern · 7-5 in 2025Western Carolina Catamounts6-6 projected · srs #42 · 31% returning
OVC-Big South · 4-8 in 2025Western Illinois Leathernecks5-7 projected · srs #88 · 38% returningJoe Davis
Patriot · 7-5 in 2025William & Mary Tribe6-6 projected · srs #47 · 39% returningMike London
Southern · 6-6 in 2025Wofford Terriers6-6 projected · srs #45 · 81% returningShawn Watson
Ivy · 9-3 in 2025Yale Bulldogs7-3 projected · srs #15 · 50% returningKevin Cahill
MVFC · 8-5 in 2025Youngstown State Penguins7-4 projected · srs #13 · 51% returningDoug PhillipsMEAC · Mike Vick · 1-11 last season · No. 116 in our FCS ratings
Norfolk State ranks 116th in the power ratings with just 28% of its production back, so Vinson Berry inherits a rebuild where the bigger problem is a defense that gave up 35.6 points a game, and until that number moves, wins stay scarce.
Can Vinson Berry function as a full-time starter when only 10.8% of the offense's production returns around him? With almost nobody else back to catch or block for him, the most likely outcome is a rough, turnover-prone first year as he learns on the job behind a rebuilt group. The defense at least retains 44.9% of its production, so Mike Vick's best path to competitive games is leaning on that side of the ball while Berry absorbs the growing pains.
Mike Vick opens with FBS road trips to Virginia and Old Dominion, games the numbers say are essentially unwinnable, before the season's real referendum arrives at South Carolina Vick. Everything projected as a genuine coin-flip or better lives in the MEAC slate, with the Home date against Hampton (60%) standing out as the closest thing to a sure thing on the board. Mike Vick's path to improving on 2025's winless conference mark runs through Howard, Morgan Vick and Delaware Vick, not the brutal nonconference stretch that opens the year.
Every team in the FCS book. Each one has its own preview: projected finish, what the roster returns, and the games that decide the season.
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Mike Vick's 2025 offered no cover: 1-11 overall, 0-5 in MEAC play, and a power rating that landed at 116th nationally. There is no unit or number on this card that softens that ledger, the losing showed up everywhere from the standings to the ranking. For 2026, the bar is simply finding wins that didn't exist last fall, starting with conference play where Norfolk State couldn't crack the win column at all.
Norfolk State's offense had the 7th-most explosive successful plays in the country in 2025, but a 28.5% third-down rate (120th) and a minus-8 turnover margin turned big chunks into a 1-11 record anyway. Vinson Berry, who threw for 310 yards, 4 TD and 2 INT, is projected to run that offense again in 2026, and the real swing factor is whether Norfolk State can turn its explosiveness into sustained drives instead of empty splash plays. The defense, allowing 35.6 points and 424 yards per game, has to find stops too, or every one of Berry's big plays just becomes a footnote in another shootout loss.
Otto Kuhns took 2,090 passing yards and 15 touchdowns out the door, and Norfolk State replaces that production with an open camp rather than a proven arm. Vinson Berry, who threw for 310 yards and 4 touchdowns against 2 picks in limited work, is the front-runner heading into 2026, but Israel Carter and Parker Lancaster are both still in the mix after seeing snaps last fall. Whoever wins the job inherits an offense that moved the ball efficiently at 5.88 yards per play (37th) but stalled on third down at just 28.5% (120th), so the bigger issue may not be who throws it but whether this group can finally sustain drives.
Norfolk State's entire backfield production from a season ago is gone, with Kevon King's 733 yards and X'Zavion Evans' 528 both walking out the door alongside Jaylen Laudermilk, Kiron Benjamin and Jaylen White. That leaves Mike Vick needing production from names not yet on the roster sheet to replace a ground game that managed just 141 yards per game and ranked 71st nationally in rushing yards per game. The passing attack (50th in yards per game) and the explosive-play numbers (7th in explosiveness) were the actual engine of this offense last year, so whoever emerges at running back mostly needs to keep defenses honest rather than carry the load.
DreSean Kendrick and Kam'Ryn Thomas combined for over a thousand yards and 10 touchdowns last season, and neither is walking back into the building. What Norfolk State has back is Taron Biles-Walker, who caught 14 balls for 110 yards, and Elyjah Mitchell, who turned 8 catches into a touchdown, plus a group in Jayden Anderson, Jahee Blake, Jordin Cooper and Shane Kelley with no game production on record. Brevin Caldwell arrives from Johnson C. Smith to add a fresh body to the room, but the passing game that ranked 50th in yards per game now leans on unproven hands to replace its two most productive targets.
Ikeem Wright's 12 catches for 130 yards and a touchdown walk out the door, and none of the three tight ends listed to replace that production, Jabari Blake, Avir Johnson and Jamison Stevens, have a catch on record. That blank ledger sits inside a passing game that actually worked, 218 yards per game and a 1.41 explosiveness mark that ranked 7th nationally, so whichever of the three carves out targets steps into a scheme built to reward big plays rather than checkdowns. Norfolk State's offense moved the ball well enough overall, 5.88 yards per play, but a 28.5% third-down rate means this tight end group has real chances to be the answer on money downs if one of Blake, Johnson or Stevens turns unproven into productive.
Norfolk State's offense actually moved the ball efficiently up front last season, ranking 37th nationally in yards per play and 7th in explosiveness, but that line couldn't finish drives, converting just 28.5% of third downs (120th) and settling for 20.9 points per game. Mike Vick now has to replace four departed starters up front in Vincent Byrd Jr., Emariyon Johnson, Julian Soriano and Dyral McMillan, wiping out most of the continuity behind those numbers. The 2026 group has to prove it can hold third-down protection and short-yardage push, not just spring the big plays that flattered last year's stats.
Mike Vick's front allowed 5.94 yards per play a season ago, a middling number that still let opponents stay on schedule less than half the time, the one thing this defense actually did well. The production that was there is now gone: David Ojiegbe's lone sack and Major Dillard's four tackles walked out the door along with Keshawn Lynch and Cameron Darmody, leaving a line that has to find pressure from scratch rather than replace it. With the rushing defense already sitting at 91st nationally in yards allowed per game, whoever fills these snaps has to show up against the run immediately or 2026 looks like last year's 35.6 points allowed per game all over again.
Norfolk State's front seven gave up 180 rushing yards a game and 5.94 yards per play last season, numbers that trace straight back to a linebacker corps that is now almost entirely dismantled. Kendric Nowling, Rontravious Perry and the rest of the departing group account for six linebackers out the door, taking whatever open-field tackling continuity existed with them. Mike Vick is rebuilding the second level from scratch, and until a transfer arrival is confirmed there, that gap up front is the reason a defense allowing 35.6 points a game has no obvious floor for 2026.
BJ Blake's team-high 7 tackles from the safety spot tell the story of a Norfolk State secondary that got picked apart in 2025, giving up 244 passing yards per game and ranking 97th nationally in that category. Blake returns alongside Amir Mateo, Nasir Bashir, Tormon Laprade and Mayoy McGodfred, a group that combined for barely double-digit tackles last season while Kahleef Jimmison, Jayden Smith and Stephon Hall departed. With so little proven production and a defense that finished 106th in yards allowed per game, Mike Vick needs these returning names to take real snaps, not just occupy the depth chart, if the back end is going to stop bleeding chunk plays.
Norfolk State's kicking picture is muddled by design, not injury: Evan Helfrich (2 of 5, long of 34) and Marco Peery (3 of 7, long of 36) both missed on more than half their tries in 2025 and both are back to sort it out again. Noah Tracey gives the Spartans their one settled leg, having punted 39 times at a 40.3-yard average, and figures to matter plenty behind an offense that went 1-11 and 0-5 in the MEAC. Long snapper Benjamin Heffron returns to a unit that otherwise still needs someone to prove he can make field goals when it counts.
Otto Kuhns is gone after throwing for 2090 yards, and the job now projects to Vinson Berry, who threw for just 310 yards with 4 TD and 2 INT in his limited look last season. Norfolk State went 1-11 with Kuhns running the offense, so a jump from Berry, with Taron Biles-Walker and Elyjah Mitchell back to catch passes, is the difference between another lost fall and actual competitive snaps in MEAC play.
Norfolk State did not just lose games in 2025, it lost bettors' confidence right along with them, covering just 18% of the time overall and going winless against the number at home. The road split, a 1-4 cover mark, is the closest thing to a silver lining, but a 0-4 home spread record under Mike Vick shows a program the market has given up backing even with points. Until Norfolk State proves it can cover as a favorite of any kind, its 2026 line will keep opening as an invitation to fade.
14 more sections in the full Norfolk State Spartans preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.