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2026
FCS
Football
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124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
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147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
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In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Pennsylvania Quakers 2026 Season Preview

Ivy · Rick Santos · 6-4 last season · No. 50 in our FCS ratings

Olsen's Trial by Fire

Cadin Olsen steps into the huddle behind just 16% returning production, and a Penn team that ranked 49th in scoring offense last season now hands its rebuild to a receiver-turned-quarterback with almost no help around him.

Olsen Inherits a Bare Cupboard

Can Cadin Olsen replace Liam O'Brien's 2,376 yards and 19 touchdowns with almost nobody else back from that offense? With just 16% of offensive production returning, Olsen will spend fall relearning the position with new hands at every skill spot, not simply taking over a stocked cabinet. Expect a rockier per-game passing output than O'Brien's than the raw talent suggests, since Olsen is being asked to do it with a supporting cast built almost entirely from scratch.

Santos Faces a Coin-Flip Slate

Penn's projected 5-5 hides a schedule with almost no separation, and Rick Santos will find out fast where his team stands. Lehigh at home is a true toss-up at 34%, and the Yale (37%) and Harvard (39%) games decide whether this is a team that climbs the Ivy standings or slides back. Even the road trips to Brown (49%) and Princeton (48%) sit near even money, so there is little margin for a slow start against Bucknell or Dartmouth.

Regression Ahead in Ivy

Six wins in 2025 flattered Pennsylvania more than the record shows: Rick Santos's team went 2-1 in one-score games, won at a rate its own conference-play yardage margin didn't support, and now brings back just 16% of its production. None of that adds up to another 6-4 campaign, and the model's 5-5 call actually reads generous once the close-game luck and overachievement against league yardage margins both wash out. Expect a step back to the middle of the Ivy pack, not a repeat of last year's record.

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Steady Ground for Santos

Rick Santos closed 2025 at 6-4 overall and 4-3 in Ivy play, the kind of season that buys a program calm rather than drama. Penn sits at No. 50 nationally in power rating, a neutral marker that matches a roster which was competitive week to week without a signature breakthrough. Nothing in the 2026 picture points to upheaval, just a program building on a winning year under the same staff.

Olsen Inherits a Precise Offense

Penn's offense won on efficiency in 2025, not chunk plays, ranking 2nd nationally in third-down conversion and 12th in success rate while sitting at just 92nd in explosiveness. Cadin Olsen, who caught 3 passes for 29 yards and a touchdown last fall, projects as the quarterback tasked with keeping that formula intact rather than turning it into a big-play attack. The bigger question is defense, where 238 passing yards allowed per game (87th) undercuts a run defense (138 yards allowed, 41st) that otherwise held up.

Liam O'Brien's 2,376 passing yards walk out the door, and Cadin Olsen is the front-runner to replace him, taking the first-team reps this camp after catching three passes for 29 yards and a touchdown a year ago rather than throwing them. That thin resume as a passer is exactly why the race is not settled, with Karson Siqueiros-Lasky, Jack Grusser, Michael Malone and Shane Throgmartin still in the mix behind him. Whoever wins the job inherits an offense that ranked 29th in passing yards per game and 2nd in third-down conversion rate, but one that generated its explosive plays 92nd nationally, so Penn needs its new starter to at least sustain the efficiency Rick Santos built around O'Brien, not just flash big plays.

Donte West's 417 yards and 5 scores anchor a backfield that has to carry more weight after Julien Stokes' 225 yards walked out the door. Sean Williams Jr. (215 yards, 2 TD) gives Rick Santos a legitimate 1-2 punch, but the bigger issue is what happens after contact: Penn's ground game ranked just 76th in rushing yards per game and 92nd in explosiveness, meaning West and Williams are grinding out a run game that rarely breaks. With Tommy Lafayette showing up mostly as a passing-game piece and EJ Carter Jr. unproven, the Quakers' offense stays tilted toward the 239-yard-per-game passing attack that ranked 29th, while the backfield's job is less about explosiveness than sustaining the drives that made Penn 2nd nationally on third down.

Bisi Owens took 66 catches and 696 yards out the door, and with Davis Ellis and Alex Haight also gone, Pennsylvania loses essentially its entire proven passing-game production from a unit that finished 29th in passing yards per game. Ronan Johannson (4 catches, 39 yards) and Connor Johns are the only returners with any catches on the books, while Justin Alpert, Dakota Brower, Jayden Drayton and Luke Johnson arrive with no prior stats to lean on. Rick Santos still has the third-down conversion machine that ranked 2nd nationally in that category, but this group has to manufacture a new go-to target rather than replace one by name.

Michael Hegarty and Jack Donnelly split the receiving work at tight end last season, but neither found the end zone, combining for zero touchdowns on their catches even as Penn ran the No. 2 third-down offense in the country. That efficiency without a scoring threat at tight end is the tell: Rick Santos gets Dante Barone and Markus Brown back into the mix and adds Andrew Gillman from Mainland Regional, none of whom carry prior stats, so the position's next scoring chunk plays has to come from an unproven name stepping up rather than a proven producer. With the passing game already humming at 239 yards per game (29th nationally) but explosiveness sitting at just 92nd, whichever tight end breaks through as a big-play threat changes the ceiling of this offense.

Penn's offense finished a strong 2nd nationally on third downs and 47.1% on offensive success rate a year ago, but four linemen are out the door in William Bergin, Jake Bingham, Netinho Olivieri and Maxwell Freeman, so that efficiency now rests on whoever solidifies around Tyler Blevins, Mike Fernicola, Alex Fletcher, Michael Gidaro and Aaron Kruse. Rick Santos adds Foard Polley at interior line and incoming lineman Joe Weiler, who joins out of high school at Lakeridge, to fill the gaps up front. The bigger question is whether this group can push a run game that managed just 139 yards per game (76th) closer to the level of a passing attack that ranked 29th, because the explosiveness number, 92nd, says defenses were still bottling up big plays behind this front.

Rick Santos rolls into 2026 with the entire front rotation of Adeyeye Adebawore, Alexandro Armour Jr., Marco Carone, Cole Erickson, Liam Forster and Cosmo Fusco back after a defense that let opponents stay on schedule 43.0% of the time, a below-average number that ranked 74th, and gave up 5.74 yards per play. That production hole gets filled without four departed linemen in Brady Ioannidis, Paul Jennings, Carter Janki and Jake Davis, but with six trench pieces already in place, the answer to a run defense that held up at 138 yards allowed per game (41st) is continuity, not a rebuild. The pass defense at 238 yards allowed per game (87th) is where this returning group has to actually move the needle for Penn to take a step forward.

Daniel Russo anchors a linebacker corps that watched opposing rushers gash them for 138 yards a game, good for 41st nationally, while the pass defense lagged at 87th in yards allowed. DJ Brown, Kadari Machen, John Lista and Ryan O'Connell are all gone, but Aiden Bergin, Zach Darche, Joey Holliday, Mack Long and Derek McCrum return to a group whose production simply was not tracked in the box score last year. Rick Santos needs that quintet to turn quiet 2025 tape into tackles that show up on the stat sheet, because a defense that already ranks 64th in points allowed per game cannot absorb another year of invisible linebacker play.

Andrew Bruce, Christian Carter, Ethan Cohall, Brock Cornell, Jahir Dawud and Kayleb Ervin all return to a secondary that gave up 238 passing yards per game, 87th nationally, while the front held up much better against the run (138 yards allowed, 41st). Sage Webb, Ty Cortes and Alec Wills are gone, but the volume of familiar faces coming back gives Rick Santos a chance to actually fix the pass defense with continuity rather than personnel turnover. If that group tightens the coverage that lagged behind the run defense in 2025, Penn's overall defensive numbers (64th in points allowed, 61st in yards allowed) should climb closer to what the front seven already showed it could do.

Mason Walters handled placekicking duties last fall, hitting 8 of 10 field goals with a long of 47 and 51 points, and he is back to anchor the kicking game in 2026 even as Sam Smith's more limited 1-of-2 ledger departs. Punting is muddier: Santiago Sturla's steady 23-punt, 37.8-yard season is gone, leaving Christian de Villiers, who logged just four punts at a 33.5 average, as the returning option. Josh Barnavon and long snapper Luke Castelli both return without any prior stats on file, so the results this unit produces in 2026 will be almost entirely new data points for Rick Santos to evaluate.

Cadin Olsen at Quarterback

Pennsylvania loses Liam O'Brien and his 2376 yards and 19 touchdowns with zero reinforcements from the portal, leaving Cadin Olsen, a receiver with 3 catches for 29 yards last season, projected to move to quarterback and run the offense. Donte West and Sean Williams Jr. give Olsen a real ground game behind him, but a receiver making that jump with no transfer help and a 165th-ranked recruiting class caps how much this offense can carry the season.

Rick Santos, Homebody Bettor's Friend

Penn is a coin flip against the number overall at 5-5, but that masks a real split under Rick Santos: bettors cashed at a 60% clip at home (3-2) while going just 2-3 (40%) on the road. The bounce-back trend is the sharpest signal here, covering at a 75% rate (3-1) the week after a loss, suggesting books adjust the line but not the Quakers' response. Road underdog spots are the one to avoid, with Penn covering just once in three tries away from Franklin Field.

14 more sections in the full Pennsylvania Quakers preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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