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2026
FCS
Football
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124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
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Every FCS team gets a page. The whole season gets a number.
147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
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In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Illinois State Redbirds 2026 Season Preview

MVFC · Brock Spack · 12-5 last season · No. 6 in our FCS ratings

Pellant Rebuilds a Runner-Up

Beckham Pellant is projected to run an offense that finished second in the final 2025 Coaches Poll but returns just 32% of its production, and with the defense already stuck at 56th in scoring defense, Illinois State's path back to that ceiling runs through how fast Pellant recreates a 30.8-point attack rather than any dropoff on the other side of the ball.

Pellant Inherits a Live Wire

Can Beckham Pellant replicate anything close to what Tommy Rittenhouse just did with 3,568 yards and 40 touchdowns, on an offense that returns only 14.8% of its production? He almost certainly can't match those numbers, since he'll be working with a nearly all-new supporting cast, but Illinois State's 12-win season was built on a defense that returns 48.9% of its snaps, and that unit should keep this program competitive even through an offensive learning curve. Spack's team wins in 2026 by leaning on that defensive continuity while Pellant grows into the job.

Spack's Three True Tests

Coming off a 12-5 season, Illinois State's 2026 path runs through three true toss-ups that will decide whether Brock Spack's group is a playoff team or a bubble one: a trip to North Dakota (35% win), a trip to Northern Illinois (37% win), and a trip to Southern Illinois (44% win). Everything else on the slate skews favorable, including home dates against Eastern Illinois (89%) and Murray State (88%), so those three road games carry the season's real evidence. Win two of the three and an 8-4 projection looks light rather than accurate.

Trust the Redbirds

A national model slotting Illinois State 6th in the FCS while the coaches had them 2nd is the gap that matters here, and the 8-4 projection reads like the fair middle ground between those two views. A 27th-ranked schedule and a 2nd-place MVFC projection both point to a team built to win the games it should, not one that needs style points nationally. Pellant's offense will have rough patches, but this program's floor is a playoff bid, and 8-4 undersells a roster that finished last season ranked ahead of nearly everyone else in the country.

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Spack's Program Keeps Climbing

Brock Spack took Illinois State to 12-5 and a 5-3 mark in the MVFC last fall, and the No. 6 power rating says 2026 is set up to build on that rather than just repeat it. This program has moved past rebuilding mode, the record and the ranking both point to a team expected to contend in the league again. The bar is simply higher now, and the numbers on this card reflect a staff that has earned that expectation.

A Ground Game With No Margin Left

Illinois State's offense ran on efficiency rather than explosion, finishing 109th in explosiveness while ranking 26th on third downs and 28th in success rate, a formula built on staying on schedule rather than hitting chunk plays. That works until the machinery underneath it stops holding: a +6 turnover margin and a defense that let opponents burn 245 yards a game through the air were both propping up a 12-5 season, and neither is the kind of thing that repeats. The path back to the conference title game runs through replacing that efficiency with actual explosiveness, not just protecting a turnover margin that was always going to come back to earth.

Tommy Rittenhouse took 3,568 passing yards and 40 touchdowns out the door, and Illinois State has to replace that production without a proven arm behind it. Beckham Pellant, who threw for just 83 yards with a touchdown and an interception in limited work, is the front-runner coming out of camp, but Cooper Kmet and Chase Kwiatkowski are both in the mix and USC transfer Gage Roy adds another arm to the competition. That offense ranked 31st in scoring and 35th in total yards last season, yet its passing game was the soft spot at 48th nationally and just 109th in explosiveness, meaning whoever wins this job inherits a run-first attack that needs more out of the air than Rittenhouse's departure leaves behind.

Victor Dawson's 1377 yards, Wenkers Wright's 592 and Seth Glatz's 401 all walk out the door, leaving a backfield that fueled a 170-yard rushing attack (36th nationally) with almost no proven carries on the roster. Tyler Lofton is the returning name penciled in to pick up that load, with Q Skillings arriving from Williams Field to add competition, though neither has logged a college stat yet. Brock Spack's offense ran efficient in 2025 (28th in success rate) but explosive plays were a problem at 109th, so how Lofton and Skillings hit the second level will decide whether that big-play gap closes or widens.

Dylan Lord (74 catches, 734 yards) and Luke Mailander (671 yards, 4 TD) are back to anchor the room, but Illinois State loses its most explosive weapon in Daniel Sobkowicz, whose 83 catches and 19 touchdowns dwarfed anyone else on the roster. That gap matters more than the sacks or third-down numbers suggest, since an offense that already ranked 109th in explosiveness now has to create big plays without its top touchdown threat, leaning on Lord to turn short, efficient throws into the chunk gains Sobkowicz used to provide. High school signees Will Strong and Jake Cestone add to the room, but the passing game's ceiling in 2026 still runs through how much Lord and Mailander can stretch the field on their own.

Javon Charles took his 19 catches and 168 yards out the door, and none of the returning tight ends replace that receiving punch on paper. Nick True and Max Ziebarth each scored a touchdown on a single catch last season, quirky red-zone flashes rather than proof of a featured role, while Brady Goken and Brady Probst arrive with no statistical track record to lean on. Illinois State ranked 109th nationally in explosiveness even with Charles stretching the field, so Brock Spack needs one of these low-usage returners to turn scattered targets into the chunk plays this passing game was missing.

Illinois State's front pushed a 30.8-point offense that ran for 170 yards a game, but the explosiveness numbers (109th nationally) show a line that ground out yardage more than it created chunk plays, and five linemen who helped build that identity are gone, including Micah Barnhart, Chris Hill Jr., Jake Pope, Brandon Smith and Landon Woodard. Zach Poole arrives from Lincoln Comm and Mezziahs McDaniel signs on from Brownsburg to start replacing that experience up front. Brock Spack's group does not need to reinvent the offense, it needs its new pieces to hold the same rushing baseline while the passing game tries to climb out of a 48th-ranked ranking through the air.

Illinois State's front produced a solid rushing defense a year ago (131 yards allowed per game, 24th nationally) but let opponents settle into rhythm through the air, a big reason the pass defense ranked 101st in yards allowed. That production churn up front now includes Garret Steffen, the closest thing to a disruptor this group had with 10 tackles and a sack, gone along with Jake Anderson, Nick Kessler and Christian Lorenzo. Brock Spack brings in Aden Cannon off the Indiana roster to add an edge presence, plus Hudson Samolinski and Owen Smith from the high school ranks, betting that fresh juice up front can push the pass rush and tighten a defense that too often let opposing plays stay on schedule.

Patrick Bauer, Mason Kaplan and Reese Edwards combined for the bulk of the tackle production behind a run defense that ranked 24th in rushing yards allowed per game, and all three are gone, along with Jamarcus Smith. That gap shows up more against the pass, where Illinois State finished 101st in passing yards allowed per game a year ago, a number the departed group did little to fix and the room now has to answer without them. Brock Spack brings in high school signees Diesel McFadden and Draivyn Colvin to start rebuilding the position, though neither arrives with prior statistics, so the run-stopping identity this defense built its 12-5 season around now rests on players still unproven at this level.

A secondary that gave up 245 passing yards a game, 101st nationally, loses three tacklers in CJ Richard Jr., Jack Dwyer and Cam Wilson, and Brock Spack went to the portal for help rather than hoping experience alone fixes it. East Carolina transfer Key Crowell adds a body with tackle production already on his resume, while high school signees Quincy Blaise, Nicholas Ori, Devin Viola and Santino Bernabei give the room fresh corners and safeties to develop behind an experienced group. The run defense held up well at 131 yards allowed per game, 24th nationally, so Spack's fix has to come through the air, and whether Crowell can start immediately will determine if that pass defense number actually moves in 2026.

Matt Maldonado's departure takes 87 points and a 51-yard long off the board, but Illinois State isn't starting from scratch at kicker. Michael Cosentino was 3 of 3 on field goals last season with a 35-yard long, and he steps into the lead role alongside untested options Ari Daniels and Casey Roney. The bigger constant is Hayden Futch, who boomed 62 punts for a 43.4-yard average and gives Brock Spack a field-position weapon regardless of how the placekicking settles.

Beckham Pellant

Tommy Rittenhouse threw for 3,568 yards and 40 touchdowns last season, and none of that returns, so Illinois State hands the offense to Beckham Pellant off just 83 passing yards, 1 TD and 1 INT of prior work. He inherits a real weapon in Dylan Lord, who caught 74 balls for 734 yards, and Luke Mailander adds 671 more, but how fast Pellant grows into that trust determines whether this offense keeps pace with last year's 12-win pace or slides back.

Brock Spack's Road Cover Drought

Illinois State went a perfect 6-0 against the spread as a road underdog and 78% on the road overall, a split so extreme that Brock Spack's team looks built for buy-low betting away from Normal. Bring that same club home as a favorite and the market flips, just 1-4 against the number, a 20% cover rate that erases most of the road value in one line. Anyone backing the Redbirds in 2026 should treat home favorite spots as the trap and let the road underdog trend, plus the 4-1 mark against ranked opponents, do the heavy lifting.

14 more sections in the full Illinois State Redbirds preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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