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2026
FCS
Football
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124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
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147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
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In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Mercyhurst Lakers 2026 Season Preview

NEC · Thomas Sydeski · 5-7 last season · No. 80 in our FCS ratings

Gevaudan Inherits the Wreckage

Alex Gevaudan is projected to run an offense that scored just 18.8 points per game a year ago, and he'll have to do it while Thomas Sydeski's roster returns only 27% of its production, a rebuild disguised as a quarterback competition.

Gevaudan's supporting cast

Can Alex Gevaudan win with almost nobody else on offense having done it before? With just 27% of production returning, he is the only proven piece Thomas Sydeski can build around, and that isolation is the real 2026 problem. Expect growing pains early as the pieces around him sort themselves out, since one experienced quarterback cannot offset that much lost production by himself.

Sydeski's Three True Tests

Mercyhurst's slate is buried under three trips that will decide whether 2026 reads as progress or a repeat of last year's 5-7: at New Mexico (2% win), at Western Kentucky (3%) and at New Mexico State (11%) are all FBS road games the Lakers aren't built to win, and Thomas Sydeski knows it. The real season lives in the NEC grind that follows, where trips to Robert Morris (58%) and Stonehill (54%) and a home date with Wagner (67%) are the actual measuring sticks. Split those league toss-ups and a projected 4-8 undersells what this roster can do against its own level.

Better Than the Record

A 5-7 mark badly undersold this group. A minus-7 turnover margin and a 1-2 mark in one-score games are exactly the kind of bad luck that tends to flip, and an offense that needed 18.3 yards for every point still found a way to grind out results while the defense made opponents earn theirs at 14.1. The projected 4-8 finish for 2026 reads like the model overcorrecting on schedule and roster churn rather than trusting the turnaround already visible in these numbers, and Thomas Sydeski's group should print a better record than that this fall.

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A Program Splitting Signals

Thomas Sydeski's team told two different stories in 2025: a 4-3 mark inside the NEC that reads like a competitive, middle-of-the-pack club, and a 5-7 overall ledger dragged down by results outside league play. The No. 80 power rating lines up closer to the overall record than the conference mark, suggesting the non-conference slate exposed depth or talent gaps that league play didn't. Heading into 2026, the more meaningful marker for Sydeski's group is whether that in-conference competitiveness can carry over into the results column across the full schedule, not just the NEC portion.

Gevaudan Inherits a Lopsided Team

Mercyhurst's defense held up its end, ranking 10th nationally in passing yards allowed and 38th in total yards allowed, while the offense stalled at 102nd in scoring. That gap is the whole story for 2026, and it now runs through Alex Gevaudan, projected to start after throwing for just 246 yards with a 1-to-1 touchdown to interception mark a year ago. If Gevaudan cannot push the passing game past last season's 222 yards per game and lift a unit that ranked 79th in success rate, the defense will again be doing more than its share.

Adam Urena's 2,401 yards through the air walk out the door, and Alex Gevaudan is the front-runner to replace that volume after throwing for just 246 yards a season ago. The job is not settled, Kolten Ruark, Tyler Tusai and Nevada transfer Anthony Wolter are all in the mix, but Gevaudan takes the first-team reps into camp. Whoever wins it inherits a passing game that ranked 47th nationally in yards per game even while the offense stalled at 102nd in scoring, so the ceiling is arm talent, the floor is finishing drives.

Brian Trobel's 981 yards and 12 touchdowns walk out the door, and nobody left on this roster has come close to that workload. Jameir Gamble, who managed just 152 yards a year ago, is the leading returning back by default, with Jonathan Askew's 87 yards the only other real experience in the room. That gap matters on an offense that already ranked 99th in rushing yards per game at 122 per contest, meaning Gamble or Askew has to produce far beyond their 2025 numbers just to keep Mercyhurst's ground game from sliding further backward.

Dylan Evans (44 catches, 579 yards, 4 TD) and Evan Van Dyke (41-396-3) are the constants in a passing game that actually outperformed the rest of the offense, ranking 47th nationally in yards per game while the run game sat at 99th. The bigger question is who replaces Rylan Davison's 582 yards and 46 grabs, since Jason Woods and the rest of the returning group combined for single-digit or negative yardage lines last season. Evans and Van Dyke give Thomas Sydeski a real one-two punch to build the 2026 passing attack around, but the No. 2 receiver spot behind them is wide open production-wise.

Ashton Wilson's 11 catches for 91 yards paced a tight end room that never turned into a real weapon, part of an offense stuck at 122 rushing yards per game (99th) and forced to lean on a passing game that ranked 47th. Camden Lewis and Colin Melendez combined for modest production of their own, and with Alejandro Vazquez gone, Sha'lik Hampton and Mason Marchbank give Thomas Sydeski two unproven names to fold into the rotation. If Wilson takes a real step forward as a receiving threat, this group can help push a 38.6% success-rate offense (79th) toward the explosive plays it lacked at 1.26 (69th).

Mercyhurst's rushing attack managed just 122 yards per game (99th nationally) a year ago, and four linemen who helped produce that output, Joey Balgo, Cadavius Gary, Samuel Petros and Caden Pustelak, are no longer in the room. Navi Arretche, Eugene Avei, Coy Bell, Colin Bruno and Dylan Ellenberger head the returning group up front, but with no way to know who actually started, Thomas Sydeski is piecing together protection and run lanes largely on trust. The passing game held up relatively well at 222 yards per game (47th), so the priority for this line is simple: find enough push to lift a ground game that stalled well below the national middle.

Mercyhurst's pass defense was legitimately good in 2025, ranking 10th nationally in passing yards allowed per game, but the run defense lagged at 87th and the line let 46.1% of opponent snaps stay on schedule, 110th in the country. That's the problem Thomas Sydeski has to fix at the point of attack, and he's doing it with six returners rather than a full rebuild: Kai'Ree Chavez-Harrington, Jacob Clulow, James Graham V, Lucien Griffin, Victor Iaquinta and Shanard Lo-Ray all come back to a room that lost Cedric Carter, Donovan Everette, Khalil Jackson, Jonas King and James Royal. None of the returners carry prior stat production on the books, so 2026 is really about whether that group can finally win the run-down snaps that slipped away last fall.

Jaiden Allos, Elijah Binakonsky, Gavin Burt, Patrick Carter, Corey Cobb Jr. and Timmy Fleischood Jr. all return at linebacker, a rare wholesale carryover for a Mercyhurst defense that leaned on the back end more than the front seven in 2025. Opponents stayed on schedule against this defense on 46.1% of plays, 110th nationally, and the run defense gave up 178 yards a game, 87th, numbers that point squarely at the linebacker corps rather than the secondary that ranked 10th in pass yards allowed. With Daniel Dlugos, Blaze Grabowsky, Kyler Laing and Jake Miller all gone, the six returning names above have to convert that continuity into actually winning downs, not just occupying them, if Thomas Sydeski wants the run defense to catch up to what the pass defense already does well.

Mercyhurst's secondary was the strength that carried a shaky front last year, ranking 10th nationally in passing yards allowed at 171 per game even as the run defense (87th) leaked yardage. That production returns largely intact behind JC Cloutier at safety and corners Da'Sean Anderson, Braylon Beckwith, Camariyon Bridges, Arron Chaney II and Mark Hawkins Jr., a group that stayed together despite five departures elsewhere in the room. With five of Thomas Sydeski's top coverage pieces back, the bet for 2026 is that Mercyhurst again wins games in the air even if opponents keep finding room on the ground.

Max Young hit just 6 of 9 field goals last fall but connected from as far as 38 yards and provided steady value on extra points, giving Mercyhurst a known commodity to lean on rather than a guessing game. Garrett McGuire returns after averaging 37.5 yards on 39 punts, a workload that says the Lakers spent plenty of 2025 backed up and needing him to flip field position. The one unknown is long snapper, where Aidan Lin departed without stats on file, leaving Thomas Sydeski to plug in a new snapper behind two proven specialists.

Alex Gevaudan's Passing Game

Brian Trobel's 981 rushing yards walk out the door, and Jameir Gamble's 152 yards in relief do not look like a ready-made replacement for that load, so Mercyhurst's offense tilts toward the arm of Alex Gevaudan. He threw for just 246 yards with one touchdown against one interception a year ago, but he gets Dylan Evans (44 catches, 579 yards) and Evan Van Dyke (41 catches, 396 yards) back outside, and how much he leans on that duo determines whether this offense can replace Trobel's production or stalls trying.

Sydeski's Road Cover Streak

Mercyhurst finished 5-7 straight up, but Thomas Sydeski's team was the road bet nobody wanted to take, covering at 71% away from home and going 4-1 as a road underdog. That gap between the losing record and the 8-4 betting mark says the line consistently overrated Mercyhurst's opponents, especially as a road dog. The soft spot is Erie itself, where the Lakers covered at just 60% and lost five straight ones outright, so 2026 bettors should keep fading home chalk and following the road number.

14 more sections in the full Mercyhurst Lakers preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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