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2026
FCS
Football
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124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
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147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
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In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Brown Bears 2026 Season Preview

Ivy · James Perry · 5-5 last season · No. 64 in our FCS ratings

Murphy's Team Now

James Murphy is the projected starter for an offense that returns 78% of its production but still ranked 52nd in scoring a year ago, meaning Brown's 2026 ceiling rests on whether he can turn near-identical pieces into more points than a 5-5 team managed with them the first time around.

Murphy's Weapons Question

Who does James Murphy target now that Ty Pezza and his 44 catches are off the roster? Murphy himself returns and Brown keeps 78.1% of its offensive production, so the passing game does not need to be rebuilt from scratch, just reshuffled toward whoever inherits Pezza's targets. Expect Brown to lean on that continuity at quarterback rather than the receiver room, with the ground game picking up slack the passing attack can no longer promise on its own.

Perry's Yale Problem

Brown's real season comes down to three road-heavy tests: a trip to Yale where the Bears sit at just 22%, a road date at Rhode Island (28%), and a home meeting with Harvard that's basically a coin flip at 34%. Everything else on the slate skews favorable, with Bryant, Cornell and Columbia all sitting at 63% or better, which is why a 4-6 projection feels like a team that can bank the easy ones but hasn't shown it can flip one of those low-percentage games. James Perry's group has enough on the calendar to get to five wins if even one of Yale, Rhode Island or Harvard breaks right.

Murphy's Floor Is Fifth Place

A 6th-place Ivy projection with a 74 schedule-difficulty rank says Brown is stuck in the league's middle tier, and the 4-6 call on this page looks about right for a team that was 2-5 in conference play last fall. James Perry's group has enough continuity behind James Murphy to avoid collapse, but nothing in this profile points to a jump into the league's upper half. Treat 2026 as a stay-in-place year, not a launch point.

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Perry's Ledger

James Perry closed 2025 at 5-5, but a 2-5 mark in league play is the number that actually matters at an Ivy program built around conference standing. The overall record and a middling power rating flatten out to neutral, so 2026 comes down to whether Brown can turn competitive non-conference results into wins against Ivy opponents. That gap between the .500 overall mark and the losing league record is the story to watch.

Air It Out Again

Brown's offense was a study in contrasts last year, ranking 7th nationally in passing yards per game at 283 while its ground game languished at 119th with just 89 yards per game, and that lopsided identity should carry over. James Murphy is the projected starting quarterback for 2026, and given how the passing attack carried the offense to 52nd in scoring, the plan is clearly to keep throwing rather than fix the run. The bigger swing factor is a defense that let opponents stay on schedule 46.2% of the time (111th), so even with a +6 turnover margin bailing out possessions, Brown's ceiling depends on that unit tightening up while Murphy's arm keeps the offense afloat.

James Murphy takes over an offense that already knew how to throw the ball, with 283 passing yards per game ranking 7th nationally a year ago, but the ground game lagged badly at 89 rushing yards per game, 119th in the country. That split defines Murphy's job in 2026: lean on the same vertical passing attack that carried Brown's yardage totals while the run game tries to climb out of the bottom tier of FBS production. Will Currid, who threw for 34 yards last season, returns as a backup option, but this offense goes as far as Murphy's arm takes it.

Matt Childs put up 517 yards and 8 touchdowns behind a run game that still ranked just 119th in rushing yards per game, and he comes back as the clear centerpiece after Qwentin Brown's 233 yards and 5 scores left the room. Jackson Bennett and Eli Jones return with modest carries to lean on behind him, and Colby Isabelle is back without stats on file. Brown added La Salle College recruit Desmond Ortiz, a three-star signee with no college numbers yet, to a backfield that will keep leaning on Childs while a 283-yard passing attack carries the offense.

Trevor Foley's 32 catches and 569 yards now stand as the room's clear top mark after Brown loses Ty Pezza's 7-touchdown production and Solomon Miller's 359 yards, a real hit for an offense that ranked 7th nationally in passing yards per game. Pearson Hill and Michael Nesbit each caught enough passes to suggest a real second option, but neither approached Pezza's explosiveness, and the offense already ranked 91st in explosiveness even with him on the field. Saphir Miller arrives from Edgewater to compete for a role, but the passing attack's ceiling in 2026 rides on whether Foley can turn a productive complementary season into a true focal-point one.

Levi Linowes caught 19 balls for 239 yards last fall and is back as the only proven pass-catcher at the position, which matters given Brown threw for 283 yards a game, 7th nationally, in James Perry's offense. Dillon Golden's modest 78 yards are the only other production to reallocate, so Maximilian Ciovacco, Jadon Garza-Pender, Henry Hurd, Pierce Leverett and Benjamin Taylor are all auditioning for real snaps behind Linowes with no statistical track record to lean on. With the ground game stuck at 89 yards per game, 119th nationally, Brown's tight ends will keep leaning on the pass to move the chains, and that puts Linowes squarely in the middle of the offense's identity.

Brown's ground game managed just 89 yards per game on the ground last season, a number that will follow Mark Banbury, Eddie Battista, Sam Brackney, Kai Faucher and John Green into 2026 as the front five tries to answer for it. That imbalance, 283 passing yards a game against a rushing attack ranked 119th nationally, points to a unit that leaned on the pass to survive and never controlled the line of scrimmage. With Liam Halligan, Nick Manley and Marco Monteiro no longer in the room, James Perry is counting on Banbury, Battista, Brackney, Faucher and Green to turn a pass-first necessity into an actual choice.

Brown's front gave up 5.56 yards a play last season and kept opposing offenses ahead of the chains on 46.2% of snaps, a number that ranked 111th and explains why this line group looks so different now. Mason Baldic, Teo Casares, Nick Chao, Nolan Daly, Braden Ewing and Liam Fitzgerald are all back to anchor the room, while John Luke Minner and Miles Gaito arrive at edge to add juice off the corner. With Owen Clarke, Caden Harman, Pat O'Neill, John Starman and Nolan Clark all off the roster, the returning six carry the weight of fixing a run defense that allowed 164 yards a game and a pass rush that has to speed up how quickly Brown gets off the field on third down.

Tommy Dunn, Nathan Kunickis, Max Malo, Stefano Montella, Jack Morse and Shay O'Kelly all return to a front seven that let opponents stay on schedule at a 46.2% clip, 111th nationally, and gave up 164 rushing yards a game. None of that group has a snap of production on the books, so the continuity is about bodies in the room, not proven playmakers, and Brown is banking on that experience translating to fewer busted assignments after finishing 88th in yards allowed per game. Savannah Country Day product Hayes Beaver joins the mix, but the leap this defense needs comes from Dunn and Malo turning last year's reps into actual tackles for loss.

Jeff Bandy, Alejandro Bello, Miles Brophy, Ian Browne, Airiz Coleman Bey and Cap Davis all return to a secondary that gave up 237 passing yards per game (84th) and let opponents win on schedule far too often, ranking 111th in keeping plays behind the chains defensively. That six-man group staying together matters more than the five departures behind them, since continuity is the closest thing Brown has to an answer for a defense that finished 88th in total yards allowed. William Chen arrives from Southlake Carroll to add a fresh body at safety, but the 2026 outlook rides on whether the returning core can turn steady snaps into fewer chunk plays rather than on any newcomer fixing it alone.

Drew Crabtree missed a third of his field-goal tries a year ago, going 6 of 9 with a long of 38, and that inconsistency is the real swing factor for a Brown team that finished 2-5 in Ivy play. Malcolm Flynn gives James Perry a steady weapon in the punting game at 39.6 yards a boot, and long snapper Michael Pedrotti is back to keep the operation clean. The margin in close Ivy games often comes down to whether Crabtree turns that 6-of-9 accuracy into something more reliable in 2026.

Matt Childs Carries the Load

With Ty Pezza's 44 catches and 579 yards gone from the passing game and no portal help arriving to replace them, Brown's offense tilts toward the ground. Matt Childs, coming off 517 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns, becomes the engine James Murphy leans on while Trevor Foley and Levi Linowes settle into bigger roles in the passing game. If Childs cannot push his workload past last year's pace, this offense has no obvious answer for the receiving production it just lost.

Cover Machine, Losing Record

Brown went 5-5 straight up but 7-3 against the spread, the kind of split that tells the real story of James Perry's 2025 team beating numbers even in weeks it lost the game. The bounce-back tendency stands out most: a 4-1 mark against the spread the week after a loss shows a team that rarely got run out of two straight, even while going 2-5 in conference play straight up. The one soft spot was expectation, an 0-1 mark as a home favorite, meaning the market trusted Brown more than the results backed up whenever it was actually supposed to win.

14 more sections in the full Brown Bears preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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