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2026
FCS
Football
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124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
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147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
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In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Chattanooga Mocs 2026 Season Preview

Southern · Rusty Wright · 5-7 last season · No. 84 in our FCS ratings

Alberson's Offense, Thin Roster

Rusty Wright is rebuilding around Alberson with barely half the roster's production back, and a defense that gave up 33.0 points a game a year ago has almost no margin to cover growing pains on the other side of the ball.

Wright's Rebuild Problem

Can Rusty Wright field a competitive roster with just 33% of the offense and 58.6% of the defense back from a 5-7 team? The defensive side, holding onto more than half its production, is the better bet to stay functional early while the offensive skill spots get reshuffled almost entirely. Chattanooga's floor in 2026 gets set by how fast that thin defensive carryover plugs the gaps, not by any one unit erasing last year's shortcomings overnight.

A gauntlet with two clear wins

Alabama is on the schedule, and that game is not really a game so much as a payday, a guaranteed loss sandwiched between Southern Conference tests Chattanooga actually has to navigate. West Georgia (22%) and East Tennessee State (28%) sit as the true measuring sticks, road trips where Rusty Wright's group projects as a distinct underdog against conference peers rather than a blue blood. The Mocs get their two clearest breathers at home against VMI (77%) and Samford (71%), but a projected 4-8 season with a No. 31 schedule rank means the margin between those two tiers is where 2026 actually gets decided.

A Southern Bottom-Half Year

A projected eighth-place finish in the Southern with a middling schedule rank of 31 leaves little margin for Chattanooga to sneak into the playoff picture. The model's 4-8 call reads about right given how much of the roster is turning over around Battle Alberson, and there is nothing in the projection or the slate that argues for stealing extra wins. Treat 2026 as a rebuilding year with a firm floor and a low ceiling, not a bounce-back season.

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Wright Faces a Flat Season

Rusty Wright's 2025 landed right at .500 in league play but the overall ledger slipped to 5-7, and a power rating of 84th nationally says this was not a fluke bad bounce, it was a middling roster performing like one. Chattanooga was not blown out of the league, going 4-4 in conference, but the non-conference results dragged the whole season under water. Getting back over .500 in 2026 means fixing whatever went sideways outside league play, not just holding steady inside it.

Wright's Margins Were Misleading

Rusty Wright's 5-7 mark hid a team that was quietly sound, an explosive run game (184 yards per game, 22nd nationally) and an offense that finished drives efficiently at 13.3 yards per point undercut by a minus-4 turnover margin that should not repeat. The bigger issue for 2026 sits on defense, where opponents scored cheaply at 12.2 yards per point and the unit gave up 6.31 yards per play, 105th nationally. If the giveaways trend back to normal and that defense tightens up its per-play cost, the record catches up to how competitive this team already was in conference play.

Battle Alberson heads into fall as the man to beat after throwing for 630 yards with 5 touchdowns against 3 interceptions last season, but Rusty Wright is not handing him the job outright. Hunter Campbell, Matthew Clemmer and Luke Schomburg are all in the mix, and New Mexico State transfer Parker Awad adds another arm to the competition. The bigger question is what Chattanooga asks of whoever wins the reps, since this offense leaned on a run game that hit 184 yards per game (22nd nationally) while its passing attack ranked just 83rd, and Alberson's ledger is the only quarterbacking resume in the building.

Journey Wyche's 333 yards and 4 scores make him the clear holdover piece in a backfield that produced 184 rushing yards per game, 22nd nationally, but the two backs who actually paced that attack, Ryan Ingram (578 yards, 8 TD) and Justus Durant (678 yards, 4 TD), are both gone. Solomon Locke's 136 yards give Rusty Wright a second experienced body, while Malachi Jeffries and TJ Worthy carry no game statistics yet, so the carries Ingram and Durant leave behind have to be earned rather than assumed. Chattanooga's ground game was the offense's real strength last year, and whether Wyche can scale into a lead-back workload will decide if that 22nd-ranked rushing attack holds up in 2026.

Josh Williams is the one proven target back, coming off 44 catches for 585 yards and 4 touchdowns, and Chattanooga's passing offense still ranked just 83rd nationally with him doing that work. Gone are Jamarii Robinson (18 catches, 278 yards, 4 TD) and A.J. Little (27 catches, 345 yards, 1 TD), which pushes Taylor Crumedy, a bit-part contributor with 2 catches for 40 yards last year, toward a bigger role alongside unproven names like Erik Bussmann, Brohns Donaldson, Jaden George and Hudson Gray. Central Oklahoma transfer Ashton Schumann arrives with no prior stats to lean on, so Rusty Wright's offense, which already leaned on the ground game at 184 rushing yards per game, will likely keep asking Williams to carry the passing attack while the rest of the room proves itself.

John McIntyre is the clear focal point at tight end, coming off 11 catches for 96 yards and a touchdown, with Landon Strickland adding a complementary 6 catches and 69 yards. Chattanooga's passing game ranked just 83rd in yards per game in 2025, so the touchdown production the departed Nathaniel Eberly-Rodriguez took with him has to come from somewhere, and TJ Briggs, Daniel Green and Hunter Teal give Rusty Wright bodies without a proven track record yet. With the run game humming at 184 yards per game (22nd nationally), the tight ends matter more as blockers and safety valves than as the engine of an offense that already moves the ball efficiently at 5.76 yards per play.

Chattanooga's ground game hummed at 184 yards per game, 22nd nationally, but the group that paved it is almost entirely rebuilt on paper, with five departures including Will Buchanan, Therion Cannon, Ryan Merklinger and both B.J. and Tyrell Ragland off the two-deep. Rusty Wright brought in Arkansas State transfer Royce Baucom to plug the interior, betting that a lower-rated but battle-tested piece can stabilize a line that still has to answer for 83rd-ranked passing production and a 38.7% third-down rate. If the rushing efficiency carries over with new faces up front, the explosiveness that ranked 16th nationally in successful plays gives this offense a real ceiling in Southern play.

A defense that gave up 6.31 yards per play, 105th nationally, is losing all three of its departing ends, including Noah Livingston, without a single returning name to point to as the anchor up front. Rusty Wright brings in Dacian Davis, a high school signee out of Monroe Area, to start restocking the edge, but a true freshman project is not built to erase a rush defense that already ranked 70th in yards allowed on the ground. Expect the run-stopping numbers to hold roughly steady while the pass rush takes time to reform around whoever emerges from an experienced front seven.

Rusty Wright's defense allowed 6.31 yards per play a year ago, a number that lands at 105th nationally and explains why 33.0 points a game got out the door so easily. The linebacker room loses Amanuel Dickson and Jonathan Hunter-Horton, but the bigger issue on tape was structural: opponents stayed on schedule on 42.6 percent of snaps, and a defense that gave up 166 rushing yards per game needs its second level to close that gap before it worries about the back end. Chattanooga's 2026 answer at linebacker will have to come from an experienced group already in the building, since no fresh arrival at the position is on record yet.

Kam Baah-Slay's 9 tackles were the high mark for any Chattanooga defensive back last season, and that modest number tells the real story of a secondary that allowed 237 passing yards per game (85th) and 6.31 yards per play (105th). Baah-Slay returns alongside Jaden Nelson, Taylor Smallwood and D.J. Adams, none of whom topped three tackles, plus Ahmad Bridges and Martez Cooksey Jr., who carry no prior production on file. Rusty Wright's group brings back its low-usage pieces largely intact while losing Kaelin Drakeford's 5 tackles and Jeremiah Batiste's lone TFL, which means 2026 hinges less on replacing lost stars than on Baah-Slay and Nelson actually becoming difference-makers in coverage.

Heath Jehu remains one of the steadier legs in the Southern, having boomed 54 punts at a 43.6-yard clip a year ago, and that stability buys Chattanooga time while it sorts out placekicker. Jude Kelley's departure leaves a real void, since he connected on 6 of 7 field goals with a 59-point season, and Gray Kelley, who made just 0 of 1 attempts for 4 points in a limited look, is the incumbent tasked with replacing that production. Both long snappers, Brody Gann and J.J. Heath, return, giving Rusty Wright at least one settled piece up front as the kicking operation gets rebuilt around Kelley.

Battle Alberson

Battle Alberson threw for 630 yards with 5 touchdowns against 3 interceptions in his first extended look, and Chattanooga is betting its offense on that pick rate trending the other way rather than turning to New Mexico State transfer Parker Awad, who arrives without a pass attempt on his ledger. Alberson already has Josh Williams (44 catches, 585 yards) and Journey Wyche (333 rushing yards) around him, so the ceiling is there if he tightens up the turnovers that plagued last year's 5-7 finish.

Road Money Pit

Chattanooga's number tells two different stories depending on the ZIP code. At home, Rusty Wright's team covered 60% of the time and went 2-1 as a favorite, the profile of a team that knows how to close out games it should win. On the road that flips entirely, an 0-5 mark as an underdog and a 14% cover rate away from home, and against ranked opponents bettors got burned three times without a single cover. Until this team proves it can travel, the smart money treats every road line as a trap.

14 more sections in the full Chattanooga Mocs preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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