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2026
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124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
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147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
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In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Presbyterian Blue Hose 2026 Season Preview

Pioneer · Matt Rahl · 10-2 last season · No. 52 in our FCS ratings

Rahl Leans on His Defense

Matt Rahl is banking on a defense that allowed just 16.2 points per game a year ago to mask the fact that only 26% of his production returns, buying time for Englehart to grow into the job rather than carry it from day one.

Can Englehart Sustain It

Can Ty Englehart hold up as the full-time answer at quarterback with only 25.8% of the offense's production back around him? Collin Hurst is gone, and there is no proven passing track record left on this roster to lean on, so Englehart is stepping into the job with almost nobody who has done it before beside him. Presbyterian's 10-2 season was built on a defense that traveled well, and that unit buys Englehart the room to grow into the role rather than win it outright in September.

Mercer and WCU Decide It

Coming off a 10-2 season and 6-2 in the Pioneer, Matt Rahl's group projects for a step back to 7-4, and the schedule explains why: this slate ranks 117th in difficulty, but the two toughest outs, at Mercer and at Western Carolina, are both true road coin-flips the numbers favor them to lose. Sandwiched between those two road trips is a home date with St. Thomas-Minnesota that sits at a near even-money 52%, making that stretch the real swing zone of the season. Everything else, from a should-win trip to Marist to home dates against Davidson and Butler, is winnable enough that how Presbyterian handles those three games determines whether 2026 reads as progress or regression.

Regression Ahead

Every marginal indicator here points the same direction: a 4-1 mark in one-score games, an offense that needed only 12.1 yards per point against a 13.9 league median, and 65% returning production all flatter last year's 10-2 finish more than they forecast the next one. Ty Englehart returns to run the offense, but the one place the data says Presbyterian actually outplayed its record, a conference yardage margin that implied a lower win rate than the 75.0% it posted, is the exception, not the theme. The 7-4 projection reads about right for a team whose close-game luck and defensive bend-don't-break numbers are due to even out in the Pioneer.

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Rahl Builds on 10-2

Matt Rahl closed 2025 at 10-2 overall and 6-2 in Pioneer play, a stretch of results that outran the program's No. 52 power ranking. That gap between a modest national number and a double-digit-win season is the whole story here, and it points to a staff that gets more out of Presbyterian's roster than the ratings expect. Heading into 2026, the league record and the winning percentage are the receipts for a program that plays above its rating rather than to it.

Englehart Inherits a Loaded Machine

Presbyterian's offense was fourth nationally in success rate and its defense allowed just 16.2 points a game, a combination that produced a 10-2 season without needing many explosive strikes, since the attack ranked only 95th in explosiveness. Ty Englehart is projected to take over an offense that already moves the ball efficiently but has to manufacture points in bunches rather than in one shot, and his ability to sustain those drives will decide whether the offense holds its current level or slips. With a defense this stingy through the air (3rd in passing yards allowed) and on early downs, Presbyterian does not need Englehart to be explosive, just steady.

Presbyterian's passing attack produced almost nothing on the stat sheet from its returning quarterbacks last year, but Ty Englehart heads into camp as the front-runner after logging time as a punter rather than a passer. That is not a settled job. Max Holtzclaw's 5 passing yards and Landon Sharpe's blank record show this is genuinely open competition, with Warner Bush and Collin Hurst both gone from the room. Whoever wins the reps inherits an offense that scored 34.4 points a game and ranked 4th nationally in success rate, but one that generated explosive plays at just a 95th-ranked clip, meaning the next starter's biggest swing factor is turning that efficient, short-yardage machine into one that finishes drives with more chunk plays.

Justin Montgomery ran for 799 yards and 7 touchdowns behind Zach Switzer last season, and now Switzer's 779 yards and 9 scores are gone, leaving Montgomery as the clear centerpiece of the backfield. Damion Moate, CJ Johnson, Denim Edwards and Chance Washington all return with modest or no carries to show for it, which means this stays Montgomery's job to carry rather than a shared load. Presbyterian's offense ranked just 31st in rushing yards per game while finishing 4th nationally in success rate, so Montgomery's job in 2026 is less about explosive gains and more about keeping that efficient, chain-moving identity intact.

BJ Atkins caught 27 passes for 376 yards last season, but Cincere Gill (701 yards, 7 TD) and Dominic Kibby (459 yards, 6 TD) accounted for the bulk of Presbyterian's downfield production, and both are gone. That leaves Atkins as the clear top target, with Jalen Patrick (16 catches, 214 yards) and Deverious Abercrombie (9 catches, 96 yards) needing to grow into bigger roles behind a passing attack that ranked just 95th nationally in explosiveness even with Gill and Kibby stretching the field. Presbyterian's offense was efficient enough to rank 4th in success rate, so the question is whether Atkins and Patrick can turn that steady moving of the chains into the kind of chunk plays this receiving corps lost with Gill and Kibby.

Chris Vickerson's 42 yards on just two catches says everything about what this tight end room does, it strikes when called upon rather than racking up volume, and that fits an offense that ranked 4th nationally in success rate but only 95th in explosiveness. Garrison Curry adds a modest four grabs and a score, while Zander Erasmus and Darion Griffin carry no production history but return to a group that lost only Nathan Levicki, whose line was empty anyway. With Matt Rahl's attack still leaning on efficiency over big plays, expect Vickerson and Curry to keep functioning as situational chain-movers rather than featured targets.

Presbyterian's offense turned in the 4th-best success rate in the country a year ago, but that efficiency came without much explosiveness, and six linemen who helped build it, including Collin Dudley, Anthony Marin, Noah Peterson, Caleb Rentz and Quory Ambrose, are gone. Elijah Bell, Mark Bothers, Mike Brennan, Stephen Brooks and Ellington Brooks-Lytle are back atop the depth chart, and East Carolina transfer Dru McClough arrives to help rebuild the interior, while Josh Berndt joins as a high school signee out of River Bluff rather than a portal addition. With the ground game already at 175 yards per game (31st) and third downs a weak spot at 42.5% (32nd), how this reshaped front handles both will decide whether Matt Rahl's offense keeps its identity or has to find a new one.

Presbyterian's front last year drove a defense that gave up just 4.34 yards per play, second nationally, and 117 rushing yards a game, but every name attached to that production, Carson Freese, Christian Ohagwu, Robert Porter, Carter Szydlowski and Alejandro Tovar, is gone. Matt Rahl now rebuilds around Dillon Bryant, Dallas Coy, Gerald Danner, Dandrevius Dorsey, Dalton Epps and Jaidyn Ferguson, none of whom carry prior statistics into 2026, with three-star signee Zayvion Hayes joining out of high school from Atlantic. That is a lot of unproven bodies replacing a group that helped hold opponents to 16.2 points a game, and the pass defense numbers (157 yards allowed, third nationally) will only hold if this rebuilt line can still get pressure without those departed names.

Presbyterian's defense finished 2nd in points allowed per game (16.2) and yards allowed per game (274) a year ago, but that unit's identity at linebacker walks out the door with Kyden Bailey, Jason Briones, Panos Burlos, Malek Horlback and Malik Lewis all departed. Raymond McCray is the only name back with any production on the stat sheet, and Lawton Cox, Ashton Drayton, Caysen Goss, Cade Lewis and Spears Martin all return without a recorded snap of statistical history. Matt Rahl's front held opponents to just 4.34 yards per play, ranked 2nd nationally, and the 2026 group has to prove it can hold that line with almost no measurable track record beyond McCray.

Presbyterian's secondary finished 2nd in the league in passing yards allowed per game (157) and yards per play allowed (4.34) last fall, and the group that produced it is largely intact. Camron Barber, Niko Clark, Clarence Coleman, Elijah Davis, Keith Elmore and Will Ferrell all return to anchor coverage, even with Caleb Francis, Zeb Stroup, Dillon Towles-Kendle and Willard Ferrell out of the picture. Signee Jaylen Dash arrives at cornerback out of Lake Marion, adding a fresh body to a back end that already has the pieces to keep opposing passing games checked.

Jett Jackson is the projected starter at kicker again after making 8 of 9 field goals with a 42-yard long a season ago, giving Matt Rahl a steady leg even with Peter Lipscombe gone. Thatcher Hutton is expected to handle the punting job, though his 33.3-yard average on just 6 punts leaves room for Connor Nettles, who averaged 34 yards on his lone attempt, to push for reps. Carlos Sexton returns at long snapper, taking over from departed Dixon Musgrove, and if that operation holds up, Presbyterian's placekicking stays a strength rather than a question mark.

Justin Montgomery Carries the Load

Presbyterian's real swing factor is Justin Montgomery, who ran for 799 yards and 7 touchdowns behind an offense that is otherwise breaking in Ty Englehart at quarterback. A recruiting class ranked 228th and a thin transfer haul, one in against four out, mean this roster is not stocked to replace lost production with fresh bodies, so Montgomery has to be the steady engine while Englehart and returning targets BJ Atkins and Jalen Patrick settle in. If Montgomery produces like he did a year ago, Presbyterian can lean on the run to protect a new starter, if he slips, there is little proven behind him to pick up the slack.

Matt Rahl's Margin Problem

Presbyterian went 10-2 straight up under Matt Rahl but broke even against the number at 5-5, and conference play is where bettors actually got burned, going 3-5 against the spread despite winning six of eight games outright. The split says this team piles up wins without piling up cushion, especially in Pioneer play where the scoreboard margin rarely matched the talent gap. The one bright spot for backers was road underdog spots, where Presbyterian covered all three chances, suggesting the number undervalues this group away from home more than the raw record lets on.

14 more sections in the full Presbyterian Blue Hose preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

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