Stat SavantPremium issuesMy teams
Highlights
Premium issue
2026
FCS
Football
Preview
124 teams, every conference's order of finish, the playoff bracket and a win probability on every game.
124 teams · 147 pages
$4.50 · Free with Major League
Premium issue · Out now
Every FCS team gets a page. The whole season gets a number.
147 pages: a page for each of the 124 teams with its schedule, a win probability on every game and what the roster returns; the projected playoff bracket; every conference's order of finish; and the modules, from the power poll to the toughest schedules.
Read it
$4.50
This issue, yours for the season. Every update included.
$3.99 a month
Major League: this issue and every issue, Stat Savant, Best Bets, unlimited follows.
30-day money-back guarantee on both. Already have it? Sign in and it opens.
In this issue · 147 pages
View FBS Preview · Talk with other fans
Modules · 9
Playoff Picture
p. 1
Power Poll
p. 2
Experience Report
p. 3
All-Americans
p. 4
Position Units
p. 5
Most Improved
p. 6
Bull & Bear
p. 7
Toughest Schedule
p. 8
Conference Rankings
p. 9
Conferences · 14
SWAC
12 teams · p. 10
Ivy
8 teams · p. 23
CAA
13 teams · p. 32
Southern
10 teams · p. 46
MVFC
9 teams · p. 57
Pioneer
11 teams · p. 67
Big Sky, MEAC, UAC
p. 79, 93, 100
Big South-OVC, NEC, Southland
p. 108, 117, 125
Patriot, FCS Independents
p. 135, 146
Teams · 124, one page each
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
MVFC · 9
Illinois State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 59
Indiana State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 65
Murray State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 66
North Dakota
Proj. 9-3 · p. 58
Northern Iowa
Proj. 4-7 · p. 64
South Dakota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 62
South Dakota State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 61
Southern Illinois
Proj. 8-4 · p. 60
Youngstown State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 63
Big Sky · 13
Cal Poly
Proj. 6-6 · p. 87
Eastern Washington
Proj. 5-7 · p. 88
Idaho
Proj. 5-7 · p. 86
Idaho State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 83
Montana
Proj. 9-3 · p. 81
Montana State
Proj. 10-2 · p. 80
Northern Arizona
Proj. 6-6 · p. 85
Northern Colorado
Proj. 4-8 · p. 89
Portland State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 92
Southern Utah
Proj. 7-5 · p. 84
UC Davis
Proj. 8-4 · p. 82
Utah Tech
Proj. 3-9 · p. 91
Weber State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 90
CAA · 13
Bryant
Proj. 4-8 · p. 43
Campbell
Proj. 5-8 · p. 41
Elon
Proj. 7-5 · p. 36
Hampton
Proj. 3-9 · p. 45
Maine
Proj. 5-6 · p. 38
Monmouth
Proj. 8-4 · p. 34
New Hampshire
Proj. 7-5 · p. 35
North Carolina A&T
Proj. 3-9 · p. 44
Rhode Island
Proj. 8-4 · p. 33
Sacred Heart
Proj. 5-6 · p. 40
Stony Brook
Proj. 7-5 · p. 37
Towson
Proj. 6-6 · p. 39
UAlbany
Proj. 4-8 · p. 42
Southern · 10
Chattanooga
Proj. 5-7 · p. 54
East Tennessee State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 49
Furman
Proj. 5-7 · p. 53
Mercer
Proj. 8-4 · p. 48
Samford
Proj. 3-9 · p. 55
Tennessee Tech
Proj. 8-4 · p. 47
The Citadel
Proj. 5-7 · p. 52
VMI
Proj. 3-9 · p. 56
Western Carolina
Proj. 7-6 · p. 50
Wofford
Proj. 6-6 · p. 51
UAC · 7
Abilene Christian
Proj. 7-5 · p. 102
Austin Peay
Proj. 7-5 · p. 103
Central Arkansas
Proj. 4-8 · p. 106
Eastern Kentucky
Proj. 5-7 · p. 105
North Alabama
Proj. 4-8 · p. 107
Tarleton State
Proj. 9-3 · p. 101
West Georgia
Proj. 6-6 · p. 104
Southland · 9
East Texas A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 132
Houston Christian
Proj. 2-10 · p. 133
Incarnate Word
Proj. 6-6 · p. 129
Lamar
Proj. 6-6 · p. 128
McNeese
Proj. 5-7 · p. 131
Nicholls
Proj. 6-6 · p. 130
Northwestern State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 134
SE Louisiana
Proj. 7-5 · p. 127
Stephen F. Austin
Proj. 9-3 · p. 126
OVC-Big South · 8
Charleston Southern
Proj. 5-7 · p. 112
Eastern Illinois
Proj. 4-8 · p. 115
Gardner-Webb
Proj. 6-6 · p. 109
Lindenwood
Proj. 5-6 · p. 111
Southeast Missouri State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 113
Tennessee State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 116
UT Martin
Proj. 6-6 · p. 110
Western Illinois
Proj. 5-7 · p. 114
Patriot · 10
Bucknell
Proj. 4-8 · p. 144
Colgate
Proj. 5-7 · p. 141
Fordham
Proj. 3-9 · p. 145
Georgetown
Proj. 4-7 · p. 143
Holy Cross
Proj. 5-7 · p. 140
Lafayette
Proj. 7-5 · p. 138
Lehigh
Proj. 9-3 · p. 136
Richmond
Proj. 6-6 · p. 142
Villanova
Proj. 9-3 · p. 137
William & Mary
Proj. 6-6 · p. 139
Ivy · 8
Brown
Proj. 4-6 · p. 29
Columbia
Proj. 4-6 · p. 31
Cornell
Proj. 4-6 · p. 30
Dartmouth
Proj. 5-5 · p. 26
Harvard
Proj. 7-3 · p. 25
Pennsylvania
Proj. 5-5 · p. 27
Princeton
Proj. 5-5 · p. 28
Yale
Proj. 7-3 · p. 24
NEC · 7
Central Connecticut
Proj. 5-6 · p. 118
Duquesne
Proj. 4-7 · p. 119
Long Island University
Proj. 5-7 · p. 120
Mercyhurst
Proj. 4-8 · p. 121
Robert Morris
Proj. 4-8 · p. 124
Stonehill
Proj. 4-8 · p. 122
Wagner
Proj. 4-8 · p. 123
Pioneer · 11
Butler
Proj. 4-8 · p. 74
Davidson
Proj. 3-9 · p. 77
Dayton
Proj. 6-5 · p. 72
Drake
Proj. 7-4 · p. 69
Marist
Proj. 5-7 · p. 73
Morehead State
Proj. 4-8 · p. 75
Presbyterian
Proj. 7-4 · p. 70
San Diego
Proj. 6-5 · p. 71
St. Thomas-Minnesota
Proj. 7-5 · p. 68
Stetson
Proj. 2-10 · p. 78
Valparaiso
Proj. 2-9 · p. 76
MEAC · 6
Delaware State
Proj. 6-6 · p. 96
Howard
Proj. 4-8 · p. 98
Morgan State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 97
Norfolk State
Proj. 3-9 · p. 99
North Carolina Central
Proj. 6-6 · p. 95
South Carolina State
Proj. 7-5 · p. 94
SWAC · 12
Alabama A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 18
Alabama State
Proj. 8-4 · p. 11
Alcorn State
Proj. 5-7 · p. 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Proj. 3-8 · p. 20
Bethune-Cookman
Proj. 6-6 · p. 14
Florida A&M
Proj. 4-8 · p. 19
Grambling
Proj. 4-7 · p. 16
Jackson State
Proj. 7-4 · p. 12
Mississippi Valley State
Proj. 2-10 · p. 21
Prairie View A&M
Proj. 7-5 · p. 13
Southern
Proj. 2-10 · p. 22
Texas Southern
Proj. 5-6 · p. 15
FCS Indep. · 1
Merrimack
Proj. 3-9 · p. 147

Samford Bulldogs 2026 Season Preview

Southern · John Grass · 1-11 last season · No. 109 in our FCS ratings

Grass Needs Points, Not Just Stops

Samford's defense allowing 37.9 points a game is a problem John Grass can address with numbers, but an offense that managed only 14.6 points a game behind Stober is the harder fix when 43% of the production walks back in the door.

Defense's vanishing depth

Can a defense returning just 33.2% of its production hold together long enough for Brady Stober to grow into the job? Samford loses two-thirds of last year's contributors on that side, and with almost no experienced pieces left to lean on, the unit is far likelier to bleed points early while the new faces sort themselves out than to stabilize fast. That puts more weight on Stober's growth curve than the offense alone can bear.

Grass Faces a Payday Trip to Auburn

The trip to Auburn is a paycheck game, a zero-percent proposition that exists to fund the program, not to be won. The actual season turns on the two road tests just after it, at UAB and at Tennessee Tech, both single-digit-to-low-teens shots that separate a competitive year from another lopsided one. Samford is favored at home against VMI and gets a coin-flip chance at a neutral site against North Alabama, so John Grass has a path to build a record around, but it runs through winning the games it is supposed to win before those long road trips decide whether 2026 looks any different from 2025.

Stober's Floor Is Three

The three wins on the page look about right for a program that finished ninth of ten in the Southern projection with a home record of 0-5 in the sample. Schedule difficulty checking in at 22 gives Grass a few winnable spots, but a defense that has to replace nearly all of its production won't bail out Stober often enough to push past that number. Three wins is the realistic ceiling here, not a floor to build past.

More premium issues

Every Premium Issue is included with Major League, or you can buy one on its own. Same treatment as the book you just read: a page for every team, the projections behind it, and the games that decide the season.

2026 NFL32 teams2026 NFL Preview, premium issue32 team pages, every division's order of finish, the bracket and a win probability on every game. Updated every Sunday through the season.$4.50Included with Major LeagueRead the preview →2026 College Football Playoff138 teams2026 College Football Playoff Preview, premium issue
Game emails · free

Your teams, before and after every game.

A preview two hours before the start and the box score minutes after the final. Free, and every email has its own off switch.

Leagues
NFLCollege footballMLBNBANHLWNBACollege basketball

A Season That Stalled

Samford closed 2025 at 1-11, 1-7 in league play, and the power rating (No. 109) backs up how thin the results were across the board. That kind of one-win season under John Grass leaves almost no margin, and the on-field product simply has to look different in 2026 for the record to move off the floor it hit last fall. Nothing in the 2025 results points to a quick fix, but a program at No. 109 has room to climb without needing to be confused with the top of the league.

Pass-Happy, Still Broken

Samford's offense was a lopsided operation in 2025, ranking 13th nationally in passing yards but 124th in rushing, and an offense that can't run the ball or protect a lead cost Grass a 1-11 season. Brady Stober, projected to start again after throwing for 1,240 yards with 7 touchdowns against 7 interceptions, has to cut down the turnovers that helped bury a defense allowing 37.9 points a game. Fix the ground game around Stober and the passing numbers finally mean something; leave it at 70 rushing yards per game and 2026 looks like the same one-dimensional attack that just went 1-7 in league play.

Samford's passing game put up 267 yards a game through the air, 13th nationally, while the ground game managed just 70 yards a game, 124th, a split that defined how lopsided this offense was. Both quarterbacks who ran that attack are gone, with Quincy Crittendon (1,672 yards, 6 TD, 6 INT) and Jake Bobo off the roster, taking the only proven arm out of a passing unit that was actually productive. Whoever John Grass installs under center inherits a rare situation, a bad offense (14.6 points per game, 122nd) that still found something through the air, and the job is to keep that passing identity intact while the rest of the offense catches up.

Ken Cherry (197 yards, 1 TD) and Cam Bland (145 yards, 1 TD) split carries behind a line that managed just 70 rushing yards per game, 124th nationally, so the ground game's problem was never a lack of bodies but a lack of push. C.J. Evans and his 243 yards are gone, but Clemson transfer Marquise Henderson, a four-star arrival, gives John Grass a back with a talent level this room hasn't had, and if he claims the early-down job over Cherry and Bland, Samford's rushing attack looks different than the 4.51-yards-per-play offense that finished 116th a year ago. With 267 passing yards per game already ranking 13th nationally, the ceiling here is not volume, it's whether Henderson or Zamarcus Lindley can turn a few more of those touches into explosive gains and take pressure off the pass.

Preston Bird's 53 catches for 617 yards and 4 scores are the foundation of a passing game that ranked 13th nationally in yards per game despite Samford's 1-11 season, and that gap is the story here: the ball moved through the air even as the offense stalled everywhere else. Jaden Gibson (44-405) and Torrey Ward (17-200, 1 TD) return to soften the loss of Calvin Jones, who paced the departed group with 61 catches and 6 touchdowns, while Sam Pickett III's 450 yards also walk out the door. With Bird, Gibson, Nick Crayton and Nicholas Bookman all back, John Grass has the pieces to keep pushing the ball downfield, but a 31.3% offensive success rate and a rushing attack stuck at 70 yards per game mean the receivers will again be asked to carry more than their share.

Samford's passing game ranked 13th nationally in yards per game a year ago, yet none of the five tight ends on the roster produced anything close to a target that stuck. Landon Beck, Grant Hidalgo, Cannon Pigg, Christian Roberts and David Theado all return without a catch on file, taking over a room whose only departing production was Vance Nicklaus's single grab for 21 yards. That volume of experience without a résumé leaves the position as pure projection for John Grass, even as the passing attack around it already ranks among the nation's best.

The numbers tell the real story up front: 70 rushing yards per game, 124th nationally, next to 267 through the air. Samford's front five got manhandled at the point of attack even as the passing game masked it, and John Grass brings in Moussa Seck and Beau Ball to help fix a run-blocking problem that a 31.3% success rate on offense made obvious every Saturday. Justin Perritt's departure adds to the rebuild along the interior, but the bigger question is whether either newcomer can turn 4.51 yards per play into something closer to respectable before the ground game costs this offense another season.

Samford's defensive line surrendered 6.51 yards per play (113th) and watched opposing passers pick apart a unit that finished 123rd in passing yards allowed, and none of that pressure came from the edge names now gone. Conroy Cunningham II and Donovan Grayson combined for just 8 tackles apiece, hardly game-wrecking production, but even that modest total departs alongside Maxton Woodward's lone sack and Andrew Jordan off the roster entirely. John Grass inherits a front that finished 115th in total yards allowed with essentially no proven pass rush to point to, which makes the passing-down problem, not the run defense that ranked a more respectable 81st, the unit's real inheritance for 2026.

Samford's defense allowed 455 yards a game last season, 115th nationally, with the passing defense sinking to 123rd, and the linebacker corps that watched it happen is nearly entirely gone. Jaden Mosley (22 tackles), Carson Sloan (14 tackles), Mailk Gaither and Deuce Caldwell II all depart, taking their combined tackle production off the field. John Grass adds Greg Williams, a three-star high school signee, to the room, but with no college statistics to his name yet, the immediate fix for a defense that let opponents stay on schedule 43.0% of the time has to come from whoever else is still in the building.

Samford's secondary was the season's soft spot, giving up 283 passing yards a game, 123rd nationally, and turning most trips down the field into scoring chances against a defense that allowed 37.9 points per contest. Nine defensive backs are gone, including both safeties who topped the tackle sheet, Amari Wansley and KeShawn Washington, and corners Nahil Perkins, Malik Thornton and Dee Newsome, so John Grass is reshaping the back end almost entirely through whoever arrives via transfer rather than trusting last year's group to fix itself. Until that transfer help is on campus and proven, the yards-per-play number (6.51, 113th nationally) is the more honest predictor of 2026 than any hope of quiet improvement.

Ty Ippolito made just 1 of 2 field goals last year, so the placekicking job is up for grabs among him, Ethan Fisher and Jacob Gettman, none of whom has proven anything yet in game action. The bigger swing is at punter, where Noah Jones and his 88 boots at 41.3 yards a punt are gone, handing the job to Will Thorley with zero recorded snaps to lean on. For a team that went 1-11 last season, special teams cannot afford to be a liability, and right now Samford is trusting two spots to players without a track record.

Brady Stober

Stober threw for 1,240 yards with as many interceptions as touchdowns last season, and now the job is his without Quincy Crittendon around to split snaps or absorb blame for a 1-11 team. Preston Bird's 53 catches give Stober a proven target, but with a recruiting class ranked 177th and almost no reinforcements arriving via the portal, this offense goes only as far as Stober can cut down the turnovers that plagued both quarterbacks in 2025.

Road Dogs, Home Duds

Samford's number tells a split story. On the road as an underdog, John Grass's team covered 80% of the time, four backdoor covers dressed up a 1-6 stretch of actual losses. At home the same club went winless against the spread, 0-5, including both tries as a favorite. Books priced Samford like a program still finding its floor, and the home number backed that up even when the road line let bettors sneak away clean.

14 more sections in the full Samford Bulldogs preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.

All FCS team previews

138 team pages, every conference's order of finish and a win probability on every game. Updated every Sunday through the season.
$4.50Included with Major LeagueRead the preview →
Today’s games
Standings & playoffs
Playoff pictureCFP pictureCFB rankingsCFB standingsCBB rankingsCBB preview 2026-27CBB transfer portalNFL scheduleCFB scheduleNFL draft orderSchedule strengthNFL rivalries
Most followed
Dallas CowboysKansas City ChiefsNew York YankeesBuffalo BillsDetroit LionsChicago BearsPittsburgh SteelersGreen Bay PackersNew York GiantsChicago CubsBoston Red SoxNotre Dame
Fantasy tools
Start/sit rankingsLineup checkWho’s playing tonightTrade analyzerWaiver wireYour Sleeper leagueDefense vs positionFantasy playoff scheduleNFL bye weeksNHL schedule gridNBA schedule gridHockey streamers
Betting tools & picks
Odds converterParlay calculatorHedge calculatorExpected valueBet size (Kelly)Teasers, round robinsLine movementClosing line valuePrediction marketsNFL picksCollege football picksMLB picksNHL picks
Read
Top plays last nightPlayer highlightsMLB walk-offsNews WireStat SavantBest BetsNFL preview 2026College football 2026Premium issuesBox Scores newsletterHow it worksHow we get our numbers
Highlights
Major League planInvite friendsPrivacyTermsLog in
Fantasy tools+−
Start/sit rankingsLineup checkWho’s playing tonightTrade analyzerWaiver wireYour Sleeper leagueDefense vs positionFantasy playoff scheduleNFL bye weeksNHL schedule gridNBA schedule gridHockey streamers
Betting tools & picks+−
Odds converterParlay calculatorHedge calculatorExpected valueBet size (Kelly)Teasers, round robinsLine movementClosing line valuePrediction marketsNFL picksCollege football picks
Standings & playoffs+−
Playoff pictureCFP pictureCFB rankingsCFB standingsCBB rankingsCBB preview 2026-27CBB transfer portalNFL scheduleCFB scheduleNFL draft orderSchedule strength
Leagues+−
NFLCollege footballMLBNBANHLWNBACollege basketballToday’s games
Most followed+−
Dallas CowboysKansas City ChiefsNew York YankeesBuffalo BillsDetroit LionsChicago BearsPittsburgh SteelersGreen Bay PackersNew York GiantsChicago CubsBoston Red Sox
Read+−
Top plays last nightPlayer highlightsMLB walk-offsNews WireStat SavantBest BetsNFL preview 2026College football 2026Premium issuesBox Scores newsletterHow it worksHow we get our numbers
Highlights+−
Major League planInvite friendsPrivacyTermsLog in
A Mainmarket brand · 135 York St, Brooklyn, NY 11201 · Not affiliated with any league or team
Betting tools are for information. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Scores, schedules, rosters and statistics come from public sports data feeds and are for information only. Odds, projections and win probabilities are for entertainment only and are not betting advice. Team names and marks belong to their owners and identify the clubs we cover. © 2026 MainMarket.com. All rights reserved.

MLB picks
NHL picks
NFL rivalries
Notre Dame