NFL playoff odds after Week 7, 2026

These are the odds as they stood after Week 7. The current odds, after Week 8.

AFC

Team

Playoffs

Div.

Bye

SB

Jaguars4-2

89%

85%

17%

10%

Chiefs5-1

87%

65%

23%

8%

Bengals4-2

84%

48%

17%

9%

Bills5-1

81%

55%

16%

6%

Patriots4-3

73%

41%

6%

5%

Steelers5-2

72%

29%

8%

4%

Broncos5-2

68%

30%

8%

3%

Browns5-2

54%

17%

3%

1%

Ravens4-3

33%

6%

1%

1%

Raiders3-4

21%

6%

<1%

1%

Texans2-5

17%

9%

<1%

1%

Jets2-5

11%

3%

<1%

<1%

Colts2-5

8%

5%

<1%

<1%

Dolphins1-5

3%

1%

<1%

<1%

Titans1-6

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

Chargers0-6

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

NFC

Team

Playoffs

Div.

Bye

SB

Vikings6-0

96%

70%

47%

14%

49ers6-1

96%

80%

33%

11%

Bears5-2

77%

15%

7%

6%

Seahawks4-3

64%

17%

3%

5%

Giants4-2-1

59%

52%

2%

1%

Lions4-2

54%

11%

5%

3%

Packers4-3

46%

4%

1%

2%

Cowboys3-4

45%

37%

1%

2%

Falcons3-4

42%

34%

1%

2%

Panthers3-3

37%

30%

1%

1%

Buccaneers2-5

32%

27%

<1%

2%

Rams3-4

27%

3%

<1%

1%

Saints2-5

10%

8%

<1%

<1%

Commanders1-4-1

7%

6%

<1%

<1%

Eagles2-5

7%

5%

<1%

<1%

Cardinals2-5

3%

<1%

<1%

<1%

Div. is winning the division; Bye is the No. 1 seed; SB is winning the Super Bowl. The line marks the seventh and last playoff spot. Each club is rated by its scoring margin this season against the schedule it played (margins capped at 21 points, 1.5 for home field, pulled toward average early in the year). The rest of the regular season is played 10,000 times from those ratings, with each club's rating redrawn within its uncertainty every time; the field is seeded the NFL's way and the playoffs are played out. Tiebreakers applied: head-to-head, division record and conference record; anything deeper is a coin flip. A forecast from the scores, not the betting market.