
All 32 teams get a page: last season’s results, who left in free agency, the draft class, and the schedule with a win probability on every game. Plus the projected 14-team bracket, division orders of finish, and where our number disagrees with the market.
NFC West · 3-14 in 2025Arizona Cardinals7-10 projected · SRS #25 · 73% returningMike LaFleur, Yr 1
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Atlanta Falcons8-9 projected · SRS #20 · 63% returningKevin Stefanski, Yr 1
AFC North · 8-9 in 2025Baltimore Ravens9-8 projected · SRS #13 · 81% returningJesse Minter, Yr 1
AFC East · 12-5 in 2025Buffalo Bills9-8 projected · SRS #8 · 70% returningJoe Brady, Yr 1
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Carolina Panthers8-9 projected · SRS #21 · 78% returningDave Canales, Yr 3
NFC North · 11-6 in 2025Chicago Bears8-9 projected · SRS #16 · 68% returningBen Johnson, Yr 2
AFC North · 6-11 in 2025Cincinnati Bengals8-9 projected · SRS #24 · 84% returningZac Taylor, Yr 8
AFC North · 5-12 in 2025Cleveland Browns7-10 projected · SRS #29 · 77% returningTodd Monken, Yr 1
NFC East · 7-9 in 2025Dallas Cowboys7-10 projected · SRS #23 · 79% returningBrian Schottenheimer, Yr 2
AFC West · 14-3 in 2025Denver Broncos9-8 projected · SRS #9 · 95% returningSean Payton, Yr 4
NFC North · 9-8 in 2025Detroit Lions10-7 projected · SRS #10 · 76% returningDan Campbell, Yr 6
NFC North · 9-7 in 2025Green Bay Packers9-8 projected · SRS #15 · 73% returningMatt LaFleur, Yr 8
AFC South · 12-5 in 2025Houston Texans10-7 projected · SRS #4 · 87% returningDeMeco Ryans, Yr 4
AFC South · 8-9 in 2025Indianapolis Colts10-7 projected · SRS #7 · 66% returningShane Steichen, Yr 4
AFC South · 13-4 in 2025Jacksonville Jaguars10-7 projected · SRS #3 · 77% returningLiam Coen, Yr 2
AFC West · 6-11 in 2025Kansas City Chiefs9-8 projected · SRS #12 · 70% returningAndy Reid, Yr 14
AFC West · 3-14 in 2025Las Vegas Raiders6-11 projected · SRS #31 · 76% returningKlint Kubiak, Yr 1
AFC West · 11-6 in 2025Los Angeles Chargers8-9 projected · SRS #14 · 87% returningJim Harbaugh, Yr 3
NFC West · 12-5 in 2025Los Angeles Rams11-6 projected · SRS #2 · 89% returningSean McVay, Yr 10
AFC East · 7-10 in 2025Miami Dolphins7-10 projected · SRS #28 · 51% returningJeff Hafley, Yr 1
NFC North · 9-8 in 2025Minnesota Vikings9-8 projected · SRS #18 · 85% returningKevin O’Connell, Yr 5
AFC East · 14-3 in 2025New England Patriots10-7 projected · SRS #6 · 76% returningMike Vrabel, Yr 2
NFC South · 6-11 in 2025New Orleans Saints8-9 projected · SRS #26 · 85% returningKellen Moore, Yr 2
NFC East · 4-13 in 2025New York Giants8-9 projected · SRS #22 · 68% returningJohn Harbaugh, Yr 1
AFC East · 3-14 in 2025New York Jets6-11 projected · SRS #32 · 62% returningAaron Glenn, Yr 2
NFC East · 11-6 in 2025Philadelphia Eagles9-8 projected · SRS #11 · 77% returningNick Sirianni, Yr 6
AFC North · 10-7 in 2025Pittsburgh Steelers9-8 projected · SRS #17 · 79% returningMike McCarthy, Yr 1
NFC West · 12-5 in 2025San Francisco 49ers10-7 projected · SRS #5 · 77% returningKyle Shanahan, Yr 10
NFC West · 14-3 in 2025Seattle Seahawks11-6 projected · SRS #1 · 86% returningMike Macdonald, Yr 3
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Tampa Bay Buccaneers9-8 projected · SRS #19 · 75% returningTodd Bowles, Yr 5
AFC South · 3-14 in 2025Tennessee Titans7-10 projected · SRS #30 · 74% returningRobert Saleh, Yr 1
NFC East · 5-12 in 2025Washington Commanders7-10 projected · SRS #27 · 66% returningDan Quinn, Yr 3AFC South · Robert Saleh, year 1 · 3-14 last season · No. 30 in our NFL ratings
Robert Saleh takes over a 3-14 team that gave up points cheaply on defense and left them on the field on offense, a formula that a rebuilt schedule and better luck on both fronts should not repeat in 2026.
Does Cam Ward have enough around him to prove last year's rookie numbers were just the floor? Chig Okonkwo's departure took real production out of the passing game, but Wan'Dale Robinson arrives off a 92-catch, 1,014-yard season with the Giants and gives Ward a legitimate target he never had in 2025. Daniel Bellinger and Michael Carter add pass-catching depth at tight end and out of the backfield, and the offense already returns 87.4% of its production around Ward. The bet here is yes: Robinson alone raises the passing-game ceiling enough that Ward's second year looks nothing like his first.
A 3-14 finish, punctuated by an 0-6 stretch against AFC South foes, badly undersold this roster, and an easier 2026 slate is the first sign of a correction. The projected 7-10 mark leans on splitting the eight true toss-up games on the schedule, going 6-of-8 in games like home dates with the Browns and Steelers. The real identity test comes at Jacksonville and Houston, where the Titans sit at just 28% to win each, and again at Indianapolis at 31%. Cedric Gray anchors the defense after finishing 5th in the league in tackles, but a unit that let opponents score cheaply a year ago, needing only 12.3 yards per point allowed, has to tighten up against exactly those low-probability opponents. Robert Saleh takes over a group whose turnover margin and points-for inefficiency both point toward improvement, not collapse, even if the schedule still runs a bit harder than the league median.
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The AFC South looks unwinnable again on paper, with the Titans projected 4th of 4 and a schedule slightly harder than most. But finishing last is not the same as staying bad. Robert Saleh inherits a defense anchored by Cedric Gray, who ranked 5th in the league in tackles, and a roster whose 3-14 record undersold real underlying quality. The model's 7-10 projection reads as a floor, not a ceiling, for a team that was closer to competent than its record showed.
Robert Saleh inherits a 3-14 wreck, but the number that should matter more is 12.3 yards per point allowed, well cheaper than the league median. That defense got scored on far too easily last year, a fixable problem more than a talent problem, especially with Cedric Gray anchoring things after finishing fifth in the league in tackles. The offense has the mirror issue, needing 15.5 yards for every point it scored, which points to wasted opportunities rather than a broken unit. A softer 2026 schedule and a turnover margin unlikely to stay at -6 both argue this roster performed below its actual level. None of that erases an 0-6 mark in AFC South play, but a first-year coach walking into a team this close to the average game script has more to work with than the record suggests.
Cam Ward threw for 3,169 yards and 15 touchdowns behind an offense that finished 31st in yards per play and let him get sacked 56 times. Those numbers were never going to add up to more than 16.7 points a game, and they didn't. Robert Saleh inherits that mess in year one, but the tape says the problem was structural, not Ward. The defense has a real anchor in Cedric Gray, who finished 5th in the league in tackles, yet it still got scored on cheaply, allowing 28.1 points a game despite ranking 12th in sacks. This roster's floor is higher than 3-14 suggests, but Ward needs a cleaner pocket before that shows up in points.
Cam Ward is the whole story here, and he needs to be better than the 4.40 yards per play this offense managed a year ago. His rookie line, 3,169 yards with 15 touchdowns against 7 interceptions, came inside an attack that finished 30th in scoring and 30th in passing yards per game, so the surrounding pieces failed him as much as he failed himself. Robert Saleh now has to build a passing game around him rather than hand him a competition. Behind Ward sits depth, not drama: Mitchell Trubisky arrives after throwing for 313 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception in limited action with Buffalo, Hendon Hooker joins from the Jets, and Will Levis remains in the room. None of that changes the calculus. This is Ward's offense to carry in 2026.
Tony Pollard is still the engine here, coming off 1,082 yards on a team that finished 30th in rushing yards per game. That gap between his production and the offense around him is the real story of Tennessee's ground game. Robert Saleh inherits a backfield with Tyjae Spears and Julius Chestnut back for depth, but the more interesting addition is Michael Carter, who ran for 333 yards in Arizona last season and gives the room a change-of-pace option behind Pollard. Nicholas Singleton, a fifth-round pick out of Penn State, joins as a rookie with no professional numbers yet. Fixing a 4.40 yards-per-play offense will take more than a backfield reshuffle, but Pollard gives Saleh a proven starting point.
Carnell Tate arrives as the fourth overall pick and the room's top-paid receiver, a clear signal that Robert Saleh's staff wants a true outside threat this passing game lacked. Wan'Dale Robinson joins from the Giants after catching 92 passes for 1,014 yards in New York, and he slots in as the underneath chain-mover that Tennessee's 166 passing yards per game desperately needed. Elic Ayomanor quietly outproduced Chimere Dike in yards last year, 515 to 423, and both return as the incumbents around whom this passing attack gets rebuilt. Calvin Ridley managed only 303 yards across seven games, and his health, not his talent, is the swing factor here. None of that fixes a passing game that ranked 30th in points per game on its own, but the pieces around it look far more dangerous than a year ago.
Gunnar Helm caught 44 passes for 357 yards, more than doubling the production of anyone else back in this room, and he's the clear focal point after Chig Okonkwo's departure stripped the group of its top target from a year ago. Tennessee didn't sit still behind him, bringing in Daniel Bellinger from the Giants, whose 19 catches and 286 yards last season give the passing game a second reliable option, and adding Kylen Granson from the Eagles for depth. That matters here specifically. This offense finished 30th in points per game and 30th in passing yards per game in 2025, and a tight end room needed more juice than David Martin-Robinson's 4 catches provided behind Helm. Robert Saleh's first year running this team will lean on Helm and Bellinger together to give whoever throws the ball an actual middle-of-the-field answer.
Robert Saleh inherits a line that allowed 56 sacks and helped produce only 93 rushing yards per game, 30th in the league. That collapse forced a near-total overhaul: 10 linemen are gone, including Kevin Zeitler and Lloyd Cushenberry III, against 10 returning names like Dan Moore Jr. and Garrett Dellinger. Peter Skoronski remains the anchor, and Andre James, Austin Deculus and Cordell Volson arrive from the Chargers and Bengals to reshape the interior and edges. JC Latham and Dan Moore Jr. give the tackle spots some continuity, but nobody on this roster produces a stat line to prove who actually starts. Fernando Carmona and Pat Coogan add rookie depth, though neither has played a professional snap yet. This is a rebuild in the truest sense, not a tweak.
Jeffery Simmons put up 11 sacks and 17 tackles for loss last season, and he remains the one certainty on a line Robert Saleh has almost entirely rebuilt around him. Twelve linemen are gone from that group, including Sebastian Joseph-Day and T'Vondre Sweat up front. In come John Franklin-Myers, who had 7.5 sacks for Denver, plus Jordan Elliott, Jacob Martin, Solomon Thomas and Jalyn Holmes, a wave of one-year deals meant to buy pass rush depth rather than replace it wholesale. That 2025 defense allowed 5.81 yards per play, 28th in the league, despite finishing 12th in sacks, a split that points to a line that got home on passing downs but bled yardage otherwise. First-round pick Keldric Faulk arrives with no professional snaps yet, so the immediate rush production still runs through Simmons and Franklin-Myers.
Cedric Gray is the anchor here, and his 161 tackles put him 4th in the league in 2025 even as everything around him churned. Robert Saleh inherits a front seven that leaked 28.1 points a game, 28th in the league, and responded by overhauling the edges rather than the middle. Jermaine Johnson II arrives from the Jets after 3 sacks and 5 TFL in 2025, and Mohamoud Diabate joins from Cleveland to pair with Jaylen Harrell's 4.5 sacks as pass-rush answers. Cody Barton, the room's highest-paid piece at $6.5M, brings 3 interceptions from the second level, while second-round pick Anthony Hill Jr. gets to learn behind Gray instead of being rushed into the lineup. A dozen linebackers left this offseason, but the pieces Saleh kept and added suggest he is betting on speed over what walked out the door.
Alontae Taylor arrives from the Saints as the highest-paid piece in the room at $22M, and he immediately becomes the best cover corner on the roster after logging 82 tackles and 2 interceptions in New Orleans last year. That matters because Robert Saleh inherits a secondary that allowed 28.1 points per game, 28th in the league, and lost 12 defensive backs including Darrell Baker Jr. and Xavier Woods. Amani Hooker remains the steadying presence at safety after playing in 16 games, and Cor'Dale Flott arrives from the Giants to line up at corner opposite Taylor. Tony Adams and Dominique Hampton add competition, but Taylor is the name this room is built around now. The talent gap between last year's coverage numbers and this new-look group is the whole story here.
Joey Slye stays put after making 28 of 35 field goals across 16 games, a steady enough leg that Tennessee never had to think twice about the position. The bigger swap sits at punter, where Tommy Townsend arrives from the Texans to replace Johnny Hekker. Hekker averaged 40.3 net yards on 78 punts last year, and Townsend actually topped that with a 41.6 net average on 72 punts in Houston. That is a real upgrade at a spot most teams treat as an afterthought. Morgan Cox remains the long snapper, the quiet constant while Robert Saleh reshapes almost everything else around him.
Robert Saleh's first roster overhaul in Tennessee runs almost entirely through the defensive front seven and secondary. The Jermaine Johnson II acquisition, sent from the Jets for T'Vondre Sweat, swaps a run-stuffing nose tackle for an edge rusher who posted 42 tackles and 3 sacks last season. Alontae Taylor arrives from New Orleans with 2 interceptions and 7 tackles for loss, aimed squarely at replacing the tackle production Kaiir Elam and Jalyn Armour-Davis take with them out the door. Cedric Gray, who finished 5th in the league in tackles a year ago, is the one piece of that unit nobody had to touch. Cam Ward returns as the projected quarterback, and Wan'Dale Robinson's 92 catches for the Giants gives him a target that Chig Okonkwo's departure leaves a real hole behind.
Cam Ward threw for 3,169 yards and 15 touchdowns as a rookie, but 7 interceptions and an offense that needed 15.5 yards for every point last season left too many drives dead. Tennessee didn't add a receiver in name only. Wan'Dale Robinson arrives from the Giants to give Ward a real target, while Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears keep the ground game stocked so Ward isn't forced into hero-ball throws. If Ward cuts down the interceptions and cashes in that yardage more efficiently, the whole offense looks different. Everything Robert Saleh wants to build in year one runs through what Ward becomes in year two.
A 3-14 record with a schedule that flips from 3.52 to 0.25 in difficulty tells a fuller story than the standings do. Tennessee's offense actually needed more yardage than the league median to score last year, a sign of inefficiency more than incompetence, and turnovers ran at -6 for the season, a figure that historically corrects itself. That defense got scored on cheaply too, allowing points on just 12.3 yards per, well below the median, which is the genuine weak spot Robert Saleh has to fix in year one regardless of the bounce elsewhere. Bettors have found little edge either way with this franchise historically, covering just 46% overall and 45% in AFC South games. The market has not caught up to the shift here, and that gap is the number worth watching in 2026.
15 more sections in the full Tennessee Titans preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.