All 32 teams get a page: last season’s results, who left in free agency, the draft class, and the schedule with a win probability on every game. Plus the projected 14-team bracket, division orders of finish, and where our number disagrees with the market.
NFC West · 3-14 in 2025Arizona Cardinals7-10 projected · SRS #25 · 73% returningMike LaFleur, Yr 1
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Atlanta Falcons8-9 projected · SRS #20 · 63% returningKevin Stefanski, Yr 1
AFC North · 8-9 in 2025Baltimore Ravens9-8 projected · SRS #13 · 81% returningJesse Minter, Yr 1
AFC East · 12-5 in 2025Buffalo Bills9-8 projected · SRS #8 · 70% returningJoe Brady, Yr 1
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Carolina Panthers8-9 projected · SRS #21 · 78% returningDave Canales, Yr 3
NFC North · 11-6 in 2025Chicago Bears8-9 projected · SRS #16 · 68% returningBen Johnson, Yr 2
AFC North · 6-11 in 2025Cincinnati Bengals8-9 projected · SRS #24 · 84% returningZac Taylor, Yr 8
AFC North · 5-12 in 2025Cleveland Browns7-10 projected · SRS #29 · 77% returningTodd Monken, Yr 1
NFC East · 7-9 in 2025Dallas Cowboys7-10 projected · SRS #23 · 79% returningBrian Schottenheimer, Yr 2
AFC West · 14-3 in 2025Denver Broncos9-8 projected · SRS #9 · 95% returningSean Payton, Yr 4
NFC North · 9-8 in 2025Detroit Lions10-7 projected · SRS #10 · 76% returningDan Campbell, Yr 6
NFC North · 9-7 in 2025Green Bay Packers9-8 projected · SRS #15 · 73% returningMatt LaFleur, Yr 8
AFC South · 12-5 in 2025Houston Texans10-7 projected · SRS #4 · 87% returningDeMeco Ryans, Yr 4
AFC South · 8-9 in 2025Indianapolis Colts10-7 projected · SRS #7 · 66% returningShane Steichen, Yr 4
AFC South · 13-4 in 2025Jacksonville Jaguars10-7 projected · SRS #3 · 77% returningLiam Coen, Yr 2
AFC West · 6-11 in 2025Kansas City Chiefs9-8 projected · SRS #12 · 70% returningAndy Reid, Yr 14
AFC West · 3-14 in 2025Las Vegas Raiders6-11 projected · SRS #31 · 76% returningKlint Kubiak, Yr 1
AFC West · 11-6 in 2025Los Angeles Chargers8-9 projected · SRS #14 · 87% returningJim Harbaugh, Yr 3
NFC West · 12-5 in 2025Los Angeles Rams11-6 projected · SRS #2 · 89% returningSean McVay, Yr 10
AFC East · 7-10 in 2025Miami Dolphins7-10 projected · SRS #28 · 51% returningJeff Hafley, Yr 1
NFC North · 9-8 in 2025Minnesota Vikings9-8 projected · SRS #18 · 85% returningKevin O’Connell, Yr 5
AFC East · 14-3 in 2025New England Patriots10-7 projected · SRS #6 · 76% returningMike Vrabel, Yr 2
NFC South · 6-11 in 2025New Orleans Saints8-9 projected · SRS #26 · 85% returningKellen Moore, Yr 2
NFC East · 4-13 in 2025New York Giants8-9 projected · SRS #22 · 68% returningJohn Harbaugh, Yr 1
AFC East · 3-14 in 2025New York Jets6-11 projected · SRS #32 · 62% returningAaron Glenn, Yr 2
NFC East · 11-6 in 2025Philadelphia Eagles9-8 projected · SRS #11 · 77% returningNick Sirianni, Yr 6
AFC North · 10-7 in 2025Pittsburgh Steelers9-8 projected · SRS #17 · 79% returningMike McCarthy, Yr 1
NFC West · 12-5 in 2025San Francisco 49ers10-7 projected · SRS #5 · 77% returningKyle Shanahan, Yr 10
NFC West · 14-3 in 2025Seattle Seahawks11-6 projected · SRS #1 · 86% returningMike Macdonald, Yr 3
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Tampa Bay Buccaneers9-8 projected · SRS #19 · 75% returningTodd Bowles, Yr 5
AFC South · 3-14 in 2025Tennessee Titans7-10 projected · SRS #30 · 74% returningRobert Saleh, Yr 1
NFC East · 5-12 in 2025Washington Commanders7-10 projected · SRS #27 · 66% returningDan Quinn, Yr 3
Most Improved · 2026 NFL Preview
The Bounce-Back Six
No team's record lied more than Kansas City's. A 6-11 finish with 70% of the roster back is the widest gap between last year's ledger and this year's talent on this list, and the model treats it as a correction waiting to happen. Arizona's 3-14 mark reads even worse against 73% returning, the kind of split that usually means bad luck more than bad football. The pattern across Baltimore, Detroit, Indianapolis and the Giants is the same story: veteran cores mostly intact, records that undersold them, and a division landscape none of them are built to stay buried in.
| Gain | Team | Last season to projected |
|---|---|---|
| +4 | Tennessee Titans | 3-14 to 7-10 |
| +4 | New York Giants | 4-13 to 8-9 |
| +4 | Arizona Cardinals | 3-14 to 7-10 |
| +3 | New York Jets | 3-14 to 6-11 |
| +3 | Las Vegas Raiders |
All 32 NFL team previews
Every team in the NFL book. Each one has its own preview: projected finish, what the roster returns, and the games that decide the season.
More premium issues
Every Premium Issue is included with Major League, or you can buy one on its own. Same treatment as the book you just read: a page for every team, the projections behind it, and the games that decide the season.
