
All 32 teams get a page: last season’s results, who left in free agency, the draft class, and the schedule with a win probability on every game. Plus the projected 14-team bracket, division orders of finish, and where our number disagrees with the market.
NFC West · 3-14 in 2025Arizona Cardinals7-10 projected · SRS #25 · 73% returningMike LaFleur, Yr 1
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Atlanta Falcons8-9 projected · SRS #20 · 63% returningKevin Stefanski, Yr 1
AFC North · 8-9 in 2025Baltimore Ravens9-8 projected · SRS #13 · 81% returningJesse Minter, Yr 1
AFC East · 12-5 in 2025Buffalo Bills9-8 projected · SRS #8 · 70% returningJoe Brady, Yr 1
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Carolina Panthers8-9 projected · SRS #21 · 78% returningDave Canales, Yr 3
NFC North · 11-6 in 2025Chicago Bears8-9 projected · SRS #16 · 68% returningBen Johnson, Yr 2
AFC North · 6-11 in 2025Cincinnati Bengals8-9 projected · SRS #24 · 84% returningZac Taylor, Yr 8
AFC North · 5-12 in 2025Cleveland Browns7-10 projected · SRS #29 · 77% returningTodd Monken, Yr 1
NFC East · 7-9 in 2025Dallas Cowboys7-10 projected · SRS #23 · 79% returningBrian Schottenheimer, Yr 2
AFC West · 14-3 in 2025Denver Broncos9-8 projected · SRS #9 · 95% returningSean Payton, Yr 4
NFC North · 9-8 in 2025Detroit Lions10-7 projected · SRS #10 · 76% returningDan Campbell, Yr 6
NFC North · 9-7 in 2025Green Bay Packers9-8 projected · SRS #15 · 73% returningMatt LaFleur, Yr 8
AFC South · 12-5 in 2025Houston Texans10-7 projected · SRS #4 · 87% returningDeMeco Ryans, Yr 4
AFC South · 8-9 in 2025Indianapolis Colts10-7 projected · SRS #7 · 66% returningShane Steichen, Yr 4
AFC South · 13-4 in 2025Jacksonville Jaguars10-7 projected · SRS #3 · 77% returningLiam Coen, Yr 2
AFC West · 6-11 in 2025Kansas City Chiefs9-8 projected · SRS #12 · 70% returningAndy Reid, Yr 14
AFC West · 3-14 in 2025Las Vegas Raiders6-11 projected · SRS #31 · 76% returningKlint Kubiak, Yr 1
AFC West · 11-6 in 2025Los Angeles Chargers8-9 projected · SRS #14 · 87% returningJim Harbaugh, Yr 3
NFC West · 12-5 in 2025Los Angeles Rams11-6 projected · SRS #2 · 89% returningSean McVay, Yr 10
AFC East · 7-10 in 2025Miami Dolphins7-10 projected · SRS #28 · 51% returningJeff Hafley, Yr 1
NFC North · 9-8 in 2025Minnesota Vikings9-8 projected · SRS #18 · 85% returningKevin O’Connell, Yr 5
AFC East · 14-3 in 2025New England Patriots10-7 projected · SRS #6 · 76% returningMike Vrabel, Yr 2
NFC South · 6-11 in 2025New Orleans Saints8-9 projected · SRS #26 · 85% returningKellen Moore, Yr 2
NFC East · 4-13 in 2025New York Giants8-9 projected · SRS #22 · 68% returningJohn Harbaugh, Yr 1
AFC East · 3-14 in 2025New York Jets6-11 projected · SRS #32 · 62% returningAaron Glenn, Yr 2
NFC East · 11-6 in 2025Philadelphia Eagles9-8 projected · SRS #11 · 77% returningNick Sirianni, Yr 6
AFC North · 10-7 in 2025Pittsburgh Steelers9-8 projected · SRS #17 · 79% returningMike McCarthy, Yr 1
NFC West · 12-5 in 2025San Francisco 49ers10-7 projected · SRS #5 · 77% returningKyle Shanahan, Yr 10
NFC West · 14-3 in 2025Seattle Seahawks11-6 projected · SRS #1 · 86% returningMike Macdonald, Yr 3
NFC South · 8-9 in 2025Tampa Bay Buccaneers9-8 projected · SRS #19 · 75% returningTodd Bowles, Yr 5
AFC South · 3-14 in 2025Tennessee Titans7-10 projected · SRS #30 · 74% returningRobert Saleh, Yr 1
NFC East · 5-12 in 2025Washington Commanders7-10 projected · SRS #27 · 66% returningDan Quinn, Yr 3AFC North · Zac Taylor, year 8 · 6-11 last season · No. 24 in our NFL ratings
Six wins in 2025 buried a defense that got scored on cheaply and an offense that finished drives efficiently, which is exactly why Cincinnati's real number entering 2026 is 24, not its power ranking gap from a year ago.
Can four new arrivals replace what Geno Stone alone provided in the back seven? Stone's 103 tackles and 2 interceptions in 16 games are gone, and Cincinnati answered not with one name but with Bryan Cook, Jonathan Allen, Boye Mafe and Kyle Dugger all arriving on defense for 2026. None of them matches Stone's tackle number by himself, but Cook's 84 tackles and Allen's 3.5 sacks and 7 tackles for loss spread that production across multiple bodies rather than concentrating it in one. Defensive returning production sits at just 78%, so this defense will look and feel different regardless of how the math shakes out. The most likely outcome is a unit that trades one standout for four solid contributors, which can work on paper without ever producing another single name defenders fear.
Cincinnati gets one of the softest schedules in the league in 2026, ranking 26th-hardest of 32 with 25 teams facing tougher slates. That is a gift for a roster built around Ja'Marr Chase, who ranked 3rd in the league in receptions last season, and Tee Higgins, who finished 2nd in receiving touchdowns. The real season lives in three games: at Texans, at Colts and at Ravens, the lowest win-probability tests on the board. Everything else leans close to a coin flip, with 13 true toss-ups deciding whether Zac Taylor's team climbs from 6-11 toward the projected 8-9. Hit 8 of those 13 and this offense has enough firepower up top to make the softer draw count.
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A schedule ranked 26th-hardest of 32 lands right when Cincinnati has Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins all back in the building. That draw, not the AFC North race, is the real edge here, since the Steelers already own the division at 10-7 and the Bengals are projected third again. Eight wins undersells a roster that finished drives efficiently a year ago and now gets a friendlier road to prove it. The floor is a defense still getting scored on cheaply, but the ceiling is a team whose talent finally matches its schedule.
Zac Taylor is starting year eight, longer than nearly anyone else running this roster's huddle, and that stability sits oddly next to a 6-11 finish and the No. 24 power rating attached to his name. The offense itself was not the problem. Ja'Marr Chase caught 125 passes, third in the league, and Tee Higgins turned 11 touchdown grabs into the second-most in the league, so the pieces around Taylor's system were producing at a real level. What went missing was the defense, which let opponents score cheaply, needing just 13.2 yards per point against a league median of 14.4. Eleven losses with that much receiving talent on the field is the actual case against this staff, not any single game or bounce.
The defining number here isn't a defensive rank. It's that Joe Burrow played just 8 of 17 games and the Bengals still hung 24.4 points per game, 12th in the league. That happened because Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins never blinked, with Chase's 125 catches ranking 3rd in the league and Higgins tying for 2nd with 11 touchdown grabs. A full season of Burrow, projected to start again, paired with that duo should push this offense well past 2025's marks. The real problem sits on defense, which allowed 381 yards per game, 31st in the league, and a rushing defense that gave up 147 yards per game, 32nd. Fixing that unit, not finding weapons, is what actually stands between Cincinnati and a jump in the standings.
Joe Burrow's 2026 outlook rests on availability more than talent, since his 1,809 yards came in just 8 of 17 games last season. When he sat, Joe Flacco threw for 2,479 yards but also 10 interceptions, a reminder of what Cincinnati is stuck with if Burrow misses time again. Behind them sits Sean Clifford, plus Josh Johnson, added from Washington after throwing for 372 yards there in 2025. Jake Browning is gone, taking his 771 yards and 6 touchdowns with him, which thins the proven depth further. None of that changes the math: this offense, 6th in passing yards per game, goes as far as a healthy Burrow carries it.
Chase Brown carried this backfield to 1,019 yards and stays the workhorse in 2026, but the ground game around him never matched his workload. Cincinnati finished 29th in rushing yards per game despite Brown's production, a gap that points at the blocking and complementary pieces more than the lead back. Samaje Perine remains the change-of-pace option behind him after 382 yards on the ground, while Tahj Brooks and Kendall Milton offer depth without much of a track record to lean on yet. Nothing here suggests a scheme overhaul. The bigger question is whether the offense finally builds a line that lets Brown's yardage translate into a rushing attack that ranks like his tape looks.
Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins remain one of the most dangerous duos in the league, with Chase finishing third in the league in catches and Higgins second in touchdown grabs despite missing time. That top two is not the story for 2026. The real question is behind them, where Cole Burgess, Jermaine Burton, Jamoi Mayes and Rashod Owens are all gone, thinning a room that already leaned heavily on Andrei Iosivas and Mitchell Tinsley in spot duty. Colbie Young arrives out of Georgia as a rookie drafted in the fourth round, and Cincinnati needs him to give Zac Taylor a third option who can actually take snaps off Chase and Higgins. If Young or Iosivas cannot round into a real complementary threat, this passing game stays a two-man operation trying to prop up an offense that finished just 12th in scoring.
Mike Gesicki topped this room with 28 catches for 307 yards last year, and his return means Cincinnati isn't starting from zero even with Noah Fant's 288 yards and 3 touchdowns gone to free agency. Tanner Hudson and Drew Sample both chip in as complementary options, and Erick All Jr. gives Zac Taylor another body who can work the middle of the field. The bigger swing is depth, not the top of the group. Cincinnati used a seventh-round pick on Jack Endries out of Texas, a low-cost flier rather than a plan to replace Fant's production outright. With a passing offense that ranked 6th in the league in yards per game, the tight ends still project as complementary pieces behind Cincinnati's receivers rather than the focal point.
A 94-yard rushing average, 29th in the league, was the loudest complaint about this Bengals offense in 2025, and the answer for 2026 is mostly the same faces. Amarius Mims, Orlando Brown Jr., Ted Karras, Dalton Risner, Dylan Fairchild and Cody Ford are all back, with 13 linemen returning against six departures including Seth McLaughlin, Cordell Volson and Andrew Raym. That volume of continuity argues against calling this a teardown, even with real names gone from the interior. Rookies Connor Lew and Brian Parker II arrived at center, drafted out of Auburn and Duke, but neither should be counted on for immediate answers. The pass protection held up fine last year, 36 sacks allowed ranked 14th, so the real project for Zac Taylor is finally getting push at the point of attack.
A line that allowed 147 rushing yards per game, 32nd in the league, needed more than a facelift. Trey Hendrickson and Joseph Ossai are both gone, taking real pass-rush production with them, and Cincinnati answered by pulling Jonathan Allen away from the Vikings after a 67-tackle, 3.5-sack year. Dexter Lawrence II anchors the interior alongside B.J. Hill and T.J. Slaton Jr., a trio that combined to eat blockers even as the run defense ranked among the league's worst. Myles Murphy's 5.5 sacks give the edge some juice, and the Bengals used a second-round pick on Cashius Howell to add juice off the edge behind him. The interior depth looks fine on paper, but until this group proves it can stop the run, 32nd is the number that matters most.
Barrett Carter and Demetrius Knight Jr. quietly formed the tackling backbone of a defense that still couldn't stop the run, giving up 147 yards per game on the ground, 32nd in the league. That's the real story here, not the departures of Brian Asamoah II, Craig Young and Isaiah Thomas. Knight's four tackles for loss and two interceptions suggest a playmaker, but the unit around him allowed 28.9 points per game, 30th in the league, and adding Boye Mafe off a 31-tackle, two-sack season in Seattle won't fix a run-defense problem by itself. Oren Burks returns as the room's highest-paid piece at a modest $2.3 million, which tells its own story about the state of this position group. Cincinnati's linebackers can rack up stops; whether they can turn that into stops that matter is the question for 2026.
Geno Stone's 103 tackles and 2 interceptions walk out the door, and the Bengals answered by importing two starting safeties rather than trusting the market. Bryan Cook arrives from Kansas City as the highest paid player in this room at $18M, pairing with Kyle Dugger, who came over from Pittsburgh after piling up 59 tackles and 2 interceptions. Jordan Battle still anchors the back end after his 123-tackle, 4-interception season, and Dax Hill remains the corner who tackles like a linebacker with 87 stops. The bigger question is whether a secondary that allowed 234 passing yards a game, 26th in the league, gets fixed by adding bodies or by scheme. Cincinnati also drafted Tacario Davis in the third round, a developmental corner behind a room that just got a lot more expensive and a lot more veteran.
Evan McPherson missed only three field goals in 2025, and his leg remains the steadiest thing about this roster. Ryan Rehkow's 42.9 net average gives Cincinnati a real weapon at punter, not just a placeholder, and he now carries the highest salary in this room. William Wagner returns at long snapper with no 2025 numbers on file, but that says nothing about his standing. This is a unit built on continuity rather than a fix job. Zac Taylor, entering year eight, does not need to search here while the offense and defense sort themselves out.
Trey Hendrickson's departure gutted the pass rush, but Cincinnati answered with volume rather than a single replacement. Jonathan Allen arrives after a 3.5-sack, 7-TFL season in Minnesota, Boye Mafe adds another edge presence, and the club used its second pick on Cashius Howell to restock the group further. The secondary turns over almost entirely, with Bryan Cook and Kyle Dugger in for the departed Geno Stone, Tycen Anderson and Cam Taylor-Britt, while Tacario Davis joins after Cincinnati drafted him. None of that touches the offense's real question, since Joe Burrow returns as the projected starter after his 2025 season was cut short, and Noah Fant's exit at tight end is the lone notable loss on that side. Dexter Lawrence II came aboard in exchange for a first-round pick, a real bet that this defense can be rebuilt fast rather than gradually.
Everything the Bengals want to be traces back to Joe Burrow staying on the field. He played just 8 games in 2025, throwing 17 touchdowns against only 5 interceptions, while Joe Flacco filled in for 13 starts and tossed 10 picks. That gap is the whole season. Ja'Marr Chase and Chase Brown give Burrow a ready-made attack the moment he is healthy, but nothing else on this roster replicates what he does when he plays.
Bet the road, fade the couch. Zac Taylor's Bengals have covered 61% of the time away from home, going 52-33 against the spread on the road, while their home number sits at a coin flip. That split gets more interesting once the bigger picture sets in: a 6-11 record that undersold this roster, with Ja'Marr Chase (125 catches, 3rd in the league) and Tee Higgins (11 receiving touchdowns, 2nd in the league) still the engine. As road underdogs specifically, Cincinnati has covered at a 61% clip, a profile bettors should keep leaning on until the home number catches up. Division games have been dead even against the spread at 30-30-1, so the value here is geographic, not divisional.
15 more sections in the full Cincinnati Bengals preview — the verdict, every position group, the roster churn and the projected finish.