NBA playoff odds 2026-27

Eastern Conference

Team

Proj.

Playoffs

Top 6

Final

Title

Pistons3-0

55

98%

94%

33%

16%

Celtics1-1

49

88%

78%

16%

7%

Hawks2-1

48

86%

75%

13%

5%

Raptors2-1

45

78%

62%

8%

3%

76ers3-1

44

74%

56%

6%

2%

Cavaliers1-1

44

71%

54%

7%

3%

Knicks0-3

42

66%

46%

6%

2%

Hornets2-1

43

66%

47%

5%

2%

Magic1-2

40

53%

33%

3%

1%

Heat0-3

37

38%

20%

2%

1%

Pacers2-1

35

28%

13%

1%

<1%

Bulls1-2

33

20%

9%

1%

<1%

Wizards2-1

31

14%

6%

<1%

<1%

Bucks0-3

30

14%

5%

<1%

<1%

Nets0-3

26

6%

2%

<1%

<1%

Western Conference

Team

Proj.

Playoffs

Top 6

Final

Title

Thunder3-0

56

97%

92%

28%

18%

Timberwolves3-0

54

94%

86%

20%

13%

Rockets3-0

52

90%

80%

13%

8%

Spurs1-2

49

84%

67%

11%

6%

Lakers3-0

48

80%

64%

8%

5%

Nuggets1-1

45

69%

48%

6%

3%

Trail Blazers2-0

45

68%

49%

5%

3%

Clippers1-2

43

61%

39%

4%

2%

Suns1-1

41

47%

27%

2%

1%

Grizzlies3-0

40

43%

23%

1%

<1%

Warriors0-3

35

23%

10%

1%

<1%

Mavericks1-2

34

19%

8%

<1%

<1%

Pelicans0-3

33

16%

6%

<1%

<1%

Jazz1-2

29

6%

2%

<1%

<1%

Kings0-3

25

3%

1%

<1%

<1%

Proj. is average wins over the 82 games. Top 6 is finishing in the top six and skipping the play-in; Playoffs counts getting in through the play-in too. The line marks the play-in cut. Final is reaching the NBA Finals; Title is winning it. Each club is rated by its scoring margin this season against the schedule it played, adjusted for home court (2.2 points) and started from last season's rating, which counts for less as the season's games add up. The rest of the regular season is played 10,000 times, with each club's rating redrawn within its uncertainty every time; the two NBA Cup games not yet scheduled are played against an average club. Each conference is seeded on wins (ties are a coin flip), 7 to 10 play the play-in, and every playoff round is played out best of seven. A forecast from the scores, not the betting market.