Los Angeles Clippers playoff chances
61% to make the playoffs.
The Clippers (1-2) make the playoffs in 61% of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. That is 39% in the top six and straight in, and 42% in the play-in. They finish about 43-39 on average. A win over the Lakers on Wednesday, October 28 would put them at 68%; a loss, 53%.
The Clippers, 2026-27
Next game
Home to the Lakers, Wed, Oct 28. The model gives them 52% to win it. Win and their playoff chance is 68%; lose and it is 53%.
The rest of the West
Thunder 97%, Timberwolves 94%, Rockets 90%, Spurs 84%, Lakers 80%, Nuggets 69%, Trail Blazers 68%, Suns 47%, Grizzlies 43%, Warriors 23%. Every team: NBA playoff odds.
Each club is rated by its scoring margin this season against the schedule it played, adjusted for home court (2.2 points) and started from last season's rating, which counts for less as the season's games add up. The rest of the regular season is played 10,000 times, with each club's rating redrawn within its uncertainty every time; the two NBA Cup games not yet scheduled are played against an average club. Each conference is seeded on wins (ties are a coin flip), 7 to 10 play the play-in, and every playoff round is played out best of seven. A forecast from the scores, not the betting market.
Questions
What are the Clippers' chances of making the playoffs?
The Clippers (1-2) make the playoffs in 61% of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. That is 39% in the top six and straight in, and 42% in the play-in. They finish about 43-39 on average. A win over the Lakers on Wednesday, October 28 would put them at 68%; a loss, 53%.
Can the Clippers win the NBA title?
In 2% of simulations. They reach the NBA Finals in 4% and win a playoff round in 24%.
How much does the Clippers' next game matter?
Win and their playoff chance is 68%; lose and it is 53%. The model gives them a 52% chance to win it.