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NHL playoff odds · 2026-27

NHL playoff odds 2026-27

Every team's playoff chances.

10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs. The Bruins win the Stanley Cup most often, 12%, then the Hurricanes at 11%. The closest calls: the Devils (51%) and the Canadiens (52%).

Eastern Conference

Team
Playoffs
Div.
Title
Bruins9-2-1
93%
51%
12%
Hurricanes9-2-2
91%
54%
11%
Lightning7-3-1
76%
19%
5%
Senators8-4-0
67%
12%
4%
Rangers7-5-1
63%
13%
3%
Capitals6-4-0
60%
12%
3%
Maple Leafs7-4-2
59%
7%
3%
Canadiens6-3-2
52%
6%
3%
Devils7-4-0
51%
9%
2%
Islanders5-4-2
41%
6%
1%
Penguins5-6-1
37%
5%
2%
Panthers6-4-2
29%
2%
1%
Sabres4-4-3
25%
2%
1%
Blue Jackets4-5-0
22%
2%
1%
Red Wings4-4-3
21%
1%
1%
Flyers3-7-3
11%
<1%
<1%

Western Conference

Team
Playoffs
Div.
Title
Oilers8-2-1
89%
46%
6%
Stars7-3-1
87%
28%
8%
Wild8-3-2
85%
25%
7%
Avalanche6-5-1
83%
21%
8%
Golden Knights8-4-1
80%
28%
5%
Mammoth8-4-0
78%
16%
5%
Kraken7-4-1
59%
12%
2%
Predators4-3-4
46%
4%
2%
Blues5-5-1
43%
3%
2%
Sharks6-5-1
43%
6%
1%
Jets4-4-3
35%
2%
1%
Ducks5-6-0
35%
4%
1%
Kings2-5-2
22%
2%
<1%
Flames4-6-0
11%
1%
<1%
Blackhawks3-8-0
3%
<1%
<1%
Canucks2-10-1
1%
<1%
<1%

Proj. is average points over the 84 games. Div. is winning the division. The line marks the eighth playoff spot. Final is reaching the Stanley Cup Final; Title is winning it. Each club is rated by its goal margin this season against the schedule it played, adjusted for home ice and started from last season's rating, which counts for less as the season's games add up. The rest of the 84-game season is played 10,000 times, with each club's rating redrawn within its uncertainty every time; about one game in four goes past regulation and the loser takes a point. The field is the top three in each division and two wild cards per conference, ranked on points, then regulation wins, then wins, and every round is played out best of seven. A forecast from the scores, not the betting market.

Questions

Who is most likely to win the Stanley Cup?

The Bruins at 12%, then the Hurricanes at 11% and the Stars at 8%.

How are these NHL playoff odds calculated?

Each club is rated by its goal margin this season against the schedule it played, adjusted for home ice and started from last season's rating, which counts for less as the season's games add up. The rest of the 84-game season is played 10,000 times, with each club's rating redrawn within its uncertainty every time; about one game in four goes past regulation and the loser takes a point. The field is the top three in each division and two wild cards per conference, ranked on points, then regulation wins, then wins, and every round is played out best of seven. A forecast from the scores, not the betting market.

How many teams make the NHL playoffs?

Sixteen, eight per conference: the top three in each of the four divisions and the two best of the rest in each conference, the wild cards. The division winner with more points meets the second wild card.