Winnipeg Jets playoff chances
35% to make the playoffs.
The Jets (4-4-3, 11 points) make the playoffs in 35% of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They win the division 2% of the time and finish with about 89 points on average. A win over the Panthers on Tuesday, October 27 would put them at 42%; a loss, 27%.
The Jets, 2026-27
Next game
Home to the Panthers, Tue, Oct 27. The model gives them 53% to win it. Win and their playoff chance is 42%; lose and it is 27%.
The rest of the West
Oilers 89%, Stars 87%, Wild 85%, Avalanche 83%, Golden Knights 80%, Mammoth 78%, Kraken 59%, Predators 46%, Blues 43%, Sharks 43%. Every team: NHL playoff odds.
Each club is rated by its goal margin this season against the schedule it played, adjusted for home ice and started from last season's rating, which counts for less as the season's games add up. The rest of the 84-game season is played 10,000 times, with each club's rating redrawn within its uncertainty every time; about one game in four goes past regulation and the loser takes a point. The field is the top three in each division and two wild cards per conference, ranked on points, then regulation wins, then wins, and every round is played out best of seven. A forecast from the scores, not the betting market.
Questions
What are the Jets' chances of making the playoffs?
The Jets (4-4-3, 11 points) make the playoffs in 35% of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They win the division 2% of the time and finish with about 89 points on average. A win over the Panthers on Tuesday, October 27 would put them at 42%; a loss, 27%.
Can the Jets win the Stanley Cup?
In 1% of simulations. They reach the Stanley Cup Final in 3% and win a playoff round in 13%.
How much does the Jets' next game matter?
Win and their playoff chance is 42%; lose and it is 27%. The model gives them a 53% chance to win it.