Seattle Kraken playoff chances
59% to make the playoffs.
The Kraken (7-4-1, 15 points) make the playoffs in 59% of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They win the division 12% of the time and finish with about 94 points on average. A win over the Maple Leafs on Wednesday, October 28 would put them at 66%; a loss, 52%.
The Kraken, 2026-27
Next game
Home to the Maple Leafs, Wed, Oct 28. The model gives them 49% to win it. Win and their playoff chance is 66%; lose and it is 52%.
The rest of the West
Oilers 89%, Stars 87%, Wild 85%, Avalanche 83%, Golden Knights 80%, Mammoth 78%, Predators 46%, Blues 43%, Sharks 43%, Jets 35%. Every team: NHL playoff odds.
Each club is rated by its goal margin this season against the schedule it played, adjusted for home ice and started from last season's rating, which counts for less as the season's games add up. The rest of the 84-game season is played 10,000 times, with each club's rating redrawn within its uncertainty every time; about one game in four goes past regulation and the loser takes a point. The field is the top three in each division and two wild cards per conference, ranked on points, then regulation wins, then wins, and every round is played out best of seven. A forecast from the scores, not the betting market.
Questions
What are the Kraken's chances of making the playoffs?
The Kraken (7-4-1, 15 points) make the playoffs in 59% of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They win the division 12% of the time and finish with about 94 points on average. A win over the Maple Leafs on Wednesday, October 28 would put them at 66%; a loss, 52%.
Can the Kraken win the Stanley Cup?
In 2% of simulations. They reach the Stanley Cup Final in 5% and win a playoff round in 27%.
How much does the Kraken's next game matter?
Win and their playoff chance is 66%; lose and it is 52%. The model gives them a 49% chance to win it.