Carolina Hurricanes playoff chances
91% to make the playoffs.
The Hurricanes (9-2-2, 20 points) make the playoffs in 91% of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They win the division 54% of the time and finish with about 112 points on average. A win over the Bruins on Tuesday, October 27 would put them at 94%; a loss, 88%.
The Hurricanes, 2026-27
Next game
Home to the Bruins, Tue, Oct 27. The model gives them 51% to win it. Win and their playoff chance is 94%; lose and it is 88%.
The rest of the East
Bruins 93%, Lightning 76%, Senators 67%, Rangers 63%, Capitals 60%, Maple Leafs 59%, Canadiens 52%, Devils 51%, Islanders 41%, Penguins 37%. Every team: NHL playoff odds.
Each club is rated by its goal margin this season against the schedule it played, adjusted for home ice and started from last season's rating, which counts for less as the season's games add up. The rest of the 84-game season is played 10,000 times, with each club's rating redrawn within its uncertainty every time; about one game in four goes past regulation and the loser takes a point. The field is the top three in each division and two wild cards per conference, ranked on points, then regulation wins, then wins, and every round is played out best of seven. A forecast from the scores, not the betting market.
Questions
What are the Hurricanes' chances of making the playoffs?
The Hurricanes (9-2-2, 20 points) make the playoffs in 91% of 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. They win the division 54% of the time and finish with about 112 points on average. A win over the Bruins on Tuesday, October 27 would put them at 94%; a loss, 88%.
Can the Hurricanes win the Stanley Cup?
In 11% of simulations. They reach the Stanley Cup Final in 18% and win a playoff round in 57%.
How much does the Hurricanes' next game matter?
Win and their playoff chance is 94%; lose and it is 88%. The model gives them a 51% chance to win it.