Josh Allen leads the NFL in completion percentage over expected
Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills leads the NFL in completion percentage over expected in the 2026 season at +6.0, against a league average of +0.9, as of October 5, 2026.
One number, the league’s average beside it, and the top 16. Every figure here is from the 2026 season.
The number
5.1 points above the league average of +0.9. How much more often a quarterback completes passes than an average passer would on the same throws. On its own a figure is only a size, which is why the league's number sits beside it.
| # | The rest of the board | Completion percentage over expected | Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Josh Allen · Buffalo Bills 119 attempts | +6.0 | 119 attempts |
| 2 |  Joe Burrow · Cincinnati Bengals 157 attempts | +5.6 | 157 attempts |
| 3 |  Dak Prescott · Dallas Cowboys 150 attempts | +5.4 | 150 attempts |
| 4 |  Bryce Young · Carolina Panthers 121 attempts | +4.5 | 121 attempts |
| 5 |  Tyler Shough · New Orleans Saints 132 attempts | +4.5 | 132 attempts |
| 6 |  Cam Ward · Tennessee Titans 119 attempts | +2.9 | 119 attempts |
| 7 |  Jacoby Brissett · Arizona Cardinals 152 attempts | +2.1 | 152 attempts |
| 8 |  Kirk Cousins · Las Vegas Raiders 144 attempts | +1.6 | 144 attempts |
| 9 |  Patrick Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs 128 attempts | +0.8 | 128 attempts |
| 10 |  C.J. Stroud · Houston Texans 151 attempts | +0.7 | 151 attempts |
| 11 |  Matthew Stafford · Los Angeles Rams 162 attempts | -0.1 | 162 attempts |
| 12 |  Daniel Jones · Indianapolis Colts 132 attempts | -1.7 | 132 attempts |
| 13 |  Bo Nix · Denver Broncos 135 attempts | -3.1 | 135 attempts |
| 14 |  Aaron Rodgers · Pittsburgh Steelers 153 attempts | -3.5 | 153 attempts |
| 15 |  Justin Herbert · Los Angeles Chargers 119 attempts | -4.1 | 119 attempts |
| 16 |  Jordan Love · Green Bay Packers 154 attempts | -7.0 | 154 attempts |
Source: nflverse play-by-play, 2026 season. League average across 16 qualified players (119 attempts minimum, the board's own median sample). The lead is 1.3 standard deviations (sd) above the field: the unit the directory ranks leads by, because it lets a rate and a speed share one list. Measured (); the boards refresh twice a day.