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Stat SavantPremium issuesMy teams
NFL picks · Week 5 · Graded against the final
NFLCollegeMLB playoffsNHLNBALast week
NFL picks · Week 5

Week 5: we went 9‑5.

Our pick for every NFL Week 5 game, graded against the final score.

Our pick for every NFL Week 5 game, graded against the final score.

NFLCollegeMLB playoffsNHLNBALast week
Game
Line
Our score
Our pick
Result
Buccaneers at Cowboys
Cowboys · DAL −9.5 · Thu 8:15 PM · Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16 · we missed
DAL −9.5
DAL 29–19
Cowboys
Lost
Eagles at Jaguars
Jaguars · JAX −8 · Sun 9:30 AM · Eagles 17, Jaguars 19 · we had it
JAX −8
JAX 25–16
Jaguars
Won
Bears at Packers
Bears · CHI −1.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Bears 7, Packers 31 · we missed
CHI −1.5
CHI 24–22
Bears
Lost
Bengals at Dolphins
Bengals · CIN −7 · Sun 1:00 PM · Bengals 31, Dolphins 24 · we had it
CIN −7
CIN 27–17
Bengals
Won
Giants at Commanders
Giants · WAS −3.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Giants 27, Commanders 27
WAS −3.5
NYG 22–20
Giants
Tie
Raiders at Patriots
Patriots · NE −3.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Raiders 17, Patriots 45 · we had it
NE −3.5
NE 23–22
Patriots
Won
Vikings at Saints
Vikings · MIN −2.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Vikings 23, Saints 13 · we had it
MIN −2.5
MIN 22–21
Vikings
Won
Browns at Jets
Jets · NYJ −2.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Browns 12, Jets 17 · we had it
NYJ −2.5
NYJ 23–17
Jets
Won
Colts at Steelers
Steelers · PIT −3 · Sun 1:00 PM · Colts 22, Steelers 34 · we had it
PIT −3
PIT 24–19
Steelers
Won
Texans at Titans
Texans · HOU −6.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Texans 26, Titans 3 · we had it
HOU −6.5
HOU 21–17
Texans
Won
Broncos at Chargers
Broncos · DEN −3.5 · Sun 4:05 PM · Broncos 23, Chargers 17 · we had it
DEN −3.5
DEN 22–21
Broncos
Won
Lions at Cardinals
Lions · DET −5.5 · Sun 4:25 PM · Lions 45, Cardinals 21 · we had it
DET −5.5
DET 29–26
Lions
Won
49ers at Seahawks
Seahawks · SEA −3 · Sun 4:25 PM · 49ers 32, Seahawks 29 · we missed
SEA −3
SEA 24–23
Seahawks
Lost
Ravens at Falcons
Falcons · ATL −3.5 · Sun 8:20 PM · Ravens 30, Falcons 23 · we missed
ATL −3.5
ATL 22–21
Falcons
Lost
Bills at Rams
Rams · LAR −3.5 · Mon 8:15 PM · Bills 37, Rams 34 · we missed
LAR −3.5
LAR 28–27
Rams
Lost

Our score is the model’s projection, frozen before kickoff, so the record can be checked against it. Line: the closing consensus. Picks, not betting advice. 21+, where legal.

Our record, straight up
50‑28
64% of games this season
Week 59‑5Week 410‑6Week 39‑7Week 211‑5Week 111‑5