NFL picks · Week 1 · Graded against the final
NFL picks · Week 1
Week 1: we went 11‑5.
Our pick for every NFL Week 1 game, graded against the final score.
Our pick for every NFL Week 1 game, graded against the final score.
Game
Line
Our score
Our pick
Result
Patriots at Seahawks
Seahawks · SEA −3 · Wed 8:20 PM · Patriots 10, Seahawks 13 · we had it
SEA −3
SEA 25–19
Seahawks
Won
49ers at Rams
Rams · LAR −3.5 · Thu 8:35 PM · 49ers 27, Rams 7 · we missed
LAR −3.5
LAR 27–22
Rams
Lost
Bears at Panthers
Bears · CHI −3 · Sun 1:00 PM · Bears 59, Panthers 37 · we had it
CHI −3
CHI 27–21
Bears
Won
Bills at Texans
Bills · BUF −1.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Bills 36, Texans 31 · we had it
BUF −1.5
BUF 25–20
Bills
Won
Browns at Jaguars
Jaguars · JAX −8.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Browns 10, Jaguars 34 · we had it
JAX −8.5
JAX 25–15
Jaguars
Won
Falcons at Steelers
Steelers · PIT −6.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Falcons 13, Steelers 20 · we had it
PIT −6.5
PIT 22–19
Steelers
Won
Jets at Titans
Titans · TEN −1.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Jets 23, Titans 10 · we missed
TEN −1.5
TEN 21–17
Titans
Lost
Saints at Lions
Lions · DET −7 · Sun 1:00 PM · Saints 30, Lions 31 · we had it
DET −7
DET 30–20
Lions
Won
Ravens at Colts
Ravens · BAL −3 · Sun 1:00 PM · Ravens 41, Colts 23 · we had it
BAL −3
BAL 27–21
Ravens
Won
Buccaneers at Bengals
Bengals · CIN −3.5 · Sun 1:00 PM · Buccaneers 27, Bengals 33 · we had it
CIN −3.5
CIN 29–22
Bengals
Won
Dolphins at Raiders
Raiders · LV −3 · Sun 4:25 PM · Dolphins 13, Raiders 27 · we had it
LV −3
LV 23–18
Raiders
Won
Packers at Vikings
Packers · MIN −2 · Sun 4:25 PM · Packers 22, Vikings 39 · we missed
MIN −2
GB 24–23
Packers
Lost
Commanders at Eagles
Eagles · PHI −6 · Sun 4:25 PM · Commanders 22, Eagles 24 · we had it
PHI −6
PHI 24–21
Eagles
Won
Cardinals at Chargers
Chargers · LAC −9 · Sun 4:25 PM · Cardinals 26, Chargers 14 · we missed
LAC −9
LAC 27–20
Chargers
Lost
Cowboys at Giants
Giants · DAL −3 · Sun 8:20 PM · Cowboys 20, Giants 28 · we had it
DAL −3
NYG 25–24
Giants
Won
Broncos at Chiefs
Broncos · KC −2.5 · Mon 8:15 PM · Broncos 10, Chiefs 31 · we missed
KC −2.5
DEN 23–22
Broncos
Lost
Our score is the model’s projection, frozen before kickoff, so the record can be checked against it. Line: the closing consensus. Picks, not betting advice. 21+, where legal.