Yordan Alvarez leads MLB in expected batting average
Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros leads MLB in expected batting average in the 2026 season at .318, against a league average of .248, as of October 5, 2026.
One number, the league’s average beside it, and the top 25. Every figure here is from the 2026 season.
The number
.070 above the league average of .248. The batting average a hitter's contact should have produced, with the fielders and the ballpark taken out. On its own a figure is only a size, which is why the league's number sits beside it.
| # | The rest of the board | Expected batting average | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Yordan Alvarez · Houston Astros .316 actual | .318 | .316 actual |
| 2 |  Bobby Witt Jr. · Kansas City Royals .281 actual | .302 | .281 actual |
| 3 |  Nico Hoerner · Chicago Cubs .263 actual | .297 | .263 actual |
| 4 |  Fernando Tatis Jr. · San Diego Padres .289 actual | .296 | .289 actual |
| 5 |  Juan Soto · New York Mets .275 actual | .295 | .275 actual |
| 6 |  Freddie Freeman · Los Angeles Dodgers .288 actual | .290 | .288 actual |
| 7 |  Michael Harris II · Atlanta Braves .294 actual | .290 | .294 actual |
| 8 |  Alec Burleson · St. Louis Cardinals .279 actual | .289 | .279 actual |
| 9 |  Luis Arraez · Philadelphia Phillies .310 actual | .289 | .310 actual |
| 10 |  Gabriel Moreno · Arizona Diamondbacks .311 actual | .289 | .311 actual |
| 11 |  Jung Hoo Lee · San Francisco Giants .276 actual | .288 | .276 actual |
| 12 | Casey Schmitt · San Francisco Giants .271 actual | .288 | .271 actual |
| 13 | Shohei Ohtani · Los Angeles Dodgers .275 actual | .286 | .275 actual |
| 14 |  Nolan Schanuel · Los Angeles Angels .276 actual | .286 | .276 actual |
| 15 |  Pete Alonso · Baltimore Orioles .267 actual | .285 | .267 actual |
| 16 |  Josh Jung · Texas Rangers .299 actual | .285 | .299 actual |
| 17 |  Sam Antonacci · Chicago White Sox .277 actual | .284 | .277 actual |
| 18 | Jac Caglianone · Kansas City Royals .289 actual | .283 | .289 actual |
| 19 |  Nick Gonzales · Pittsburgh Pirates .303 actual | .282 | .303 actual |
| 20 |  Otto Lopez · Miami Marlins .305 actual | .281 | .305 actual |
| 21 |  Yandy Díaz · Tampa Bay Rays .293 actual | .281 | .293 actual |
| 22 |  Elly De La Cruz · Cincinnati Reds .283 actual | .281 | .283 actual |
| 23 | Bo Bichette · New York Mets .260 actual | .280 | .260 actual |
| 24 | Ketel Marte · Arizona Diamondbacks .249 actual | .280 | .249 actual |
| 25 |  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. · Toronto Blue Jays .260 actual | .280 | .260 actual |
Source: Baseball Savant (Statcast), 2026 season. Baseball Savant's qualified players, ranked by Savant; the league average is Savant's own. The lead is 3.0 standard deviations (sd) above the field, estimated from Savant's percentiles: the unit the directory ranks leads by, because it lets a rate and a speed share one list. Measured (); the boards refresh twice a day.