Lake Elsinore has won 59 games to San Bernardino's 51, but the 66ers' offense is heavier: Estevan Moreno has 15 home runs and Cesar Quintas 68 RBI, compared to Kerrington Cross's 11 homers and Jose Verdugo's 49 RBI for the Storm.
Jesus A. Castro leads the Storm with 88 strikeouts against Jack Bowery's 79 for the 66ers, giving Lake Elsinore the deeper arms heading to first pitch.
Tyler Schmitt's 7 wins pace the Storm rotation, but Will Armbruester has just 5 for San Bernardino—a clear advantage in the starter's circle for Lake Elsinore.
The 66ers are coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10. The Storm are losers of 9 straight, 1-9 over their last 10.
The 66ers are up next home vs Grizzlies (Aug 27-29). The Storm are up next at Quakes (Aug 27-29).
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inning | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LELake Elsinore Storm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| IESan Bernardino 66ers | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 1 |
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Tiroly 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Chris McHugh 1B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ty Harvey C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Dawson Willis CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jorge Quintana SS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Yimy Tovar 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jesmaylin Arias LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Qrey Lott RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Augie Lopez DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lan-Hong Su P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zack Qin P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Herrera P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lan-Hong Su | 2.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Zack Qin | 3.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| Joseph Herrera | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | IE 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | IE 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | IE 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | IE 99.9 | — | |
| B8 | IE 99.9 | — | |
| B8 | IE 99.9 | 0.1 | |
| B8 | IE 99.8 | — | |
| B8 | IE 99.8 | — |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.