at
Cubs at MarinersChicago
Cubs
Seattle
Mariners
Post Game SummaryStat Savant
atCubs at MarinersArozarena's ninth-inning homer to center lifted Seattle past the Cubs 5-4. Arozarena finished 3-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI, and the Mariners outhit Chicago 8-7 in the win. Seattle improved to 62-68 while the Cubs fell to 74-56, and the Mariners now lead the season series 2-0. The Cubs visit Seattle again Sunday.
Arozarena drilled a 404-foot homer to center in the ninth to score Rivas and give the Mariners a 5-4 win over the Cubs.
Arozarena did the damage all night, going 3-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI, and Seattle outhit Chicago 8-7.
The Mariners moved to 62-68 while the Cubs dropped to 74-56, and Seattle now leads the season series 2-0.
The Mariners sit 3rd in the AL West, 2½ games back, coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10. The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Mariners are up next at Blue Jays (Aug 28-30). The Cubs are up next home vs Reds (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.
Cubs to winMiss
SEA -1.5 · 52%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHCChicago Cubs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| SEASeattle Mariners | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Crow-Armstrong | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .279 | .377 | .554 |
 Seiya Suzuki | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .267 | .358 | .478 |
 Alex Bregman | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .258 | .347 | .423 |
 Michael Busch | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | .244 | .349 | .395 |
 Nico Hoerner | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .263 | .323 | .362 |
 Tyrone Taylor | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | .249 | .308 | .485 |
 Pedro Ramirez | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .276 | .338 | .400 |
 Kevin Alcantara | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .208 | .259 | .333 |
 Ian Happ | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | .215 | .323 | .413 |
 Miguel Amaya | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .232 | .338 | .365 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Peterson | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 98-62 | 5.17 | 98 |
 Trent Thornton | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-12 | 2.43 | 18 |
 Ryan Rolison | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-5 | 2.82 | 6 |
 Jacob Webb | 0.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15-10 | 2.65 | 15 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | SEA 100.0 | 90.1 | |
| B9 | CHC 90.1 | 4.9 | |
| B9 | CHC 95.0 | 3.5 | |
| B9 | CHC 98.5 | 3.2 | |
| B9 | CHC 95.3 | 4.8 | |
| T9 | CHC 90.5 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | CHC 91.0 | 0.6 | |
| T9 | CHC 91.6 | 0.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.
