at
Cubs at MarinersChicago
Cubs
Seattle
Mariners
Post Game SummaryStat Savant
atCubs at MarinersSeattle needed extra innings to finish this one off. Rivas singled home Arozarena in the 10th to lift the Mariners past the Cubs, with Raleigh's three-RBI homer setting the stage despite Chicago outhitting Seattle 12-8. It was the first meeting of the season between these two, and Seattle takes the early edge. The Cubs and Mariners run it back Saturday.
Rivas singled to center in the 10th, scoring Arozarena and sending Naylor to second as the Mariners outlasted the Cubs 6-5.
Raleigh powered the Seattle offense, going 1-for-4 with a home run and three RBI.
The Cubs held the edge in hits, 12 to 8, but it was the Mariners who improved to 61-68 while Chicago fell to 74-55 in the season's first meeting between the two clubs.
The Mariners sit 3rd in the AL West, 2½ games back, coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10. The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Mariners are up next at Blue Jays (Aug 28-30). The Cubs are up next home vs Reds (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.
Cubs to winMissCHC -1.5 · 50%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHCChicago Cubs | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
| SEASeattle Mariners | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Crow-Armstrong | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .279 | .378 | .554 |
 Seiya Suzuki | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | .267 | .359 | .480 |
 Michael Busch | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .244 | .350 | .390 |
 Alex Bregman | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .258 | .347 | .418 |
 Ian Happ | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .216 | .323 | .414 |
 Nico Hoerner | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .263 | .321 | .361 |
 Pedro Ramirez | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .277 | .340 | .404 |
 Michael Conforto | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .217 | .313 | .429 |
 Carson Kelly | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .262 | .343 | .372 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Boyd | 6.0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 86-57 | 4.15 | 86 |
 Daniel Palencia | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10-7 | 2.55 | 10 |
 Colin Rea | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19-9 | 4.55 | 19 |
 Jacob Webb | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 2.21 | 11 |
 Ryan Zeferjahn | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7-5 | 4.06 | 7 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B10 | SEA 100.0 | 36.3 | |
| B10 | SEA 63.7 | 0.6 | |
| B10 | SEA 63.1 | 20.2 | |
| B10 | SEA 83.3 | 2.8 | |
| T10 | SEA 80.5 | 11.5 | |
| T10 | SEA 69.0 | 8.1 | |
| T10 | SEA 60.9 | 10.9 | |
| B9 | SEA 50.0 | 6.3 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.
