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Cubs at Diamondbacks



Waldschmidt drove one 408 feet to left in the ninth to score Fernandez and lift the Diamondbacks past the Cubs, 5-4. Waldschmidt needed just one swing, finishing 1-for-1 with the homer and two RBIs. The Diamondbacks improve to 70-63 while the Cubs slip to 76-57. The two teams meet again Wednesday, with the Cubs visiting Arizona and the Diamondbacks hosting Chicago.
Chicago actually outhit Arizona 7-5 on the night, but it wasn't enough to hold on.
Cubs starter Holmes turned in seven innings of two-hit, shutout ball with five strikeouts and still walked away with a no-decision.
Despite the loss, the Cubs still hold a 4-1 edge in the season series after tonight.
The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 9½ games back, winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10. The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Diamondbacks are up next at Giants (Aug 27-29). The Cubs are up next home vs Reds (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.

Cubs to winMiss
CHC -1.5 · 50%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHCChicago Cubs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| ARIArizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .276 | .375 | .550 |
Seiya Suzuki | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .271 | .363 | .481 |
Michael Busch | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .245 | .355 | .396 |
Alex Bregman | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .254 | .343 | .415 |
Ian Happ | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .220 | .327 | .427 |
Nico Hoerner | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .260 | .318 | .357 |
Pedro Ramirez | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .291 | .351 | .437 |
Michael Conforto | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .232 | .325 | .469 |
Miguel Amaya | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .228 | .333 | .359 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clay Holmes | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 93-58 | 2.26 | 93 |
Daniel Palencia | 0.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22-12 | 3.93 | 22 |
Jacob Webb | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20-11 | 2.91 | 20 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | ARI 100.0 | 85.2 | |
| B9 | CHC 90.1 | 11.5 | |
| B9 | CHC 78.6 | 9.9 | |
| B9 | CHC 88.5 | 8.9 | |
| T9 | CHC 79.6 | 1.0 | |
| T9 | CHC 83.6 | 1.7 | |
| T9 | CHC 81.9 | 1.6 | |
| B8 | CHC 83.5 | 10.2 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.