Texas State · Playoff picture

Will Texas State make the College Football Playoff?

Not if the season ended today: Texas State is unranked and does not lead the Pac-12.

Boise State leads the Pac-12 at 2-0; Texas State is 1-1. Five games are left, one against ranked teams. This is the standings as they stand, not a forecast.

Texas State · playoff chances, the forecast

Make the 12-team playoff
<1%
First-round bye
<1%
Win its conference
7%
Win the national title
<1%
Average regular-season record
5.7-5.5

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, updated Updated Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 9:05 AM ET. The table above is the field if the season ended today; this is where it is likely to end. Every team's playoff odds.

The field today, seeds 7 to 12

Record
How in
7
Ole Miss
5-1
At-large
8
Texas Tech
6-0
At-large
9
UCLA
6-0
At-large
10
Utah
6-0
At-large
11
Tennessee
6-1
At-large
12
Boise State
5-1
Group of Six

Byes: Miami, BYU, Ohio State, Notre Dame. First out: Kentucky, No. 12.

The full playoff picture
Pac-12
Boise State 2-0 · Texas State 1-1
The best-ranked Group of Six champion takes one bid.
The Pac-12 table
What is left
5 games, 1 against ranked teams
The Texas State schedule

Questions

Would Texas State make the College Football Playoff if the season ended today?

No. Texas State is unranked and does not lead the Pac-12.

Which ranked teams are left on the Texas State schedule?

One: No. 21 Boise State.