North Dakota State · Playoff picture

Will North Dakota State make the College Football Playoff?

Not if the season ended today: North Dakota State is unranked and does not lead the Mountain West.

New Mexico leads the Mountain West at 2-0; North Dakota State is 3-1. Five games are left, none against ranked teams. This is the standings as they stand, not a forecast.

North Dakota State · playoff chances, the forecast

Make the 12-team playoff
12%
First-round bye
<1%
Win its conference
35%
Win the national title
<1%
Average regular-season record
10.0-2.7

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, updated Updated Thu, Oct 22, 2026, 2:25 PM ET. The table above is the field if the season ended today; this is where it is likely to end. Every team's playoff odds.

The field today, seeds 7 to 12

Record
How in
7
Ole Miss
5-1
At-large
8
Texas Tech
6-0
At-large
9
UCLA
6-0
At-large
10
Utah
6-0
At-large
11
Tennessee
6-1
At-large
12
Boise State
5-1
Group of Six

Byes: Miami, BYU, Ohio State, Notre Dame. First out: Kentucky, No. 12.

The full playoff picture
Mountain West
New Mexico 2-0 · North Dakota State 3-1
The best-ranked Group of Six champion takes one bid.
The Mountain West table
What is left
5 games, 0 against ranked teams
The North Dakota State schedule

Questions

Would North Dakota State make the College Football Playoff if the season ended today?

No. North Dakota State is unranked and does not lead the Mountain West.

Which ranked teams are left on the North Dakota State schedule?

None, as the poll stands today.