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Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans — Sep 4, 2026

September 4 · 8:00 PM EDT
MSU -9.5 · O/U 48.5

Toledo's win streak meets a struggling Michigan State

Toledo rolls into East Lansing riding a W-W-W-W stretch after an early loss, while Michigan State has gone the opposite direction with just one win in its last five. The Rockets' momentum stands in sharp contrast to the Spartans' recent skid.

  • Michigan State's lone bright spot in its recent form came against a similar five-game sample, but four straight losses since suggest a team still searching for consistency heading into kickoff.

Last five games

Each side's most recent results, newest first, with the score and who they played. These reach back into last season where a club has not played five yet, which is why every row carries its date.

Toledo Rockets
  • 12/23/25L22-27atLouisville
  • 11/29/25W21-3atCentral Michigan
  • 11/22/25W38-9vsBall State
  • 11/13/25W24-3atMiami (OH)
  • 11/06/25W42-3vsNorthern Illinois
Michigan State Spartans
  • 11/30/25W38-28vsMaryland
  • 11/22/25L17-20atIowa
  • 11/15/25L10-28vsPenn State
  • 11/01/25L20-23atMinnesota
  • 10/25/25L20-31vsMichigan

Standings

Where each side sits in its own conference, with both clubs marked. These two are in different ones, so the tables are separate and the records are not directly comparable.

Mid-American
#ClubW-LPCTStreak
1Eastern Michigan Eagles1-01.000—
2Massachusetts Minutemen0-0.000—
3Bowling Green Falcons0-0.000—
4Miami (OH) RedHawks0-0.000—
5Ohio Bobcats0-0.000—
11Toledo Rockets0-0.000—
Big Ten
#ClubW-LPCTStreak
1USC Trojans1-01.000—
2UCLA Bruins0-0.000—
3Northwestern Wildcats0-0.000—
4Indiana Hoosiers0-0.000—
5Maryland Terrapins0-0.000—
6Michigan State Spartans0-0.000—

Game odds and betting

TOLMSUMoneyline+295-375Spread+9.5-110-9.5-110TotalO 48.5-108U 48.5-112

What the market says

Favourite
MSU 78%
CFBD's model
MSU 76%
Spread
MSU -10.25
Total points
48.5

The favourite's chance is de-vigged: the two sides of a price add up to more than a whole, and that excess is the book's fee rather than anyone's opinion, 4.2% on this game.

The second number is CollegeFootballData's own model, not ours, priced against MSU -10. It is here so the market has something independent to be read against: where the two agree that is worth knowing, and where they disagree that is worth knowing more.

Highlight
Teams & LeaguesPremium ContentNews WireBox ScoresNewsletters

Highlights is an email-first sports service: you follow the teams you care about, and we send the previews, recaps, box scores and news that belong to them. No app to install, no feed to scroll, and every email is free to start and takes one click to stop.

Scores, schedules, rosters, and statistics are aggregated from public sports data feeds and are provided for informational purposes only. Odds, projections, and win probabilities are for entertainment only and are not betting advice. Team names and marks belong to their respective owners and are used to identify the clubs we cover.

© 2026 MainMarket.com. All rights reserved.

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