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Fresno State Bulldogs vs USC Trojans — Sep 4, 2026

September 4 · 9:00 PM EDT
USC -22.5 · O/U 51.5

USC's balanced attack meets Fresno State's momentum

USC comes in on a W-L-W-L-W stretch while Fresno State enters riding a W-W-L-W-W run, giving the Bulldogs the more consistent recent form of the two sides heading into Los Angeles.

  • USC's offense has averaged 42.0 points per game behind 505.0 total yards, with 341.0 through the air and 164.0 on the ground, showing a passing attack that leans heavily on the arm before the ground game gets going.
  • USC has converted at a 69.23% clip on third down this season, a number that will test whether Fresno State's defense can get off the field on passing downs against that balanced yardage split.

Last five games

Each side's most recent results, newest first, with the score and who they played. These reach back into last season where a club has not played five yet, which is why every row carries its date.

Fresno State Bulldogs
  • 12/27/25W18-3vsMiami (OH)
  • 11/30/25W41-14atSan José State
  • 11/23/25L17-28vsUtah State
  • 11/16/25W24-3vsWyoming
  • 11/01/25W30-7atBoise State
USC Trojans
  • 08/29/26W42-26vsSan José State
  • 12/31/25L27-30atTCU
  • 11/30/25W29-10vsUCLA
  • 11/22/25L27-42atOregon
  • 11/15/25W26-21vsIowa

Standings

Where each side sits in its own conference, with both clubs marked. These two are in different ones, so the tables are separate and the records are not directly comparable.

Pac-12
#ClubW-LPCTStreak
1San Diego State Aztecs0-0.000—
2Colorado State Rams0-0.000—
3Boise State Broncos0-0.000—
4Oregon State Beavers0-0.000—
5Washington State Cougars0-0.000—
6Fresno State Bulldogs0-0.000—
Big Ten
#ClubW-LPCTStreak
1USC Trojans1-01.000—
2UCLA Bruins0-0.000—
3Northwestern Wildcats0-0.000—
4Indiana Hoosiers0-0.000—
5Maryland Terrapins0-0.000—

Game odds and betting

FRESUSCMoneyline+1200-2400Spread+22.5-118-22.5-102TotalO 51.5-112U 51.5-108

What the market says

Favourite
USC 93%
CFBD's model
USC 95%
Spread
USC -21.5
Total points
51.5

The favourite's chance is de-vigged: the two sides of a price add up to more than a whole, and that excess is the book's fee rather than anyone's opinion, 3.8% on this game.

The second number is CollegeFootballData's own model, not ours, priced against USC -23.5. It is here so the market has something independent to be read against: where the two agree that is worth knowing, and where they disagree that is worth knowing more.

Highlight
Teams & LeaguesPremium ContentNews WireBox ScoresNewsletters

Highlights is an email-first sports service: you follow the teams you care about, and we send the previews, recaps, box scores and news that belong to them. No app to install, no feed to scroll, and every email is free to start and takes one click to stop.

Scores, schedules, rosters, and statistics are aggregated from public sports data feeds and are provided for informational purposes only. Odds, projections, and win probabilities are for entertainment only and are not betting advice. Team names and marks belong to their respective owners and are used to identify the clubs we cover.

© 2026 MainMarket.com. All rights reserved.

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