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Twins at Royals



The Twins edged the Royals in a tight contest, clinching a crucial win. Lee's key hit in the eighth propelled them ahead, while Lewis showcased his power at the plate. The Royals still hold the season series lead, but Minnesota's victory adds to their momentum.
Twins edged Royals 4-3 in a closely contested matchup. The go-ahead came in the 8th inning when Lee singled to right, allowing Jackson and Jeffers to score while Lewis advanced to second. R.
The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10. The Royals sit 5th in the AL Central, 11½ games back, coming off a loss, 9-1 over their last 10.
The Twins are up next home vs White Sox (Aug 28-30). The Royals are up next at Blue Jays (Aug 27), then at Guardians.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Royals to winMiss
KC -1.5 · 55%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINMinnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| KCKansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trevor Larnach | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .281 | .370 | .449 |
Austin Martin | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .236 | .350 | .312 |
Luke Keaschall | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .263 | .354 | .360 |
Kody Clemens | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .234 | .290 | .468 |
Ryan Jeffers | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .281 | .382 | .503 |
Josh Bell | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .246 | .307 | .413 |
Alex Jackson | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .303 | .333 | .409 |
Royce Lewis | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | .233 | .310 | .425 |
Brooks Lee | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .240 | .298 | .414 |
Alan Roden | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .222 | .315 | .244 |
Victor Caratini | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | .226 | .312 | .338 |
Tristan Gray | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .225 | .267 | .324 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bailey Ober | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74-50 | 4.45 | 74 |
Kody Funderburk | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20-13 | 3.09 | 20 |
| Andrew Morris | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-7 | 3.19 | 13 |
Yoendrys Gomez | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18-9 | 3.35 | 18 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | MIN 100.0 | 4.7 | |
| B9 | MIN 95.3 | 6.8 | |
| B9 | MIN 66.1 | 13.5 | |
| T9 | MIN 79.6 | 3.4 | |
| T9 | MIN 83.0 | 3.1 | |
| T9 | MIN 86.1 | 3.2 | |
| T9 | MIN 89.3 | 3.4 | |
| T9 | MIN 85.9 | 2.4 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.