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Twins at Padres



Tatis carried San Diego to an easy win over Minnesota, going deep twice and driving in four as the Padres pulled away late. The go-ahead swing came in the sixth when Rengifo's double to right plated two, and the Padres never looked back, out-hitting the Twins along the way. Ober was sharp for Minnesota but left with nothing to show for it.
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 4-for-5 with two home runs and four RBI as the Padres pulled away from the Twins 8-1.
The decisive blow came in the sixth, when Rengifo doubled to right to score Campusano and Hays while Bogaerts moved to third.
Ober turned in five solid innings for Minnesota, allowing just one earned run, but the bullpen and lineup could not back him up as the Padres out-hit the Twins 9-6, improving to 71-60 and sweeping the season series 3-0 while the Twins dropped to 63-68.
The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10. The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30). The Twins are up next home vs White Sox (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Padres to winHit
SD -1.5 · 59%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINMinnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luke Keaschall | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .274 | .364 | .383 |
Byron Buxton | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .251 | .316 | .511 |
Ryan Kreidler | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .227 | .280 | .369 |
Josh Bell | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .252 | .317 | .422 |
Kody Clemens | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .238 | .293 | .466 |
Royce Lewis | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .234 | .304 | .407 |
Brooks Lee | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .247 | .301 | .434 |
Alan Roden | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .250 | .324 | .313 |
Victor Caratini | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .222 | .314 | .326 |
Kaelen Culpepper | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .289 | .340 | .444 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bailey Ober | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 87-54 | 4.49 | 87 |
Kody Funderburk | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17-7 | 3.76 | 17 |
Jeff Hoffman | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17-10 | 4.04 | 17 |
Travis Adams | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 34-21 | 5.79 | 34 |
Taylor Rogers | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15-8 | 4.91 | 15 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | SD 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | SD 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | SD 99.9 | 0.2 | |
| T9 | SD 99.7 | 0.2 | |
| B8 | SD 99.9 | — | |
| B8 | SD 99.9 | — | |
| B8 | SD 99.9 | — | |
| B8 | SD 99.9 | — |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.