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Twins at Brewers



The Twins edge out the Brewers in a tight contest, showcasing strong hitting and solid defense. Lewis steps up with a crucial double in the sixth, while Bell leads the charge at the plate. The victory ties the season series at two games apiece, as both teams continue to battle for postseason positioning.
The Twins beat the Brewers 8-6, securing a pivotal win in a closely contested matchup. The go-ahead run came in the sixth inning when Lewis doubled to left, allowing Jeffers to score and give Minnesota the lead.
The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10. The Brewers lead the NL Central by 6½, coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Twins are up next home vs White Sox (Aug 28-30). The Brewers are up next at Mets (Aug 27), then home vs Rangers.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Brewers to winMiss
MIL -1.5 · 62%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINMinnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 1 |
| MILMilwaukee Brewers | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Austin Martin | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .236 | .351 | .315 |
Ryan Jeffers | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | .280 | .383 | .503 |
Royce Lewis | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .236 | .311 | .428 |
Josh Bell | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .252 | .313 | .425 |
Kody Clemens | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .233 | .289 | .464 |
Luke Keaschall | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | .262 | .355 | .359 |
Kaelen Culpepper | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .250 | .250 | 1.000 |
Victor Caratini | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .223 | .311 | .335 |
Ryan Kreidler | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .238 | .291 | .395 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zebby Matthews | 5.0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 83-50 | 5.23 | 83 |
Tommy Nance | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24-16 | 3.40 | 24 |
A.J. Minter | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 2.45 | 3 |
Jeff Hoffman | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25-14 | 3.78 | 25 |
| Andrew Morris | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13-9 | 3.13 | 13 |
Yoendrys Gomez | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-6 | 3.29 | 12 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | MIN 100.0 | 1.5 | |
| B9 | MIN 98.5 | 3.2 | |
| B9 | MIN 95.3 | 4.8 | |
| T9 | MIN 90.5 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | MIN 91.0 | 0.6 | |
| T9 | MIN 91.6 | 0.8 | |
| B8 | MIN 92.4 | 18.7 | |
| B8 | MIN 73.7 | 6.4 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.