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Royals at Blue Jays



Kansas City edged Toronto 5-3, with the go-ahead run coming in the fifth when Perez singled home Witt Jr. and Pasquantino moved to third. Rave paced the Royals at the plate, going 2-for-4 with an RBI. Up next, these two clubs meet again Wednesday, with the Royals visiting the Blue Jays before hosting them the same day.
Both lineups left plenty on the table, with the Royals stranding 14 runners and the Blue Jays leaving 8 on base.
The win moves Kansas City to 59-74 while Toronto slips to 64-69.
It was the first meeting of the season between the two clubs, with the Royals taking the opener 1-0 in the season series.
The Royals sit 5th in the AL Central, 11½ games back, coming off a loss, 9-1 over their last 10. The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Royals are up next at Blue Jays (Aug 27), then at Guardians. The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Royals to winHit
TOR -1.5 · 55%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCKansas City Royals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carter Jensen | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | .219 | .301 | .401 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | .288 | .365 | .458 |
Vinnie Pasquantino | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .245 | .332 | .379 |
Salvador Perez | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .222 | .268 | .375 |
Michael Massey | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .276 | .310 | .444 |
Tyler Tolbert | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .290 | .358 | .421 |
Nick Loftin | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .237 | .330 | .383 |
Isaac Collins | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .231 | .330 | .349 |
| John Rave | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .232 | .303 | .464 |
Kyle Isbel | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .241 | .287 | .368 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seth Lugo | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 89-53 | 4.61 | 89 |
John Schreiber | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-10 | 3.72 | 13 |
Connor Thomas | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-5 | 13.06 | 10 |
Nate Pearson | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25-13 | 2.41 | 25 |
Steven Cruz | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-9 | 4.44 | 12 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | KC 100.0 | 1.8 | |
| B9 | KC 98.4 | 1.1 | |
| B9 | KC 99.5 | 0.4 | |
| B9 | KC 99.9 | 0.6 | |
| B9 | KC 99.3 | 1.2 | |
| T9 | KC 98.1 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | KC 98.5 | 0.2 | |
| T9 | KC 98.3 | 1.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.