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Rockies at Diamondbacks



Sullivan's three-run homer in the second inning put Colorado ahead for good as the Rockies held off Arizona 6-4. The Diamondbacks left a staggering number of runners on base and couldn't chase down the deficit despite the traffic they kept putting on. Arizona still holds the season series edge, 6-4. Up next, the Rockies head to San Francisco and the Diamondbacks travel to Atlanta, both on Friday.
Sullivan's second-inning homer to right, scoring Moniak and Castro, put the Rockies ahead for good in a 6-4 win.
Sullivan finished 1-for-4 with the homer and three RBI to lead all hitters.
Arizona left 15 runners on base to Colorado's 6, a difference that told the story of the night.
The Rockies sit 5th in the NL West, 28½ games back, coming off a loss, 2-8 over their last 10. The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 9½ games back, winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Rockies are up next at Braves (Aug 28-30). The Diamondbacks are up next at Giants (Aug 27-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.


Diamondbacks to winMiss
ARI -1.5 · 62%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLColorado Rockies | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| ARIArizona Diamondbacks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake McCarthy | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .300 | .337 | .505 |
Cole Carrigg | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .292 | .375 | .489 |
TJ Rumfield | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .294 | .371 | .453 |
Hunter Goodman | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .251 | .320 | .541 |
Mickey Moniak | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .271 | .313 | .549 |
Willi Castro | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .265 | .335 | .426 |
Zac Veen | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .333 | .333 | 1.333 |
Ezequiel Tovar | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .207 | .252 | .333 |
Connor Norby | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .200 | .313 | .317 |
Brett Sullivan | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .238 | .278 | .437 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Feltner | 5.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 93-59 | 5.59 | 93 |
Parker Mushinski | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26-12 | 2.08 | 26 |
Juan Mejia | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18-8 | 5.44 | 18 |
Jimmy Herget | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20-10 | 6.35 | 20 |
Brennan Bernardino | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26-16 | 2.72 | 26 |
Jordan Romano | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17-10 | 5.95 | 17 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | COL 100.0 | 5.0 | |
| B9 | COL 95.4 | 3.1 | |
| B9 | COL 98.5 | 3.2 | |
| B9 | COL 95.3 | 4.8 | |
| T9 | COL 90.5 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | COL 91.0 | 0.6 | |
| T9 | COL 91.6 | 0.8 | |
| B8 | COL 92.4 | 8.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.