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Rockies at Diamondbacks



The Rockies narrowly defeated the Diamondbacks 3-2 in a tightly contested game. Moniak's sacrifice fly in the seventh gave Colorado the lead they needed. Despite the Diamondbacks out-hitting the Rockies, they couldn't secure the win.
Rockies edged Diamondbacks 3-2 in a closely fought battle. The go-ahead came in the 7th inning when Moniak hit a sacrifice fly to left, allowing Goodman to score. K. Karros led the Rockies with a strong performance, going 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBIs.
The Rockies sit 5th in the NL West, 28½ games back, coming off a loss, 2-8 over their last 10. The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 9½ games back, winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Rockies are up next at Braves (Aug 28-30). The Diamondbacks are up next at Giants (Aug 27-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Diamondbacks to winMiss
ARI -1.5 · 62%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLColorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| ARIArizona Diamondbacks | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake McCarthy | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .303 | .340 | .511 |
Kyle Karros | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .265 | .361 | .424 |
TJ Rumfield | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .294 | .371 | .455 |
Cole Carrigg | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .295 | .379 | .497 |
Hunter Goodman | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .253 | .320 | .545 |
Willi Castro | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .262 | .331 | .421 |
Mickey Moniak | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .271 | .314 | .554 |
Jordan Beck | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .200 | .243 | .340 |
Connor Norby | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | .203 | .314 | .322 |
Ezequiel Tovar | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .205 | .251 | .329 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tomoyuki Sugano | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 93-63 | 4.43 | 93 |
Jimmy Herget | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-10 | 6.55 | 14 |
Brennan Bernardino | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 2.59 | 13 |
Jordan Romano | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-10 | 6.27 | 17 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | COL 100.0 | 14.8 | |
| B9 | COL 90.1 | 11.5 | |
| B9 | COL 78.6 | 9.9 | |
| B9 | COL 88.5 | 8.9 | |
| T9 | COL 79.6 | 3.4 | |
| T9 | COL 83.0 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | COL 81.5 | 2.1 | |
| T9 | COL 83.6 | 1.7 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.