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Reds at Diamondbacks



Bleday's three-hit, three-RBI night powered Cincinnati past Arizona, with the go-ahead run coming on his third-inning triple that scored Stewart. The Reds pulled away from there, outhitting the Diamondbacks 16-10 to move to 62-68 while Arizona dropped to 68-62. Arizona still holds the season series edge at 3-2. The two clubs meet again Sunday, with the Reds visiting the Diamondbacks.
Bleday tripled to center in the third inning to score Stewart and give Cincinnati the lead for good.
Bleday finished 4-for-6 with a homer and three RBI to lead all hitters as the Reds outhit Arizona 16-10 in the 11-5 win.
Cincinnati improved to 62-68 while Arizona fell to 68-62, though the Diamondbacks still lead the season series 3-2.
The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 19½ games back, coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10. The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 9½ games back, winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Reds are up next at Cubs (Aug 28-30). The Diamondbacks are up next at Giants (Aug 27-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Diamondbacks to winMiss
ARI -1.5 · 64%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CINCincinnati Reds | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 1 |
| ARIArizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elly De La Cruz | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .263 | .344 | .475 |
Sal Stewart | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | .262 | .336 | .473 |
JJ Bleday | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .224 | .335 | .449 |
Tyler Stephenson | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .242 | .323 | .409 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | .205 | .293 | .408 |
Matt McLain | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .198 | .296 | .362 |
Dane Myers | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .251 | .345 | .358 |
Hector Rodriguez | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .162 | .262 | .270 |
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .152 | .206 | .251 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rhett Lowder | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 92-63 | 5.13 | 92 |
Luis Mey | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-11 | 3.26 | 18 |
Tony Santillan | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22-13 | 5.34 | 22 |
Tejay Antone | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-10 | 3.43 | 16 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | CIN 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | CIN 99.9 | 0.2 | |
| B9 | CIN 99.7 | 0.2 | |
| B9 | CIN 99.9 | 0.2 | |
| T9 | CIN 99.7 | — | |
| T9 | CIN 99.7 | — | |
| T9 | CIN 99.7 | — | |
| B8 | CIN 99.7 | 0.6 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.