Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

atReds at Cubs

August 28 · 2:20 PM EDT

· CHC -199 · O/U 0

Reds look to complete the sweep at Wrigley

Cincinnati already has a 2-0 grip on this series, and with Rhett Lowder on the mound against David Peterson, the Reds get a shot to close it out in Chicago.

Keys to the game

Lowder brings a 5-8 record and 5.13 ERA into the start, while Peterson counters at 7-7 with a 5.17 ERA, a pair of middling lines that could keep both lineups engaged deep into the game.
Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Cubs in average, homers and RBI at .276, 33 and 83, giving Chicago's offense a singular focal point even with Matt Shaw sidelined.
Spencer Stewart paces Cincinnati with 28 homers and 100 RBI, pairing with Elly De La Cruz's .265 average to give the Reds their own top-end thump.
Chase Burns has been the steadiest arm in this series' background, leading the Reds with a 2.77 ERA, 14 wins and 164 strikeouts, well ahead of Shota Imanaga's 3.78 ERA and 8 wins for Chicago.

Our predictionMedium confidence

Where they standLast 5Last 5Record

Cincinnati Reds5th in the NL Central, 19.5 backWLLLWW131-35Away

Chicago Cubs2nd in the NL Central, 6.5 backLLWWLL238-27Home

Our pick, projected final

Reds4

Cubs5

Who the model favours

Our model’s chance each side takes this one, before anyone has played a minute of it.

Cincinnati Reds

32%

Chicago Cubs

68%

Cubs to win

Projected starting lineups

Taken from each club's most recent lineup. The official cards post 2 to 3 hours before first pitch.

Cincinnati Redsvs LHP

TJ Friedl#29LHBLeft field

Elly De La Cruz#44SHB ▲.265Shortstop

Sal Stewart#27RHB ▲.261First base

JJ Bleday#22LHBRight field

Eugenio Suárez#28RHB ▲Designated hitter

Dane Myers#17RHB ▲.260Center field

Matt McLain#9RHB ▲Second base

Jose Trevino#35RHB ▲Catcher

Ivan Johnson#63SHB ▲Third base

Chicago Cubsvs RHP

Pete Crow-Armstrong#4LHB ▲.276coldCenter field

Seiya Suzuki#27RHB.270Right field

Alex Bregman#3RHBDesignated hitter

Michael Busch#29LHB ▲First base

Nico Hoerner#2RHBShortstop

Ian Happ#8SHB ▲Pinch hitter

Pedro Ramírez#75SHB ▲.286Third base

Carson Kelly#15RHB.260Catcher

Gabriel Arias#43RHBSecond base

Injury report

Who is unavailable, in each club’s own words to the league. A day-to-day designation still allows a start, so a name here is not always a scratch; an injured-list stint is.

Cincinnati Reds5 listed

Brady SingerStarting pitcher · is day to day. Back 2026-08-31.

Graham AshcraftRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Brandon WilliamsonStarting pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Spencer SteerFirst base · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2026-09-22.

Michael TogliaFirst base · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2027-02-01.

Chicago Cubs5 listed

Matt ShawRight field · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2026-08-28.

Hoby MilnerRelief pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-08-28.

Edward CabreraStarting pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Shelby MillerRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Gavin HollowellRelief pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-09-04.

League standings

The full ladder, with both clubs marked.

AL East

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Tampa Bay Rays79-54.594W1

2New York Yankees75-57.568W1

3Boston Red Sox73-60.549L1

4Toronto Blue Jays65-69.485W1

5Baltimore Orioles65-69.485L1

AL Central

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Chicago White Sox70-63.526W2

2Cleveland Guardians68-66.507W7

3Minnesota Twins64-70.478L2

4Detroit Tigers62-71.466L1

5Kansas City Royals59-75.440L1

AL West

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Houston Astros66-67.496L1

2Texas Rangers66-68.493L2

3Seattle Mariners64-70.478L1

4Oakland Athletics53-81.396W2

5Los Angeles Angels52-82.388L4

NL East

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Atlanta Braves78-55.586W3

2Philadelphia Phillies74-60.552W1

3Miami Marlins68-66.507W1

4Washington Nationals63-73.463W1

5New York Mets60-73.451L1

NL Central

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Milwaukee Brewers82-51.617W1

2Chicago Cubs76-58.567L2

3St. Louis Cardinals67-68.496W1

4Pittsburgh Pirates65-70.481L1

5Cincinnati Reds63-71.470W1

NL West

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Los Angeles Dodgers80-53.602L2

2San Diego Padres72-62.537W1

3Arizona Diamondbacks71-63.530W2

4San Francisco Giants54-79.406L1

5Colorado Rockies52-82.388L1

Reds at Cubs

Cincinnati

Reds

Chicago

Cubs

Post Game SummaryStat Savant

atReds at Cubs

August 28 · 2:20 PM EDT

· CHC -199 · O/U 0

Reds look to complete the sweep at Wrigley

Cincinnati already has a 2-0 grip on this series, and with Rhett Lowder on the mound against David Peterson, the Reds get a shot to close it out in Chicago.

Keys to the game

Lowder brings a 5-8 record and 5.13 ERA into the start, while Peterson counters at 7-7 with a 5.17 ERA, a pair of middling lines that could keep both lineups engaged deep into the game.
Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Cubs in average, homers and RBI at .276, 33 and 83, giving Chicago's offense a singular focal point even with Matt Shaw sidelined.
Spencer Stewart paces Cincinnati with 28 homers and 100 RBI, pairing with Elly De La Cruz's .265 average to give the Reds their own top-end thump.
Chase Burns has been the steadiest arm in this series' background, leading the Reds with a 2.77 ERA, 14 wins and 164 strikeouts, well ahead of Shota Imanaga's 3.78 ERA and 8 wins for Chicago.

Our predictionMedium confidence

Where they standLast 5Last 5Record

Cincinnati Reds5th in the NL Central, 19.5 backWLLLWW131-35Away

Chicago Cubs2nd in the NL Central, 6.5 backLLWWLL238-27Home

Our pick, projected final

Reds4

Cubs5

Who the model favours

Our model’s chance each side takes this one, before anyone has played a minute of it.

Cincinnati Reds

32%

Chicago Cubs

68%

Cubs to win

Projected starting lineups

Taken from each club's most recent lineup. The official cards post 2 to 3 hours before first pitch.

Cincinnati Redsvs LHP

TJ Friedl#29LHBLeft field

Elly De La Cruz#44SHB ▲.265Shortstop

Sal Stewart#27RHB ▲.261First base

JJ Bleday#22LHBRight field

Eugenio Suárez#28RHB ▲Designated hitter

Dane Myers#17RHB ▲.260Center field

Matt McLain#9RHB ▲Second base

Jose Trevino#35RHB ▲Catcher

Ivan Johnson#63SHB ▲Third base

Chicago Cubsvs RHP

Pete Crow-Armstrong#4LHB ▲.276coldCenter field

Seiya Suzuki#27RHB.270Right field

Alex Bregman#3RHBDesignated hitter

Michael Busch#29LHB ▲First base

Nico Hoerner#2RHBShortstop

Ian Happ#8SHB ▲Pinch hitter

Pedro Ramírez#75SHB ▲.286Third base

Carson Kelly#15RHB.260Catcher

Gabriel Arias#43RHBSecond base

Injury report

Who is unavailable, in each club’s own words to the league. A day-to-day designation still allows a start, so a name here is not always a scratch; an injured-list stint is.

Cincinnati Reds5 listed

Brady SingerStarting pitcher · is day to day. Back 2026-08-31.

Graham AshcraftRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Brandon WilliamsonStarting pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Spencer SteerFirst base · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2026-09-22.

Michael TogliaFirst base · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2027-02-01.

Chicago Cubs5 listed

Matt ShawRight field · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2026-08-28.

Hoby MilnerRelief pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-08-28.

Edward CabreraStarting pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Shelby MillerRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Gavin HollowellRelief pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-09-04.

League standings

The full ladder, with both clubs marked.

AL East

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Tampa Bay Rays79-54.594W1

2New York Yankees75-57.568W1

3Boston Red Sox73-60.549L1

4Toronto Blue Jays65-69.485W1

5Baltimore Orioles65-69.485L1

AL Central

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Chicago White Sox70-63.526W2

2Cleveland Guardians68-66.507W7

3Minnesota Twins64-70.478L2

4Detroit Tigers62-71.466L1

5Kansas City Royals59-75.440L1

AL West

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Houston Astros66-67.496L1

2Texas Rangers66-68.493L2

3Seattle Mariners64-70.478L1

4Oakland Athletics53-81.396W2

5Los Angeles Angels52-82.388L4

NL East

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Atlanta Braves78-55.586W3

2Philadelphia Phillies74-60.552W1

3Miami Marlins68-66.507W1

4Washington Nationals63-73.463W1

5New York Mets60-73.451L1

NL Central

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Milwaukee Brewers82-51.617W1

2Chicago Cubs76-58.567L2

3St. Louis Cardinals67-68.496W1

4Pittsburgh Pirates65-70.481L1

5Cincinnati Reds63-71.470W1

NL West

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Los Angeles Dodgers80-53.602L2

2San Diego Padres72-62.537W1

3Arizona Diamondbacks71-63.530W2

4San Francisco Giants54-79.406L1

5Colorado Rockies52-82.388L1

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs — Aug 28, 2026

Reds look to complete the sweep at Wrigley

Keys to the game

Who the model favours

Projected starting lineups

Injury report

League standings

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs — Aug 28, 2026

Reds look to complete the sweep at Wrigley

Keys to the game

Who the model favours

Projected starting lineups

Injury report

League standings